Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks

Mon Aug 316:40 PM MST
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Two clubs with real October stakes collide in the desert, and neither one has much room left to slip.

FINAL · TUE SEP 1, 1:40 AM
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ARI
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Philadelphia Phillies
  • Won 4 straight, form's trending the right way
  • Nola pitching far better than his season line
  • Holding a share of the top NL Wild Card spot
  • Nola still carries a 5.03 ERA, 5-10 record
  • Sitting 5 games back of Atlanta in the NL East
  • Rojas, Garcia and Keller lost for the season
Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Pfaadt's 3.51 ERA backed by real underlying numbers
  • Ketel Marte back in the middle of the lineup
  • Holding the final NL Wild Card spot
  • Lost their last game before this series
  • Split their last 4 games against San Francisco
  • Still without Zac Gallen and Corbin Burnes

Aaron Nola (5-10, 5.03 ERA) gets the ball for Philadelphia against Brandon Pfaadt (7-1, 3.51 ERA) on Tuesday, September 1, with first pitch at 6:40 PM MT — a former workhorse trying to shake off the ugliest season of his career against a righty who spent time at Triple-A this year before locking down a rotation spot for good.

Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
(6-10)·4.69 ERA
Aug 25 @ Mariners
L
6.0IP
2ER
7K
3BB
92P
08/31 Lineup
Brandon Pfaadt
Brandon Pfaadt
(7-3)·3.77 ERA
Aug 25 vs Cubs
ND
6.2IP
4ER
3K
2BB
103P
08/31 Lineup

Ketel Marte is back in Arizona's lineup after a strange few weeks that ended with a trip to the injured list, and his return alone changes the math for a Diamondbacks offense that's had to piece things together in the middle of the order. It hasn't helped that Zac Gallen and Corbin Burnes are both still rehabbing at Triple-A Reno instead of in this rotation, leaving Pfaadt to shoulder more of the workload than a team chasing a wild card spot would like. None of that has stopped Arizona from drawing real interest from sharp bettors on this one.

Philadelphia, meanwhile, keeps rolling under Don Mattingly, who took over on an interim basis back in April and has the Phillies playing noticeably better baseball than the team that got Rob Thomson fired. They've won 4 straight, they're clinging to a share of the top NL Wild Card spot, and Nola — for all the damage done to his season numbers — has looked like a different pitcher his last several times out.

08/30W@Angels5-2
08/29W@Angels4-2
08/28W@Angels5-3
08/26W@Mariners6-0
08/25L@Mariners1-4
08/29L@Giants2-7
08/29W@Giants7-1
08/28W@Giants10-6
08/27L@Giants1-6
08/26WvsCubs2-0

Both clubs are playing with a division race they can't fully control. Philadelphia is chasing Atlanta in the NL East but has wild-card cushion behind it; Arizona is fighting to hold onto the last NL Wild Card spot with San Diego breathing down its neck. That's the kind of margin where a series like this one, unremarkable on paper, actually moves a September standings page.

Whichever way the pitching matchup breaks, the stakes are real on both sides of the diamond. A stretch of .500 baseball here is a real problem for either team with the schedule tightening up in September, and neither the Phillies nor the Diamondbacks look built to just shrug one off.

Phillies 2, Diamondbacks 1: Final Score & Odds Recap — Phillies' Hot Streak Meets Marte's Return In Arizona