Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers

Sat Oct 247:00 PM CTFoxMilwaukee, WI
By JR·3 min read
Rays(98-64)
Brewers(103-59)
Saturday 10/247:00 PM

TLDR: Milwaukee has won 5 straight and holds a 1-0 lead in the World Series. Tampa Bay lost Game 1 by a run after leaving the bases loaded in the 9th, and it gets one more shot at American Family Field before the series leaves town.

SUN 10/25, 7:00 PMFox
(98-64)
LWWWL
WWWWW

Milwaukee leads the World Series 1-0 after a 3-2 Game 1 win built on 2 runs in the 1st, 5 innings from Misiorowski and 4 innings of strong relief. MLB.com lists Drew Rasmussen against rookie Logan Henderson for Game 2. It's Tampa Bay's best postseason arm against a starter who hasn't gone deep, which leaves the game to how early each side gets into the other's bullpen. The Rays are thin in the rotation without McClanahan, while the Brewers come in on a 5-game winning streak.

Tampa Bay Rays
  • Rasmussen: 3 runs allowed in 21 postseason innings
  • Facing a rookie starter who hasn't gone deep this October
  • Loaded the bases against Megill in the Game 1 9th
  • Fielding misplays handed over 2 Game 1 runs
  • Rotation thinned with McClanahan out for the postseason
  • Only 7 hits against Milwaukee's staff in Game 1
Milwaukee Brewers
  • Uribe, Ashby and Megill allowed 1 run over 4 innings
  • Have won 5 straight, including the last 4 against the Dodgers
  • Chourio keeps getting big hits despite a .205 average
  • Henderson has covered just 9 innings in 2 postseason starts
  • Top relievers pitched the end of Game 1
  • Megill needed a replay review to close out Game 1

Ignore the names on the pitcher card for a second. It's still showing the Game 1 matchup, Nick Martinez against Jacob Misiorowski, and both of them pitched in the opener. MLB.com lists Drew Rasmussen for Tampa Bay and rookie Logan Henderson for Milwaukee as the Game 2 probables. That's the matchup Kevin Cash set up on purpose, holding his best arm back a day. Rasmussen has allowed 3 runs in 21 postseason innings, and now he has to show the plan was worth it.

Drew Rasmussen
Drew Rasmussen
(16-5)·2.67 ERA
Oct 18 @ Guardians
W
7.0IP
1ER
6K
1BB
95P
10/24 Lineup
Logan Henderson
Logan Henderson
(11-3)·2.47 ERA
Oct 12 vs Dodgers
ND
4.0IP
2ER
2K
2BB
64P
10/24 Lineup

The plan cost the Rays in Game 1. Martinez gave up 2 runs in the 1st, both on balls that got off Tampa Bay gloves, and he was done after 4 innings. Misiorowski opened the night with a 103.5 mph fastball to Yandy Díaz, the fastest pitch ever thrown by a starter in a World Series, and gave up 1 run over 5. Henderson is the 8th rookie to start a World Series game in 9 years. He's been good this October, with 3 earned runs over 9 innings and 2 wins, but 9 innings over 2 starts tells you Milwaukee hasn't been asking him to go deep.

Henderson's short outings put the Brewers bullpen in the spotlight again. Abner Uribe, Aaron Ashby and Trevor Megill covered the last 4 innings of Game 1 and allowed 1 run. The 9th got loud: Megill loaded the bases and only got out of it after a replay review. That bullpen came into the series rested and pitched like it. If Henderson is out early again, the same arms are going back out the next night.

10/23L@Brewers2-3
10/19WvsGuardians7-3
10/18W@Guardians3-1
10/17W@Guardians7-3
10/15L@Guardians2-3
10/23WvsRays3-2
10/15W@Dodgers6-4
10/14W@Dodgers6-2
10/12WvsDodgers7-4
10/11WvsDodgers2-1

Milwaukee's run has been close to perfect. The Brewers won their last 4 against the Dodgers and have now won 5 straight, mostly in low-scoring games: 2-1, 3-2 and a couple of 6-run nights. Jackson Chourio is hitting .205 this postseason, but he drove in the 7th-inning run that ended up deciding Game 1, and MLB.com points to his walk-off single off Padres closer Mason Miller as the kind of hit he keeps getting. Christian Yelich and William Contreras drove in the 2 runs in the 1st. Tampa Bay won 3 of its 4 against Cleveland in its last 5 before this series and out-hit Milwaukee's bullpen late in Game 1. It still came up 1 run short on 7 hits.

Tampa Bay's injury list gets thin where it hurts most. Shane McClanahan is out for the rest of the postseason with a forearm injury, and Ryan Pepiot has been out since hip surgery in May. That's how a rotation ends up asking Martinez to start a World Series opener. Milwaukee's list is mostly arms that have been gone for months: Brian Fitzpatrick, Quinn Priester and Angel Zerpa. None of them were part of the October plan.

First pitch is 7:00 PM CT. The Rays, a 98-win team, need a win to head home tied at 1. The 103-win Brewers can put Tampa Bay in a 2-0 hole with their rookie on the mound. On paper, Tampa Bay has the better starter. The question is whether the Rays can get to the 6th inning without falling behind again.

Rays vs. Brewers World Series Game 2: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 24) — Rays Turn to Rasmussen to Even the World Series in Milwaukee · Barstool Bush