Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees

By Bush StaffUpdated 65d ago·2 min read
Cincinnati RedsCIN(35-38)
New York YankeesNYY(45-27)
41
FINAL
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CIN
000300001470
NYY
001000000172

Cole, 12 2/3 scoreless innings into his return from a 569-day Tommy John layoff, draws a Reds club that just got carved up 9-1 by the Mets on Wednesday. Across from him is Burns, 8-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 95 strikeouts in 80 2/3 innings, walking into Yankee Stadium for what is shaping up as the biggest start of his rookie year. On stuff alone, this is the best pitching matchup the Reds will see all month.

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FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Reds(35-38)
LWWLW
4
Yankees(45-27)
WWWWL
1
Best BetReds -122
Pregame

Cole is dominant but he's still a guy on a strict pitch count working his way back from major elbow surgery — the Yankees will pull him early no matter what. Stack that against a rookie ace pitching like a Cy Young candidate and a Yankees lineup without Judge, Stanton, Wells and Grisham, and the Reds are live as a road dog. Take Cincinnati on the moneyline if the price stays plus.

The Yankees are 45-27 and have ripped off 4 wins in 5, with a 12-2 and a 10-5 stomping of the White Sox to close out the homestand. They're doing it without Aaron Judge (rib stress fracture, out into August), Giancarlo Stanton (calf, re-aggravated), Austin Wells (head, rehab) and Trent Grisham (hamstring). That has Cody Bellinger, Spencer Jones and Jose Caballero carrying a bigger share than anyone drew up in March, and they keep covering it.

Cincinnati Reds
Chase Burns
(10-1)·2.40 ERA
Jun 15 vs Mets
W
5.0IP
0ER
7K
3BB
100P
06/21 Lineup
New York Yankees
Elmer Rodríguez
(0-2)·4.76 ERA
May 17 @ Mets
ND
4.1IP
1ER
1K
1BB
64P
06/21 Lineup
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
(9)
  • Day-To-DayConnor Burns (C)no05/08
  • 10-Day-ILElly De La Cruz (SS)De La Cruz (hamstring) is scheduled to begin running Tuesday and Wednesday, and he will begin a rehab assignment Friday with Triple-A Gwinnett, C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic reports.06/16
  • 10-Day-ILKe'Bryan Hayes (3B)Hayes is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Phillies.05/22
  • 15-Day-ILEmilio Pagan (RP)Pagan (hamstring) threw a bullpen session Tuesday and is scheduled to pitch in a simulated game/live batting practice session at Yankee Stadium on Friday, MLB.com reports.06/17
  • 15-Day-ILPierce Johnson (RP)Johnson (elbow) is scheduled to begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Louisville on Thursday, MLB.com reports.06/17
  • OutCarson Spiers (SP)The Reds re-signed Spiers (elbow) to a minor-league contract with an invitation to spring training Monday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILHunter Greene (SP)Greene (elbow) is slated to begin a rehab assignment Thursday in the rookie-level Arizona Complex League, Charlie Goldsmith of Fox 19 Now Cincinnati reports.06/14
  • 60-Day-ILGraham Ashcraft (RP)Ashcraft (elbow) received a platelet-rich plasma injection Tuesday, MLB.com reports.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILBrandon Williamson (SP)The Reds transferred Williamson (shoulder) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08
New York Yankees
New York Yankees
(8)
  • Day-To-DayEric Reyzelman (SP)no06/05
  • Day-To-DayTravis MacGregor (SP)MacGregor underwent Tommy John surgery last September and will miss the entire 2019 season, Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILTrent Grisham (CF)Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Tuesday that Grisham has been diagnosed with a "moderate" right hamstring strain, Brendan Kuty of The Athletic reports.06/16
  • 10-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton (DH)The Yankees announced that Stanton (calf) reinjured his calf and will have a slow week of activities, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.06/16
  • 10-Day-ILAustin Wells (C)Wells (head) has been sent to Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre to begin a rehab assignment.06/16
  • 10-Day-ILAaron Judge (RF)The Yankees announced Thursday that Judge has a stress fracture of his first rib on his right side and will be sidelined for 4-to-6 weeks before being re-evaluated, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.06/05
  • 15-Day-ILMax Fried (SP)Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Friday that Fried (elbow) will throw off a mound Saturday, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.06/12
  • 60-Day-ILClarke Schmidt (SP)Schmidt (elbow) has been "feeling great" during recent mound sessions and could start throwing to hitters by the end of June, per MLB.com.06/08

The Reds are 35-38 and stuck in neutral. Elly De La Cruz is finally close — he's slated to start a rehab assignment Friday at Triple-A — but he's not walking through the Yankee Stadium doors for this one. Hunter Greene, Emilio Pagan and Pierce Johnson are all still working back, which means a depleted bullpen behind Burns and very little margin if the rookie hits 90 pitches in the 5th.

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
(35-38)
Jun 17Lvs Mets1-9
Jun 16Wvs Mets5-3
Jun 15Wvs Mets12-0
Jun 14Lvs Diamondbacks3-5
Jun 13Wvs Diamondbacks2-1
New York Yankees
New York Yankees
(45-27)
Jun 17Wvs White Sox10-5
Jun 16Wvs White Sox12-2
Jun 14W@ Blue Jays8-3
Jun 13W@ Blue Jays3-1
Jun 12L@ Blue Jays5-8

Stylistically this is the kind of game that swings on 2 or 3 swings. Cole's velocity is back up post-surgery, Burns lives in the upper 90s with a slider that's already a finished product, and Yankee Stadium's short porch turns any mistake heater into a souvenir. Whoever blinks first probably loses, and the team with more thump on the bench right now is the one without its MVP.

For the Reds, Sunday is also a chance to steal a series split off a team that's been bullying lesser opponents. For the Yankees, it's about staying on the gas in the AL East while they wait on Judge, Stanton and Fried to come back. By 4:30 PM ET we'll know if Burns can travel and if Cole's clean slate has another zero on it.

MLBCincinnati RedsNew York YankeesPolymarketKalshiChase BurnsElmer Rodríguez