Randy Vasquez (5-4, 3.63) vs. Trey Gibson (1-1, 4.24) is the listed Saturday card at Camden Yards, first pitch 4:05 PM ET. Vasquez is the steadier name on paper, but he's coming off a 4-inning, 4-earned dud against the Mets, and Gibson's last time out was a 4.2-inning, 3-run loss to Seattle where he didn't punch out a single hitter. Neither guy is going deep — bullpens decide this one.
The Padres walked into Baltimore needing to slow somebody down and instead watched Gunnar Henderson swat his 100th career homer in a 7-3 Friday loss. That's now 6 straight road losses for San Diego, and the offense outside of Fernando Tatis Jr. has been quiet. Tatis is the one thing humming — he's hitting .376 over his last 21 games, tied with Shohei Ohtani for most hits in baseball in that window.
Baltimore's not exactly a juggernaut at 34-37, but they've found something. 5 wins in their last 6, Pete Alonso anchoring the middle of the order with 15 homers, Henderson heating up, and Blaze Alexander hitting .391 over his last 20. The Padres holding up on the road right now would be a small ask of a rotation already missing Musgrove, Darvish, Pivetta, Waldron, and Marquez.
- Day-To-DayMiguel Andujar DH — Andujar (hamstring) remains out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Reds.
- 7-Day ILJake Cronenworth 2B — Cronenworth (concussion) has been participating in light baseball activities and is "ramping up," per MLB.com.
- 10-Day-ILLuis Campusano C — Campusano (toe) has been catching bullpens and is swinging pain-free, per MLB.com.
- 15-Day-ILMatt Waldron SP — Waldron (forearm) is scheduled to throw two innings of a bullpen session Tuesday and is on track to start a rehab assignment with Triple-A El Paso this Sunday, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
- 15-Day-ILGerman Marquez SP — Marquez (forearm) tossed four scoreless innings for Triple-A El Paso on Sunday, allowing one hit and issuing one walk while striking out two batters.
- 15-Day-ILJeremiah Estrada RP — Estrada (2-2) picked up the loss after giving up the eventual game-winning run in a 3-2 loss to Philadelphia on Tuesday.
- 60-Day-ILJoe Musgrove SP — Musgrove (elbow) started playing catch in late May, per MLB.com.
- 60-Day-ILRamon Laureano LF — Laureano underwent surgery Friday to repair his torn right labrum, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
- Day-To-DayJhonkensy Noel RF — Noel was placed on the 7-day injured list at Triple-A Norfolk on Monday with left wrist inflammation, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
- Day-To-DayLevi Wells P — Wells underwent successful core-muscle surgery Thursday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
- Day-To-DayRichard Guasch SP — no
- Day-To-DayWill Robertson LF — The Orioles reassigned Robertson to minor-league camp Wednesday, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.
- 10-Day-ILDylan Beavers RF — Beavers (oblique) hit in the batting cage Wednesday, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
- 15-Day-ILRyan Helsley RP — Helsley (elbow) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Norfolk on Thursday, Cordell Woodland of 105.7 The Fan Baltimore reports.
- 15-Day-ILCade Povich SP — Povich (elbow) will resume throwing bullpen sessions this week, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
- 15-Day-ILChris Bassitt SP — Bassitt (back) is travelling to rejoin the Orioles in Toronto on Friday and could make his next start Monday against the Mariners, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
Baltimore's own injury list isn't short either — no Ryan Mountcastle, no Jordan Westburg, no Zach Eflin, no Chris Bassitt, no Felix Bautista at the back end. Both teams are duct-taping lineups together. The Orioles are just doing a better job of it lately, and at home, against a Padres team that hasn't won a road game in 2 weeks, the vibes lean orange and black.
The market settled on Baltimore -126 with the total at 9.5, and the over has been bought up from -115 to -129 since open. That tracks with the matchup. If Vasquez or Gibson coughs it up early, this thing balloons fast.