Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins

By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Neither of these teams is going to October on its current pace, but Target Field still gets Jacob deGrom tonight. Texas is at 79-80, Minnesota is at 75-84, and the only real question is which of these rosters has enough healthy arms left to get through 9 innings.

SAT SEP 26, 7:10 PM
Spread
WIN
Total
(79-80)
WLLLW
(75-84)
WWLWL

Texas and Minnesota are both playing out a late-September series, and tonight's appeal is deGrom against a Joe Ryan who is still regaining form after a glute strain. The starters grade out about even. What separates the teams is off the mound: a fully rested Twins bullpen against a Rangers relief group missing 6 arms, and 2 lineups that have both lost regular hitters to injury.

Rangers
  • deGrom still the best arm on the field
  • Won the Mets finale 3-1
  • Twins lineup missing Buxton, Culpepper, Larnach
  • deGrom walked 4, lasted 4.1 IP last start
  • Bullpen without Quantrill, Otanez, Beeks, Winn
  • 3 or fewer runs in 4 of last 5
Twins
  • Full day off, bullpen fully rested
  • Won 2 straight in San Francisco
  • Scored 8 against the Angels last week
  • Ryan gave up 16 ER over 3 starts before injury
  • Ryan has maxed out around 5 innings since returning
  • Buxton out for the year after hip surgery

First pitch is 7:10 PM CT. It's deGrom (11-10, 3.86) against Joe Ryan (6-10, 3.83), and the ERAs are close enough to call it even. Their last starts weren't. deGrom lasted only 4.1 innings against Toronto and walked 4 while striking out just 2. From a pitcher whose whole career is built on command, that's the line to watch. Ryan got through 5 innings against the Angels and gave up 2 runs, which was his longest outing since coming off the injured list.

Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom
(11-10)·3.86 ERA
Sep 20 vs Blue Jays
L
4.1IP
3ER
2K
4BB
82P
09/25 Lineup
Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
(6-10)·3.83 ERA
Sep 19 @ Angels
ND
5.0IP
2ER
5K
1BB
99P
09/25 Lineup

That IL stint matters for Ryan. He missed exactly a month with a left glute strain and was activated on Sept. 7. Before he got hurt, he had given up 16 earned runs over a 3-start stretch after the All-Star break. This year he has also dealt with back, elbow and arm-fatigue issues. He was an All-Star this season, but he isn't pitching like one right now, and at 99 pitches for 5 innings he isn't working deep. The moneyline is priced about as close to a coin flip as it gets.

The schedule tilts toward Minnesota. Texas played an afternoon game against the Mets on the 24th and won it 3-1, then flew north. The Twins haven't played since a day game in San Francisco on the 23rd, so their bullpen has had a full day off. That matters for a Ryan start that will probably hand the ball to relievers by the 6th inning.

09/24WvsMets3-1
09/23LvsMets2-7
09/22LvsMets3-6
09/20LvsBlue Jays2-7
09/19WvsBlue Jays6-2
09/23W@Giants4-2
09/22W@Giants3-2
09/21L@Giants2-5
09/20W@Angels8-0
09/19L@Angels5-6

The Rangers' offense has gone quiet. After a 6-2 win over Toronto, they scored 2, 3, 2 and 3 runs over their next 4 games, and the Mets won 2 of the 3 before Texas took the last one. It also just lost Joc Pederson, who went on the 10-day IL with a hand injury, retroactive to Sept. 19. Minnesota has been hitting better, with 8 runs against the Angels and 3 and 4 in its last 2 wins in San Francisco, both close games. The Twins have won 2 straight.

  • 10-Day-ILJoc Pederson (DH) — Texas placed Pederson (hand) on the 10-day injured list Tuesday, retroactive to Sept. 19.09/22
  • 10-Day-ILKyle Higashioka (C) — Higashioka (forearm) served as the designated hitter and went 1-for-5 for Triple-A Round Rock on Friday.09/05
  • 15-Day-ILMichel Otanez (RP) — The Rangers placed Otanez on the 15-day injured list Saturday with a viral illness, retroactive to Friday.09/19
  • 60-Day-ILCal Quantrill (RP) — The Rangers placed Quantrill (lat) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.09/22
  • 60-Day-ILJack Leiter (SP) — Leiter (ankle/biceps) threw a bullpen session at Globe Life Field on Sunday.09/22
  • 60-Day-ILCole Winn (RP) — The Rangers transferred Winn (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Friday.09/18
  • 60-Day-ILCarter Baumler (RP) — Baumler (intercostal) will begin a rehab assignment for Triple-A Round Rock this week.08/31
  • 60-Day-ILJose Corniell (RP) — The Rangers placed Corniell on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with an elbow injury.07/30
  • 60-Day-ILJalen Beeks (RP) — The Rangers transferred Beeks (forearm) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.07/21
  • 10-Day-ILTrevor Larnach (LF) — The Twins placed Larnach on the 10-day injured list Friday with left wrist soreness.09/18
  • 10-Day-ILKaelen Culpepper (SS) — The Twins placed Culpepper on the 10-day injured list Wednesday with a left hamstring strain.09/16
  • 10-Day-ILByron Buxton (CF) — Buxton will undergo season-ending arthroscopic surgery on his right hip Sept. 18.09/11
  • 15-Day-ILAnthony Banda (RP) — Banda underwent surgery to repair his left lat strain and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.07/09
  • 60-Day-ILMike Paredes (SP) — The Twins transferred Paredes (oblique) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Saturday.08/02
  • 60-Day-ILCole Sands (RP) — Sands will undergo arthroscopic surgery Tuesday to remove loose bodies and bone spurs from his right elbow.07/31
  • 60-Day-ILDavid Festa (SP) — Festa (shoulder) will undergo a season-ending double surgery Wednesday.07/29
  • 60-Day-ILMick Abel (SP) — The Twins plan to re-evaluate Abel (elbow) on Sept. 1.07/20
  • 60-Day-ILPablo Lopez (SP) — The Twins placed Lopez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08

Both injury lists are long, but they hurt in different places. Texas has lost much of its bullpen: Cal Quantrill (lat), Michel Otanez (viral illness), Cole Winn, Jalen Beeks, Jose Corniell and Carter Baumler are all out. After deGrom, the relievers left are thin. Minnesota's losses are mostly in the lineup. Byron Buxton is done for the year after hip surgery, and Kaelen Culpepper (hamstring) and Trevor Larnach (wrist) are also on the 10-day list. That leaves 2 depleted lineups on a cloudy, 64-degree night with almost no wind.

There's nothing here for the standings, but deGrom is always worth watching. If he gets back to throwing strikes, Texas has the better arm on the mound. If the walks continue, the Twins get to face a Rangers bullpen that is missing half its relievers.

Live Odds

Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins — deGrom and a Rested Twins Pen Meet in a Late-September Coin Flip | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush