San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers

	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0
LAD	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	—	3	5	0

Griffin Canning (1-5, 7.09) takes the ball for a Padres team that's completely lost the plot, walking into a matchup with Yoshinobu Yamamoto (8-5, 2.67), who's carried his World Series MVP form straight into this season. It's about as lopsided a pitching matchup as you'll find on a holiday slate.

Show fees

FINAL

Spread

ML

Total

Padres(43-44)

LLLLL

0

+1.5+117+233o8.5-106

Dodgers(58-31)

WWLWW

3

-1.5-122-233u8.5+104

Best BetDodgers -251

Pregame

The Dodgers are a heavy favorite here and it's earned — Yamamoto's been an ace all year while Canning is teetering on DFA territory with a 7.09 ERA. Ohtani sitting out barely dents this lineup's win equity given how deep it runs. San Diego's price reflects a team in freefall, and nothing in the recent form says bet against that read.

The bigger Dodgers headline isn't even who's pitching — it's who's not hitting. Shohei Ohtani was pulled from Friday's win with right bicep tightness and is out again Saturday. He says it's the same issue that flared up two months ago and resolved on its own, and L.A.'s lineup is deep enough to not blink. San Diego, meanwhile, is also down its catcher, Freddy Fermin, who landed on the IL Friday with a head bruise.

Wandy Peralta

(1-1)·2.23 ERA

Jun 23 vs Braves

ND

1.0IP

0ER

2K

0BB

13P

07/04 Lineup

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

(9-6)·2.85 ERA

Jun 27 @ Padres

W

6.0IP

2ER

4K

2BB

89P

07/04 Lineup

None of that has stopped the Dodgers from steamrolling this series, and the number board reflects it — L.A.'s a heavy favorite with the total sitting in the high single digits, a spot that says both sides expect the Padres bats to keep struggling against a real arm.

San Diego Padres

(43-44)

Jul 4L@ Dodgers3-4

Jul 3L@ Dodgers7-12

Jul 1L@ Cubs3-23

Jul 1L@ Cubs7-9

Jun 30L@ Cubs2-3

Los Angeles Dodgers

(58-31)

Jul 4Wvs Padres4-3

Jul 3Wvs Padres12-7

Jul 2L@ Athletics1-7

Jul 1W@ Athletics9-3

Jun 30W@ Athletics9-4

San Diego's collapse isn't subtle. Manager Craig Stammen put it plainly this week: "It's pretty tough... I don't think just because it's happening right now that means it's going to happen forever." Jake Cronenworth was more blunt, saying there's "got to be a sense of urgency." The staff has allowed 17 homers over its last 6 games with a 10.48 ERA in that stretch — this isn't one bad week, it's a full-blown pitching collapse, and Canning's 7.09 ERA and career-high walk rate put him at the center of it.

San Diego Padres

(12)

• 10-Day-ILFreddy Fermin (C) — The Padres placed Fermin on the 10-day injured list Friday with a head bruise, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.07/04
• 15-Day-ILRandy Vasquez (SP) — no07/04
• 15-Day-ILJeremiah Estrada (RP) — Estrada (knee) has been throwing at the Padres' spring-training complex in Arizona, per MLB.com.07/03
• 15-Day-ILLucas Giolito (SP) — Giolito (elbow) resumed light throwing in late June, per MLB.com.07/03
• 15-Day-ILJason Adam (RP) — The Padres placed Adam on the 15-day injured list Thursday, retroactive to Tuesday, with a right shoulder strain.07/02
• 15-Day-ILDavid Morgan (RP) — The Padres recalled Morgan from Triple-A El Paso on Friday.06/29
• 15-Day-ILMatt Waldron (SP) — Waldron (forearm) struck out four and allowed two earned runs on two hits and four walks across 2.2 innings Thursday in a rehab start with Triple-A El Paso.06/29
• OutYu Darvish (SP) — Darvish (elbow) revealed Tuesday in a social media post that he has resumed playing catch.05/12
• 60-Day-ILNick Pivetta (SP) — Pivetta (forearm) threw a light bullpen session Saturday, MLB.com reports.06/29
• 60-Day-ILJoe Musgrove (SP) — Musgrove (elbow) started playing catch in late May, per MLB.com.06/08
• 60-Day-ILRamon Laureano (LF) — Laureano underwent surgery Friday to repair his torn right labrum, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.06/05
• 60-Day-ILBryan Hoeing (RP) — The Padres transferred Hoeing (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08

Los Angeles Dodgers

(14)

• Day-To-DayShohei Ohtani (SP) — Ohtani was removed from Friday's game against the Padres due to a bicep injury, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.07/04
• 10-Day-ILWill Smith (C) — Manager Dave Roberts said Friday that Smith (neck) began hitting in the cages Thursday and has also begun throwing, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.07/03
• 10-Day-ILEnrique Hernandez (1B) — Hernandez (oblique) has started some baseball activities but remains in the early stages of his rehab, per MLB.com.06/19
• 15-Day-ILBlake Treinen (RP) — Treinen does not have any structural damage in his injured right elbow, per MLB.com.06/27
• 60-Day-ILTyler Glasnow (SP) — Glasnow (back) has been cleared to begin a throwing program, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.06/30
• 60-Day-ILBlake Snell (SP) — Snell (elbow) threw a 15-pitch bullpen session Friday, and manager Dave Roberts said it went well, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.06/27
• 60-Day-ILLandon Knack (SP) — Knack (chest) began a rehab assignment with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Thursday, yielding two runs on five hits and one walk over 1.1 innings.06/25
• 60-Day-ILEdwin Diaz (RP) — Diaz (elbow) is throwing in the bullpen Friday at Dodger Stadium, reports Jack Harris of the California Post.06/19
• 60-Day-ILEvan Phillips (RP) — Phillips (elbow) began a rehab assignment with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Thursday, yielding one hit and one walk over two-thirds of a scoreless frame.06/05
• 60-Day-ILBobby Miller (SP) — Miller (shoulder/back) will resume throwing off the mound this week, Cody Snavely of DodgersBeat.com reports.06/03
• 60-Day-ILGavin Stone (SP) — Dodgers manager Dave Roberts revealed Tuesday that Stone has been unable to ramp up his throwing without feeling soreness in his surgically repaired right shoulder, Cody Snavely of DodgersBeat.com reports.06/03
• 60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol (RP) — Graterol (shoulder) underwent surgery recently for a back injury he suffered while on a rehab assignment, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.06/01
• 60-Day-ILBen Casparius (RP) — Casparius (shoulder) was moved to the 60-day injured list Monday.05/19
• 60-Day-ILJake Cousins (RP) — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.05/08

Yamamoto doesn't need much help. He opened the year as L.A.'s Opening Day starter, beat Arizona to kick things off, and has looked every bit the ace the Dodgers paid for since torching the World Series last fall. Dave Rushing's 4-hit, 4-RBI outburst Thursday shows this lineup can still mash even with Ohtani out of it — the Padres just haven't had an answer for any of it, and there's no obvious reason that changes tonight.