Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

Sun Aug 21:40 PM ET
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: The Pirates already had this series in the bank. The Reds decided one win wasn't enough to feel better about anything.

FINAL · SUN AUG 2, 5:40 PM
WLLLL
2
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10
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PIT
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CIN
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Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Snapped a four-game skid with Saturday's win
  • Keller capable of length when command is on
  • Lost O'Hearn to 10-day IL with quad strain
  • Keller's ERA sits at 5.29 on the year
Cincinnati Reds
  • Burns is 12-1 with a 2.35 ERA
  • Went 3-2 over their last 5 games
  • Rotation depth gutted by Lodolo, Williamson, Ashcraft injuries
  • 52-58 record shows a team fading from contention

Cincinnati sends its Cy Young dark horse to the mound to close out a weekend the Reds mostly lost, while Pittsburgh trots out a veteran still trying to find his footing. Chase Burns has been the one unimpeachable thing about this Reds season, a rookie who's turned into the staff ace. Mitch Keller, meanwhile, is walking a 5.29 ERA into a ballpark where he's already lost once this series.

Pittsburgh Pirates
Mitch Keller
(6-8)·5.29 ERA
Jul 27 vs Diamondbacks
ND
5.1IP
2ER
4K
1BB
83P
08/02 Lineup
Cincinnati Reds
Chase Burns
(14-2)·2.47 ERA
Jul 28 vs Guardians
ND
5.0IP
1ER
4K
2BB
89P
08/02 Lineup

Keller's last time out against Arizona was a mixed bag: 5.1 innings, 2 earned, 4 strikeouts, no decision. Not a disaster, but not the form that turns a season around either. Burns' last start against Cleveland went similarly unspectacular by his own standard, 5 innings and 1 earned run with no decision, which for him counts as pedestrian. Both guys are walking in without a ton of swagger, even if the numbers overall still heavily favor the kid in Cincinnati red.

This series has been a demolition derby. The Pirates dropped the first two before finally breaking through Saturday, snapping a four-game skid behind a rain-soaked, walk-aided 4-1 win over Andrew Abbott and the Reds bullpen. That victory doesn't erase a brutal stretch for Pittsburgh, who've lost 4 of their last 5 and just placed Ryan O'Hearn on the 10-day IL with a quad strain. Cincinnati, despite going 3-2 over the same stretch, has its own issues piling up on the injury front.

The Reds' rotation is a M*A*S*H unit right now. Nick Lodolo is still working back from a finger issue, throwing simulated innings instead of live ones. Brandon Williamson is doing rehab starts in Double-A. Graham Ashcraft is on a long throwing program. That's three potential rotation pieces unavailable, which is exactly why Burns carrying a 12-1 record and a 2.35 ERA matters so much to a Reds team at 52-58 and fading. Pittsburgh isn't dealing with pitching attrition at the same scale, but losing O'Hearn's bat right as the offense searches for consistency is its own quiet problem.

08/01W@Reds4-1
07/31L@Reds7-8
07/30L@Reds2-3
07/29LvsDiamondbacks0-3
07/28LvsDiamondbacks7-8
08/01LvsPirates1-4
07/31WvsPirates8-7
07/30WvsPirates3-2
07/29LvsGuardians1-6
07/28WvsGuardians2-0

Neither team is playing for much beyond pride at this point. The Pirates sit at 56-56, treading water, while the Reds at 52-58 look like a club whose season is defined more by Burns' individual brilliance than any real playoff push. That imbalance, one true difference-maker on a roster otherwise scuffling, is the whole story of this game and maybe this Reds season.

It didn't take long for that gap to show up on the scoreboard.

Cincinnati jumped on Pittsburgh early and never let up, scoring in four of the first five innings and cruising to a 10-2 win to salvage the series finale. The Pirates managed just 4 hits all afternoon and only found the board twice, once in the 4th and once in the 8th, long after the game had been decided. A split series felt like the fair outcome all weekend, and that's exactly what both clubs got.

Pirates 2, Reds 10: Final Score & Odds Recap — Reds Blow Out Pirates to Salvage Series Finale