Cincinnati Reds at Seattle Mariners

Tue Jul 216:40 PM PT
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Seattle just blew the doors off the Reds 8-0 and grabbed a half-game lead in the AL West. Cincinnati's answer: hand the ball to the best pitcher in this series.

FINAL · WED JUL 22, 1:40 AM
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SEA
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Cincinnati Reds
  • Chase Burns is a legit All-Star ace, 2.54 ERA
  • Elly De La Cruz red-hot, franchise SB record
  • Won 2 of last 3 in Colorado
  • 45-54, well out of the race
  • Rotation gutted: Lodolo, Ashcraft, Williamson hurt
  • Just got shut out 8-0, Steer hurt on top of it
Seattle Mariners
  • 51-50, half-game lead in AL West
  • Won 3 straight, Raleigh's grand slam Monday
  • Home field, offense clicking
  • Castillo shaky all year, rough last start
  • Julio Rodriguez, J.P. Crawford both day-to-day
  • Still without Donovan, Refsnyder on rehab

Chase Burns has been the one thing keeping this Reds season from total collapse, and he draws Luis Castillo in a matchup that isn't close on paper. Burns rolls in at 11-1 with a 2.54 ERA, an All-Star nod already banked, and a stat line that reads like a typo: 2 runs or fewer allowed in 14 of his first 15 starts, something no Reds pitcher had done since 1900. Castillo, meanwhile, is stuck at 3-8 with a 4.93 ERA and just got roughed up for 4 earned runs over 5 innings against Tampa Bay in his last time out.

Cincinnati Reds
Chase Burns
(13-1)·2.35 ERA
Jul 8 vs Phillies
W
5.0IP
3ER
2K
6BB
106P
07/21 Lineup
Seattle Mariners
Luis Castillo
(3-9)·5.06 ERA
Jul 10 @ Rays
L
5.0IP
4ER
4K
1BB
91P
07/21 Lineup

Seattle's riding a 3-game winning streak into this one, punctuated by Cal Raleigh's 6th career grand slam in Monday's blowout, but that win came with a scare. Julio Rodriguez left after getting struck by a throw from Elly De La Cruz and is now day-to-day, and J.P. Crawford's already dealing with wrist soreness that scratched him earlier in the series. Manager Dan Wilson didn't sound panicked about Rodriguez, but losing your best all-around player for even a game or two matters against a division rival breathing down your neck.

Cincinnati isn't walking into Seattle as a healthy club either. Spencer Steer got X-rayed after taking a pitch to the ribs Monday, and the pitching staff is already thin with Nick Lodolo, Graham Ashcraft, Brandon Williamson and Tony Santillan all on the shelf. The one thing going right in Cincinnati's favor right now is Elly De La Cruz, who's been arguably the best player in this series and has turned into one of the sport's must-watch talents.

07/21L@Mariners0-8
07/19W@Rockies9-6
07/18L@Rockies3-10
07/18W@Rockies7-2
07/12LvsCubs4-8
07/21WvsReds8-0
07/19WvsGiants6-3
07/19WvsGiants4-3
07/18LvsGiants0-7
07/12W@Rays8-2

The records tell two different stories — Seattle's fighting for a division lead at 51-50, Cincinnati's 9 games under .500 and mostly playing out the string at 45-54 — but this specific game hinges less on the standings and more on who's actually available and who's on the mound. De La Cruz set a franchise record for the fastest path to 150 stolen bases this season, and he's been hitting safely in bunches all July, giving the Reds a legitimate spark at the top of the order even as the rest of the roster limps.

Burns has been must-see theater all year, and Tuesday's the kind of get-right spot for Cincinnati that this rotation desperately needs after getting shut out Monday. If Seattle's lineup is even a little short-handed with Rodriguez and Crawford banged up, this has the look of a game that stays close a lot longer than an 8-0 final would suggest.

Reds 4, Mariners 2: Final Score & Odds Recap — Reds Ace Chase Burns Tries to Save Cincinnati From a Sweep