Andrew Abbott (4-3, 4.06) gets the ball for Cincinnati against Walker Buehler (3-3, 4.53) at 8:40 PM CT, with both lefties — well, Buehler's a righty, but both starters — coming off no-decisions where they actually pitched well. Abbott went 6 innings of 3-run ball against the Royals on 105 pitches; Buehler tossed 6 frames of 1-run ball at the Phillies on a tidy 86 pitches. Neither offense gave them anything to work with, which is exactly the theme of this matchup.
The Padres' offense has fallen off a cliff. San Diego is 1-9 in its last 10, averaging 2.6 runs a game over that stretch, and Manny Machado is hitting .174 with an OBP below his previous career-low. They got shut out 5-0 by the Mets on Friday with 3 singles to show for the night, and they dropped 2 of 3 to New York on the homestand. This is a lineup that looks like it's pressing, and Pinnacle still has them as -131 home favorites largely on the strength of Buehler and the bullpen.
Cincinnati isn't exactly arriving with momentum either. The Reds got swept in St. Louis over the weekend — losing 10-3, 6-5, and 5-3 — to drop 4 straight and fall to 31-33. Losing Elly De La Cruz to a hamstring strain on June 1 hasn't helped, and his MRI got bumped up to June 12, which is the kind of detail that usually doesn't mean great news. Hunter Greene is still on the 60-day IL with the elbow, though Terry Francona has hinted at a pre-All-Star-break return.
- Day-To-DayConnor Burns C — no
- Day-To-DayJosh Staumont RP — The Twins reinstated Staumont (calf) from the 15-day injured list Friday and optioned him to Triple-A St. Paul, Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic reports.
- 10-Day-ILElly De La Cruz SS — De La Cruz (hamstring) had his scheduled MRI moved up three days to this coming Friday, June 12, Gordon Wittenmyer of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
- 10-Day-ILJose Trevino C — Trevino (hamstring) began a rehab assignment with Triple-A Louisville on Thursday, going 0-for-3 with a strikeout.
- 10-Day-ILKe'Bryan Hayes 3B — Hayes is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Phillies.
- 15-Day-ILPierce Johnson RP — Johnson (elbow) is expected to toss a bullpen session Tuesday, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.
- 15-Day-ILEmilio Pagan RP — Pagan (hamstring) underwent an MRI exam Friday that showed positive results, MLB.com reports.
- 60-Day-ILHunter Greene SP — Reds manager Terry Francona told reporters Saturday that Greene (elbow) could return from the 60-day injured list prior to the All-Star break, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.
- Day-To-DayMiguel Andujar DH — Andujar was removed from Sunday's contest versus the Mets in the seventh inning due to a hamstring injury, Annie Heilbrunn of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
- Day-To-DayBlake Hunt C — Hunt is dealing with an oblique injury and has been shut down from activity, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
- 7-Day ILJake Cronenworth 2B — Cronenworth (concussion) has been running, playing catch and taking light swings in the batting cage, but he remains without a definitive timetable for a return, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union Tribune reports.
- 10-Day-ILLuis Campusano C — Campusano (toe) has been catching bullpens and is swinging pain-free, per MLB.com.
- 15-Day-ILJeremiah Estrada RP — Estrada (2-2) picked up the loss after giving up the eventual game-winning run in a 3-2 loss to Philadelphia on Tuesday.
- 15-Day-ILGerman Marquez SP — Marquez (forearm) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A El Paso on Tuesday.
- 15-Day-ILMatt Waldron SP — Waldron (forearm) could take on a bullpen role when he returns from the 15-day injured list, MLB.com reports.
- 60-Day-ILRamon Laureano LF — Laureano underwent surgery Friday to repair his torn right labrum, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
The injury reports on both sides read like depth-chart casualty lists. San Diego is without Nick Pivetta, Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish, German Marquez and Matt Waldron from the rotation alone, plus Jake Cronenworth (concussion), Ramon Laureano (labrum surgery), and Miguel Andujar pulled himself out of Sunday's game with a hamstring. Cincinnati is missing De La Cruz, Greene, Jose Trevino, Ke'Bryan Hayes, and most of its leverage bullpen between Pierce Johnson, Emilio Pagan, and Graham Ashcraft.
Total sits at 8.5 with the under juiced to -121, which feels about right given how cold both lineups are and how Petco usually plays. If you're hunting an angle, the Reds plus the runline at +1.5 (-181) is the obvious read — Cincinnati has lost 4 straight but the last 3 were all by 1 or 2 runs, and Abbott has been steady enough to keep the Reds in striking distance against a Padres lineup that hasn't hit a stretch run since Memorial Day.