Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians

Sat Oct 178:00 PM ETTBS,truTVCleveland, OH
By JR·2 min read
Rays(98-64)
Guardians(85-77)
Saturday 10/178:00 PM

TLDR: The rain pushed it back a day, and now Cleveland gets a shot at a 3-1 ALCS lead at home. The 98-win Rays had 3 hits in Game 3 and have to find some offense before this series gets away from them.

SUN 10/18, 8:00 PMTBStruTV
(98-64)
LWLWW
1st pitch 45°

Cleveland leads the ALCS 2-1 and opens Game 4 with Shawn Armstrong in a bullpen game, starting a stretch of 4 games in 4 days after Friday's rainout. Tampa Bay counters with Nick Martinez, who threw 13 scoreless innings against the Guardians this season, but the Rays managed just 3 hits in Game 3 and need their bats to show up before the series gets away from them.

Tampa Bay Rays
  • Martinez threw 13 scoreless innings vs Cleveland in 2026
  • Díaz, Caminero righties atop order vs Armstrong
  • Cleveland pen faces 4 games in 4 days
  • Just 3 hits in the Game 3 loss
  • Martinez short lately: 2.2 IP, then 3.2 IP
  • McClanahan out for the postseason
Cleveland Guardians
  • Lead the ALCS 2-1 at home
  • Pen blanked Rays after the 5th in Game 3
  • Armstrong: 1 hit in 5.1 postseason innings
  • Bullpen game starts 4 straight days of games
  • Holderman and Walters out of the pen
  • Rays starter shut them out twice this year

Tampa Bay sticks with Nick Martinez (15-6, 3.10) after the rainout, and the Rays have a good reason to. He threw 13 scoreless innings against Cleveland this season: 7 in a 1-0 win at Progressive Field in April and 6 more in a 3-0 win at the Trop in July. Cleveland is going with a bullpen game. Shawn Armstrong (2-1, 4.58) opens at 8:00 PM ET, and Stephen Vogt has had Game 4 marked as a bullpen night for a while.

Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez
(15-6)·3.10 ERA
Sep 27 @ Phillies
L
2.2IP
4ER
1K
1BB
50P
10/17 Lineup
Shawn Armstrong
Shawn Armstrong
(2-1)·4.58 ERA
Sep 26 @ Royals
ND
1.0IP
0ER
1K
0BB
11P
10/17 Lineup

Armstrong's postseason has been better than his ERA suggests. In 5 appearances he's allowed 1 hit over 5 1/3 innings with 5 strikeouts. He'll probably face right-handed hitters Yandy Díaz and Junior Caminero at the top of the Rays' order, and once he's out it's a Cleveland pen already missing Colin Holderman (wrist surgery) and Andrew Walters (UCL repair). Tampa Bay is short-handed too, with Shane McClanahan done for the postseason and Ryan Pepiot out for the year. The board has this as close to a coin flip, with the Rays a slight favorite.

Friday's rainout changed the schedule. Game 5 is now Sunday, so Cleveland's relievers are looking at 4 games in 4 days, Saturday through Tuesday. Cade Smith, Hunter Gaddis and Erik Sabrowski have already pitched a lot this October. Gaddis says he wants the ball as much as possible, which is good, because he's going to get it. Foster Griffin, the Game 1 starter, is on normal rest and could cover length. Rookie Parker Messick could move up to start Game 5.

10/15L@Guardians2-3
10/13WvsGuardians3-1
10/12LvsGuardians3-7
10/07W@Yankees4-3
10/05WvsYankees5-2
10/15WvsRays3-2
10/13L@Rays1-3
10/12W@Rays7-3
10/10WvsWhite Sox2-0
10/08W@White Sox9-5

Game 3 showed how this series could go. Gavin Williams struck out 9 in 5 innings, Petey Halpin hit a 2-run homer off Griffin Jax in the 5th to erase the lead from Casey Simpson's triple, and Cleveland's thin bullpen threw zeros the rest of the way. The Rays finished with 3 hits. A 98-64 team losing a series to an 85-77 team usually means it isn't hitting, and that's what's happened here. Tampa Bay has 3 runs or fewer in each of the 3 games.

Martinez's track record against Cleveland is great, but he hasn't been pitching deep lately. His last regular-season start ended after 2.2 innings and 4 earned runs in Philadelphia, and his ALDS start at Yankee Stadium lasted 3 2/3 innings with 2 runs allowed. If he gets through the order twice, the Rays should be fine. If not, both teams are in a bullpen game on a clear, 45-degree night by the lake. A Cleveland win puts them 1 game from the World Series. A Tampa Bay win ties it 2-2 and sends both bullpens into Sunday tired.

ALCS Game 4: Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians — Rays Hand Martinez the Ball as Cleveland Turns to Its Bullpen | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush