Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox

By Bush StaffUpdated 106d ago·2 min read
Tampa Bay RaysTB(25-12)
Boston Red SoxBOS(17-22)
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The Rays are the story of the early AL East, and it isn't close. They take the field at Fenway with a 25-12 record, riding a 5-game win streak per their last-5 log, and according to the wires they're chasing what would be their 8th straight win and 14th in 15. That is a team in full flight.

Tampa Bay Rays
Jesse Scholtens
(5-2)·3.22 ERA
05/08 Lineup
Boston Red Sox
Connelly Early
(4-2)·3.33 ERA
05/08 Lineup
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
(25-12)
WWWWW
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
(17-22)
WWWLW

Game 2 of a 4-game set features Jesse Scholtens against Connelly Early. Scholtens just ate up the Giants for one run over a short outing in his last turn and historically has handled Boston (1-1, 1.29 ERA across two career appearances). Early, meanwhile, got his first crack at Tampa Bay last September and gave up 3 runs in 4 innings — a forgettable debut against this lineup that he'll want to scrub off the resume tonight.

The Rays' run-prevention has been the engine. Recent reporting noted they hadn't allowed more than 3 runs in 12 straight games at one point, tying a franchise mark set back in 2013. That's the kind of stretch that turns 25-12 from a fluke conversation into a legit one. Yandy Díaz has been the steadying bat, and Jonathan Aranda has been productive throughout the run.

The market is leaning the other way, though — Boston is a -133 home favorite and DK money is piling in on the Sox moneyline (only 12% handle on the Rays moneyline despite 53% of bets). Sharp money is sitting on the home side. The total is parked at 8.5 with the over getting the public, but neither side of this game grades out as a positive-EV bet by these numbers.

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
(17)
  • Day-To-DayAustin Vernon (RP)no05/08
  • Day-To-DayTy Johnson (SP)no05/08
  • Day-To-DayLogan Driscoll (C)no05/08
  • Day-To-DayKeyshawn Askew (RP)no05/08
  • Day-To-DayTre' Morgan (1B)no05/08
  • Day-To-DayAlfredo Zarraga (RP)no05/08
  • Day-To-DayJohn Rooney (RP)no05/08
  • Day-To-DayTJ Nichols (P)no05/08
  • 10-Day-ILGavin Lux (LF)no05/08
  • 15-Day-ILJoe Boyle (SP)no05/08
  • 15-Day-ILSteven Matz (SP)no05/08
  • 15-Day-ILMason Englert (RP)no05/08
  • 60-Day-ILSteven Wilson (RP)no05/08
  • 60-Day-ILRyan Pepiot (SP)no05/08
  • 60-Day-ILMichael Grove (RP)no05/08
  • 60-Day-ILManuel Rodriguez (RP)no05/08
  • 60-Day-ILEdwin Uceta (RP)no05/08
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
(13)
  • Day-To-DayRanger Suarez (SP)Red Sox interim manager Chad Tracy said Friday that Suarez's (hamstring) next start will come next week "sometime in the Philly series," Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayHobie Harris (RP)Harris was optioned to Triple-A Rochester on Saturday, Jesse Dougherty of The Washington Post reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILRoman Anthony (LF)The Red Sox placed Anthony (wrist) on the 10-day injured list Thursday, retroactive to Tuesday, Gabrielle Starr of the Boston Herald reports.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILJustin Slaten (RP)Slaten (oblique) allowed one hit and struck out two over a scoreless inning for Double-A Portland on Sunday.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILDanny Coulombe (RP)The Red Sox placed Coulombe on the 15-day injured list Monday with cervical spasms.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet (SP)Crochet (shoulder) was able to play catch Sunday for the first time since landing on the injured list Wednesday, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILKutter Crawford (SP)Crawford has been diagnosed with inflammation in his right elbow following an MRI, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.05/08
  • OutBrendan Rodgers (2B)Rodgers (shoulder) re-signed Friday with the Red Sox on a two-year, minor-league contract, Chris Hatfield of SoxProspects.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTriston Casas (1B)The Red Sox transferred Casas (abdomen/knee) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILRomy Gonzalez (1B)The Red Sox placed Gonzalez (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Thursday, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTanner Houck (SP)Houck (elbow) began a throwing program Monday with 25 throws from 45 feet, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILPatrick Sandoval (SP)The Red Sox transferred Sandoval (biceps/elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJohan Oviedo (SP)Oviedo (elbow) will be reevaluated by Dr. Keith Meister in two weeks to determine his progress, Marcos Grunfeld of ElEmergente.com reports.05/08

Tampa's IL is a graveyard of arms — Pepiot, Boyle, Matz, Englert and a handful of relievers are all on the shelf, plus Gavin Lux on the 10-day. That the Rays are playing this kind of baseball without a chunk of their pitching depth makes the run even more impressive. Boston's job is simple and hard at the same time: shorten the game, get to a thinner Tampa bullpen, and stop a streak that is starting to feel less like a streak and more like a problem.

MLBTampa Bay RaysBoston Red SoxPolymarketKalshiJesse ScholtensConnelly Early