Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers

Fri Sep 116:45 PM CTMilwaukee, WI
By JR·1 min read

TLDR: Milwaukee owns the better record by more than 20 games, and it still hasn't been able to solve Cincinnati the last two times these two met.

FINAL · FRI SEP 11, 11:45 PM
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Milwaukee brings the best record in this matchup to American Family Field on Friday, September 11, but Cincinnati has taken both of the two clubs' recent meetings. Andrew Abbott and Dustin May each cut their last turns short, and Milwaukee's pitching staff has absorbed several fresh injuries while Cincinnati's lineup is still missing key pieces of its own. The total sits at the center of the board's attention here, with both bullpens likely to see extra work.

Cincinnati Reds
  • Beat this Brewers roster twice already this stretch
  • Abbott held Milwaukee to 1 run in his last look
  • Just got swept by the Dodgers, outscored 20-6
  • Missing Toglia, Dunn and ace Hunter Greene for the year
Milwaukee Brewers
  • Won the first 3 of a set from the Cubs
  • Best record of the two clubs by a wide margin
  • Lost both recent meetings with this Reds team
  • Bullpen down two more arms to IL in the past 2 weeks

Andrew Abbott (6-10, 4.43 ERA) takes the ball for Cincinnati at American Family Field on Friday, September 11, at 6:45 PM CT, working opposite Milwaukee's Dustin May (6-9, 4.69). Abbott held this same Brewers lineup to a single run over 4 innings in his last look at them; May lasted only 3.2 innings and gave up 2 in his last turn against Cincinnati.

Andrew Abbott
Andrew Abbott
(6-11)·4.61 ERA
Sep 5 vs Brewers
ND
4.0IP
1ER
5K
0BB
58P
09/11 Lineup
Dustin May
Dustin May
(7-9)·4.67 ERA
Sep 5 @ Reds
ND
3.2IP
2ER
5K
0BB
56P
09/11 Lineup

Cincinnati's lineup is already down Michael Toglia and Blake Dunn for the year and is waiting on word on Spencer Steer's wrist before that group gets any healthier. Milwaukee's pitching staff has taken the bigger recent hit, though — Grant Anderson and Bryse Wilson both landed on the 15-day IL within the past couple weeks, joining a 60-day group that already includes Brandon Woodruff and Quinn Priester. The board still prices Milwaukee like the healthier staff of the two.

Interest in this one is quiet by the standards of a Brewers game this season — the Polymarket chat room for Friday is running well below the typical crowd a Milwaukee game draws, even with a 91-win club on one side of it.

09/09L@Dodgers1-14
09/08L@Dodgers2-3
09/07L@Dodgers3-6
09/06WvsBrewers12-8
09/05WvsBrewers5-3
09/09WvsCubs8-6
09/08WvsCubs4-3
09/07WvsCubs4-3
09/06L@Reds8-12
09/05L@Reds3-5

Milwaukee arrives having taken the first 3 of a set from the Cubs, a stretch that covers up a rougher week that opened with back-to-back losses to this same Reds team. Cincinnati followed its two wins over the Brewers by getting outscored 20-6 across a 3-game series in Los Angeles, including a 14-run beatdown that wiped out whatever momentum carried over.

None of that changes the gap in the standings — Milwaukee sits more than 20 games clear of a Reds club playing out the string — but the recent meetings between these two haven't gone according to that record, and Friday adds one more data point to a season series that's been closer than the overall numbers suggest.

Reds 0, Brewers 20: Final Score & Odds Recap — Reds And Brewers Clash Again With Milwaukee's Bullpen Thin