San Diego Padres at Baltimore Orioles

By Bush StaffUpdated 71d ago·2 min read
San Diego PadresSD(35-32)
Baltimore OriolesBAL(33-37)
37
FINAL
123456789RHE
SD
110010000370
BAL
33010000781

Griffin Canning (0-4, 6.34) draws Shane Baz (3-6, 4.09) for the series opener. On paper that looks like a mismatch in the home team's favor, but Canning's last time out was actually one of his cleaner nights of the year — 5 innings, 1 earned, 6 punchouts against the Mets in a no-decision. Baz, meanwhile, just took a loss in Toronto despite giving up only 1 earned over 5.2.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Padres(35-32)
WLWLW
3
Orioles(33-37)
WWLLL
7
Best BetPadres +118
Pregame

Baltimore being a -139 home favorite assumes Baz keeps the quality-start run going and Canning unravels. Canning's last outing said otherwise, and the Padres' lineup is the healthier of the two. Getting plus money on the road dog with the better roster is the play.

The Padres are playing some of their best ball in weeks at exactly the right time. After dropping 11 of 13, San Diego just took 2 of 3 from Cincinnati and showed up to Baltimore at 35-32. The Orioles flipped their own script too — they had lost 3 straight before back-to-back beatdowns of Seattle (7-2 and 7-5) pulled them to 33-37 and back into a vaguely hopeful spot in the AL East basement.

San Diego Padres
Griffin Canning
(1-5)·7.38 ERA
Jun 6 vs Mets
ND
5.0IP
1ER
6K
2BB
86P
06/12 Lineup
Baltimore Orioles
Shane Baz
(4-8)·4.31 ERA
Jun 7 @ Blue Jays
L
5.2IP
1ER
3K
1BB
81P
06/12 Lineup
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
(35-32)
Jun 10Wvs Reds5-4
Jun 10Lvs Reds3-5
Jun 9Wvs Reds6-2
Jun 7Lvs Mets3-7
Jun 7Wvs Mets3-2
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
(33-37)
Jun 11Wvs Mariners7-5
Jun 10Wvs Mariners7-2
Jun 9Lvs Mariners5-6
Jun 8Lvs Mariners3-6
Jun 7L@ Blue Jays4-6

The injury list is where this game gets ugly, and it's mostly an Orioles problem. Baltimore is without Ryan Mountcastle, Jordan Westburg (Tommy John), Zach Eflin (Tommy John), Dean Kremer, Chris Bassitt, Cade Povich, Felix Bautista, and Ryan Helsley. That's most of a rotation and a back end of a bullpen. San Diego is patched up too — Yu Darvish, Joe Musgrove, Nick Pivetta, German Marquez and Matt Waldron are all on the shelf, and Jake Cronenworth is still working back from a concussion — but the Padres have at least kept their lineup mostly intact with Xander Bogaerts on the paternity list.

San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
(12)
  • Day-To-DayMiguel Andujar (DH)Andujar (hamstring) remains out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Reds.06/10
  • paternityXander Bogaerts (SS)Bogaerts went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk against Washington in a loss Saturday.06/09
  • 7-Day ILJake Cronenworth (2B)Cronenworth (concussion) has been participating in light baseball activities and is "ramping up," per MLB.com.06/08
  • 10-Day-ILLuis Campusano (C)Campusano (toe) has been catching bullpens and is swinging pain-free, per MLB.com.05/31
  • 15-Day-ILMatt Waldron (SP)Waldron (forearm) is scheduled to throw two innings of a bullpen session Tuesday and is on track to start a rehab assignment with Triple-A El Paso this Sunday, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.06/08
  • 15-Day-ILGerman Marquez (SP)Marquez (forearm) tossed four scoreless innings for Triple-A El Paso on Sunday, allowing one hit and issuing one walk while striking out two batters.06/08
  • 15-Day-ILJeremiah Estrada (RP)Estrada (2-2) picked up the loss after giving up the eventual game-winning run in a 3-2 loss to Philadelphia on Tuesday.06/05
  • OutYu Darvish (SP)Darvish (elbow) revealed Tuesday in a social media post that he has resumed playing catch.05/12
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Musgrove (SP)Musgrove (elbow) started playing catch in late May, per MLB.com.06/08
  • 60-Day-ILRamon Laureano (LF)Laureano underwent surgery Friday to repair his torn right labrum, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.06/05
  • 60-Day-ILNick Pivetta (SP)The Padres transferred Pivetta (forearm) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.06/02
  • 60-Day-ILBryan Hoeing (RP)The Padres transferred Hoeing (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
(15)
  • Day-To-DayJhonkensy Noel (RF)Noel was placed on the 7-day injured list at Triple-A Norfolk on Monday with left wrist inflammation, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.06/08
  • Day-To-DayLevi Wells (P)Wells underwent successful core-muscle surgery Thursday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/28
  • Day-To-DayRichard Guasch (SP)no05/08
  • Day-To-DayWill Robertson (LF)The Orioles reassigned Robertson to minor-league camp Wednesday, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILDylan Beavers (RF)Beavers (oblique) hit in the batting cage Wednesday, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.05/27
  • 15-Day-ILRyan Helsley (RP)Helsley (elbow) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Norfolk on Thursday, Cordell Woodland of 105.7 The Fan Baltimore reports.06/10
  • 15-Day-ILCade Povich (SP)Povich (elbow) will resume throwing bullpen sessions this week, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.06/08
  • 15-Day-ILChris Bassitt (SP)Bassitt (back) is travelling to rejoin the Orioles in Toronto on Friday and could make his next start Monday against the Mariners, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.06/08
  • 60-Day-ILDean Kremer (SP)Kremer (quadriceps) threw another live batting practice session Thursday at the Orioles' spring training complex and could be cleared to begin a rehab assignment next, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.06/11
  • 60-Day-ILYaramil Hiraldo (RP)Hiraldo (shoulder) threw a bullpen session last week, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.06/08
  • 60-Day-ILColin Selby (RP)Selby was recently evaluated by Dr. Chris Looze in Baltimore due to ongoing symptoms with his injured right shoulder, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/19
  • 60-Day-ILRyan Mountcastle (1B)General manager Mike Elias said Friday that Mountcastle is expected to return sometime in late June or July, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/15
  • 60-Day-ILJordan Westburg (3B)Westburg (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Andrew Golden of TheBanner.com reports.05/15
  • 60-Day-ILZach Eflin (SP)Eflin underwent Tommy John surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILFelix Bautista (RP)Bautista (shoulder) threw a baseball Tuesday for the first time since undergoing surgery last August, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/08

The trend that matters for Baz: per recent reporting, he's been on a quality-start heater coming into June, with a sub-2.50 ERA across a 4-outing stretch before the Toronto loss. Walks have been the wart — he keeps nibbling — and a Padres lineup that grinds counts can absolutely make him pay for that. Canning is the bigger question. The strikeouts have been there all year (33 K in 32.2 IP), but the ERA tells you he gets hit hard when he gets hit.

Camden Yards plays differently than it used to, but this is still a spot where a struggling righty can give up the cheap one to right-center. Total sits at 8.5 and the Orioles are a short home favorite. First pitch 7:05 PM ET — get there or DVR it.

MLBSan Diego PadresBaltimore OriolesPolymarketKalshiGriffin CanningShane Baz