Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners

Sat Aug 86:50 PM PT
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: The Rays own the best record in the American League and just took 3 straight from Colorado. The Mariners are averaging a shutout every 5 games and just got run out of their own ballpark. This one's lopsided on paper before a pitch is thrown.

FINAL · SUN AUG 9, 1:50 AM
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Tampa Bay Rays
  • Best record in the American League, leads AL East
  • Won 4 of last 5, swept Rockies series
  • Jax's last start: 8 K's, 1 run in 5 innings
  • Bullpen down 4 relievers (McClanahan, Sulser, Uceta, more)
  • Lost 1-9 to White Sox within last 5 games
Seattle Mariners
  • Kirby tossed 7 scoreless innings his last start
  • Won 3 of last 5 overall
  • League-worst-tied 11 shutouts this season
  • Crawford out, Raley likely done for the year
  • Just got blown out 0-11 in series finale vs. Detroit

Griffin Jax gets the ball for Tampa Bay on Saturday, and George Kirby counters for Seattle in a game set for 6:50 PM PT at T-Mobile Park. Jax has been up and down in a swingman role all year, but his last time out was the version the Rays need more of — 8 strikeouts in 5 shutout-until-late innings against the White Sox, even if the bullpen let it slip away.

Casey Legumina
Casey Legumina
(2-2)·3.99 ERA
Jul 29 vs Rangers
ND
1.2IP
0ER
0K
0BB
24P
08/08 Lineup
George Kirby
George Kirby
(8-10)·4.18 ERA
Aug 2 vs Twins
ND
7.0IP
0ER
3K
1BB
94P
08/08 Lineup

Kirby, for his part, has quietly been Seattle's best argument against blowing things up at the deadline. He tossed 7 scoreless against Minnesota his last time out, walking one and scattering 5 hits, the kind of start that makes the trade rumors around him feel almost beside the point when he's actually on the mound.

That's the cruel joke of this Mariners season: their pitching has been fine, and it hasn't mattered. Seattle has been shut out 11 times this year, tied for the most in baseball, and an offense that leans on the home run has too many nights where nothing leaves the yard. The finale against Detroit was the latest gut punch — 7 singles, four double plays, an 11-0 final that buried a scoreless start from Bryce Miller.

08/05W@Rockies4-0
08/05W@Rockies9-7
08/04W@Rockies13-9
08/02LvsWhite Sox1-9
08/01WvsWhite Sox1-0
08/06LvsTigers0-11
08/06WvsTigers4-2
08/05LvsTigers0-8
08/02WvsTwins7-6
08/01WvsTwins4-3

Tampa Bay, meanwhile, is playing the sport's most complete brand of baseball right now. The Rays lead the AL East outright and have the best record in the league, and they've backed that up lately by riding their bullpen through 4 wins in the last 5, including back-to-back slugfests in Colorado where they outscored the Rockies 22-16 over two games. This roster finds ways to win whether it's a pitchers' duel or a track meet.

The injury sheets tell two different stories. Tampa Bay's is mostly pitching depth — McClanahan, Sulser, Uceta and Pepiot are all out, which is why manager Kevin Cash keeps mixing and matching arms like Jax between roles. Seattle's hurts more where it counts: J.P. Crawford is out with a wrist issue, and Luke Raley is likely done for the year with a forearm strain, thinning out a lineup that already can't find enough runs.

Put it together and Seattle needs a lot to go right just to keep pace — Kirby has to be dominant again, and the lineup has to actually show up behind him, something it hasn't reliably done in weeks. Tampa Bay just needs to keep doing what it's been doing, which is winning with whoever's on the mound that day. The gap between these two teams right now isn't close, and Saturday looks like another data point for it.

Rays 3, Mariners 2: Final Score & Odds Recap — Best Record in Baseball Rolls Into Seattle's Offensive Slump