Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants

Mon Aug 246:45 PM PT
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Cincinnati's wild-card hopes are hanging by a thread, but they've still got the best arm on the mound Tuesday. San Francisco just keeps finding new ways to lose.

FINAL · TUE AUG 25, 1:45 AM
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Cincinnati Reds
  • Chase Burns has been a dominant rookie ace
  • still mathematically alive in wild-card race
  • offense has been wildly inconsistent lately
  • lost both regular 1B options to injury
San Francisco Giants
  • Eldridge went deep in his last game before exiting
  • sharp money has piled onto this side
  • lost 4 straight, 1-4 in last 5
  • Adames and Bericoto both banged up entering this one
  • Whisenhunt's fastball velocity is fading with a 7.03 ERA

Cincinnati hands the ball to Chase Burns, the rookie right-hander who's quietly been the best story in a lost Reds season — a 14-2 record and a 2.51 ERA that looks like a typo. San Francisco counters with Carson Whisenhunt, who's been anything but steady, and the 6:45 PM PT first pitch pits the two arms about as far apart as a scoreboard allows.

Chase Burns
Chase Burns
(15-3)·2.79 ERA
Aug 19 vs Cardinals
ND
5.0IP
2ER
8K
2BB
104P
08/24 Lineup
Carson Whisenhunt
Carson Whisenhunt
(3-4)·6.49 ERA
Aug 18 @ Guardians
L
4.0IP
6ER
1K
2BB
80P
08/24 Lineup

The Giants are already down key pieces, and it got worse over the weekend. Willy Adames left a game against the Red Sox with a left elbow injury and Victor Bericoto exited that same game with a knee issue — both considered day-to-day, neither with a firm timetable. Bryce Eldridge is out too, thinning a lineup that already couldn't solve Boston's rotation. That's a lot to ask a shorthanded offense to overcome against a pitcher of Burns' caliber, and the board reflects it.

None of this happened overnight for San Francisco. This is a club that's dropped 4 straight, watching a roster that already had holes get thinner by the week. Cincinnati's not exactly steamrolling either — the Reds have alternated getting run out of the ballpark and running up the score themselves in their last few outings — but the shape of the roster gap here is hard to miss.

08/23L@Diamondbacks3-5
08/23W@Diamondbacks11-5
08/22L@Diamondbacks0-9
08/20LvsCardinals9-10
08/19WvsCardinals5-4
08/23L@Red Sox4-5
08/22L@Red Sox2-3
08/21L@Red Sox4-6
08/20L@Guardians2-5
08/19W@Guardians1-0

Burns has quietly authored one of the better rookie pitching seasons around, working at least 6 strikeouts in 4 straight starts entering Tuesday. Cincinnati's still technically alive in the wild-card picture, but the deficit is real, and nights like this one carry as much weight for next year's rotation plans as they do for this year's standings.

Whisenhunt's stuff has backed up as the season's worn on — his last look had him sitting under 93 mph on the fastball and getting just a single swinging strike on nearly 30 of them. If that trend holds at Oracle Park, where the marine layer usually keeps hitters honest, San Francisco's staff has its work cut out just keeping this competitive into the middle innings.

Reds 0, Giants 5: Final Score & Odds Recap — Chase Burns Meets a Giants Team in Total Freefall