Barstool Bush
Predictions

Colorado Rockies at Minnesota Twins

By Bush StaffUpdated 56d ago·2 min read
Colorado RockiesCOL(32-50)
Minnesota TwinsMIN(39-44)
8—5
FINAL
123456789RHE
COL
1010103208120
MIN
1000010035100

Lorenzen and Mike Paredes combine for a 2-9 record heading into Saturday's first pitch, which tells you the kind of game this might be. Lorenzen has been one of the worst starters in baseball in 2026 — 67 hits allowed through mid-June, the most in the majors — while Paredes is a 25-year-old who wasn't in Minnesota's major league camp this spring and made his MLB debut on May 31. He's in the rotation because Pablo Lopez, David Festa, Bailey Ober, and Mick Abel are all sidelined. The market has processed all of this accordingly, with the Twins a clear home favorite.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Rockies(32-50)
LWLWL
8
Twins(39-44)
WLLLW
5
Best BetTwins -147
Pregame

Minnesota is the right side at the price. Lorenzen leads the majors in hits allowed and has been consistently torched all season — his 7.11 ERA isn't a fluke, it's a pattern. The Twins have Buxton at 25 home runs sitting against a pitcher who gives up contact at a historic clip in 2026. The Rockies at 32-50, shorthanded and on the road, aren't built to win this game.

One number worth flagging before you completely write off Lorenzen: he owns a 2-1 record and 2.86 ERA in 7 career appearances against Minnesota. Small sample, but it's real, and it's the only thing Colorado's dugout can point to heading into Saturday. His last start was 5.1 innings, 4 earned, 7 hits against Pittsburgh. Paredes gave up 2 earned in 5 innings against Arizona in his previous outing — functional, not dominant. Neither of these guys is going 7 innings. This game comes down to which bullpen holds.

Colorado Rockies
Michael Lorenzen
(3-9)·6.46 ERA
Jun 21 vs Pirates
L
5.1IP
4ER
5K
1BB
90P
06/27 Lineup
Minnesota Twins
Mike Paredes
(0-2)·4.60 ERA
Jun 21 @ Diamondbacks
ND
5.0IP
2ER
1K
3BB
75P
06/27 Lineup
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
(32-50)
Jun 27L@ Twins8-9
Jun 24Wvs Red Sox8-6
Jun 24Lvs Red Sox2-5
Jun 23Wvs Red Sox3-2
Jun 21Lvs Pirates6-8
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins
(39-44)
Jun 27Wvs Rockies9-8
Jun 24Lvs Dodgers3-4
Jun 23Lvs Dodgers3-12
Jun 22Lvs Dodgers1-2
Jun 21W@ Diamondbacks4-2

Minnesota's recent stretch has been rough by any measure. The Dodgers came into Target Field and ran through 3 games, outscoring the Twins 18-7 in the series — including a 12-3 blowout in the middle game. Friday's 9-8 win over Colorado was the kind of sloppy, hard-fought result a team grabs when it needs to stop a skid. Byron Buxton continues to be the engine: 25 home runs, a .927 OPS, and earlier this season he passed Max Kepler as Target Field's all-time home run leader. When the rotation is cobbled together from Triple-A recalls, Buxton's ceiling is what keeps Minnesota competitive night to night.

Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
(15)
  • Day-To-DayBrayan Castillo (RP) — The Rockies announced Monday that Castillo is dealing with right lat tightness and has been shut down from throwing while undergoing treatment for the injury, TheDNVR.com reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayCase Williams (SP) — Williams is currently slowed by a stress reaction in his right triceps, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayJared Thomas (CF) — The Rockies announced Monday that Thomas hasn't been participating in spring training while he recovers from offseason surgery to address a fractured hamate bone in his right wrist, TheDNVR.com reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILBrenton Doyle (CF) — Doyle (oblique) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Albuquerque on Tuesday, Kevin Henry of The Denver Gazette reports.06/22
  • 10-Day-ILJordan Beck (LF) — Beck (hamstring) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Albuquerque on Tuesday, Kevin Henry of The Denver Gazette reports.06/22
  • 15-Day-ILJaden Hill (RP) — The Rockies placed Hill on the 15-day injured list Wednesday with right shoulder tendinitis.06/24
  • 15-Day-ILTanner Gordon (RP) — Gordon (hip) is slated to make a rehab start with Triple-A Albuquerque on Wednesday, MLB.com reports.06/23
  • 15-Day-ILBlas Castano (RP) — Castano was called up from Triple-A Albuquerque on Thursday.06/21
  • 60-Day-ILChase Dollander (SP) — Dollander underwent an internal brace procedure on his right elbow Monday, Kevin Henry of The Denver Gazette reports.06/23
  • 60-Day-ILWelinton Herrera (RP) — Rockies manager Warren Schaeffer announced Monday that Herrera (elbow) has been diagnosed with a torn UCL and will miss the remainder of the season, Jack Janes of MLB.com reports.06/02
  • 60-Day-ILMcCade Brown (SP) — Brown (shoulder) had been scheduled to throw a live bullpen session this weekend, MLB.com reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILJose Quintana (SP) — The Rockies placed Quintana on the 15-day injured list Monday with a left elbow sprain.05/28
  • 60-Day-ILRJ Petit (RP) — The Rockies transferred Petit (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILPierson Ohl (RP) — The Rockies placed Ohl (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILKris Bryant (DH) — Bryant said Tuesday that the ongoing pain in his back continues to prevent him from participating in baseball activities, though he's still consulting with doctors and trainers for potential rehab options, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.05/08
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins
(11)
  • Day-To-DayKaelen Culpepper (SS) — Culpepper was placed on the 7-day injured list at Triple-A St. Paul on Tuesday with a left hip strain, Aaron Gleeman of AaronGleeman.com reports.06/16
  • Day-To-DayRicardo Olivar (C) — Triple-A St. Paul transferred Olivar from the 7-day injured list to the 60-day IL on June 4 while he recovers from a right knee sprain, Twins writer Brandon Warne reports.06/16
  • Day-To-DayJulian Merryweather (RP) — Merryweather (hamstring) will begin a rehab assignment with the Twins' rookie-level Florida Complex League affiliate Tuesday, Theodore Tollefson of ZoneCoverage.com reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayMatt Canterino (SP) — Canterino (shoulder) will be with the Twins in big-league spring training but isn't expected to pitch during camp as he continues to recover from shoulder surgery, Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILRyan Jeffers (C) — Jeffers (hand) was spotted taking swings in the batting cage and catching a bullpen session Monday, Theodore Tollefson of ZoneCoverage.com reports.06/23
  • 15-Day-ILMick Abel (SP) — Abel will undergo arthroscopic surgery on his right elbow, Aaron Gleeman of AaronGleeman.com reports.06/24
  • 15-Day-ILBailey Ober (SP) — Ober (elbow) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Tuesday of approximately 40 pitches, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.06/23
  • 15-Day-ILCole Sands (RP) — Sands underwent an MRI on Friday that showed healing in his injured forearm, though inflammation was still present, MLB.com reports.06/16
  • 60-Day-ILGarrett Acton (RP) — Acton (shoulder) resumed throwing off a mound last week, MLB.com reports.06/18
  • 60-Day-ILDavid Festa (SP) — The Twins announced June 1 that Festa (shoulder) has started a throwing progression, MLB.com reports.06/11
  • 60-Day-ILPablo Lopez (SP) — The Twins placed Lopez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08

The Rockies' injury situation has gone from manageable to genuinely dire. Welinton Herrera is done for the season with a torn UCL. Chase Dollander just had internal brace surgery on his elbow. RJ Petit, Pierson Ohl, Jaden Hill, and Tanner Gordon are all unavailable in the bullpen. Brenton Doyle and Jordan Beck are both on rehab assignments in Triple-A. Kris Bryant hasn't touched a bat in baseball activities in weeks. The one bright spot in this roster is rookie TJ Rumfield, who entered the weekend on a 9-game hitting streak, batting .342 with 3 home runs and 10 RBIs in his last 10 games. If Colorado keeps this interesting, it runs through him.

Sources

MLBColorado RockiesMinnesota TwinsPolymarketKalshiMichael LorenzenMike Paredes