Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox

Fri Sep 117:10 PM ETBoston, MA
By JR·1 min read

TLDR: Boston's trying to shake off a rough stretch at home, and Kansas City is just trying to get through September with a pitching staff held together by paper clips — Friday night at Fenway should tell us plenty about both.

FINAL · FRI SEP 11, 11:10 PM
WLLWL
3
LLWWW
2
Final123456789RHE
KC
1020000003100
BOS
000020000280
72°

Sonny Gray, arguably the AL's best pitcher of late, faces a Royals staff that's lost four relievers to season-ending injuries or surgery, while Boston's own lineup is missing four regular bats to injury. The board treats this as lopsided in Boston's favor, and the biggest question is whether Kansas City's thin pitching can hold up against a Red Sox team that isn't quite full strength itself.

Kansas City Royals
  • Won their last game
  • Positive recent news flow, few red flags
  • Rotation gutted, 4 pitchers out for year
  • Lugo allowed 8 hits in last start
Boston Red Sox
  • Gray shut out Baltimore his last start
  • Took 2 straight from Baltimore recently
  • Lost their last 2 games
  • Missing 4 regular bats to injury

Sonny Gray gets the ball for Boston, and Seth Lugo counters for Kansas City when first pitch goes at 7:10 PM ET. On paper that's about as lopsided a pairing as either club will see this month.

Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
(7-9)·5.17 ERA
Sep 5 vs Blue Jays
ND
5.0IP
3ER
1K
2BB
95P
09/11 Lineup
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
(18-5)·2.72 ERA
Sep 5 @ Orioles
W
7.0IP
0ER
7K
3BB
92P
09/11 Lineup

Gray's been arguably the best pitcher in the American League this year and just threw 7 shutout innings with 7 strikeouts against Baltimore his last time out. Lugo, meanwhile, got hit hard in his last outing and doesn't have much margin behind him — Kansas City's bullpen has lost four relievers to season-ending injuries or surgery since midsummer.

None of that is a secret, which is why Boston is priced as a heavy favorite here. But the Red Sox aren't walking in fully healthy either, and that's worth sitting with before treating this as a formality.

Willson Contreras is still working back from a hamstring issue, Ceddanne Rafaela is out with a quad strain, and Masataka Yoshida's hamstring injury has him shelved for the stretch run. Adley Rutschman got a cortisone shot in his throwing elbow this week and is day-to-day. That's four semi-regular bats missing from a lineup that's supposed to be doing the heavy lifting behind Gray.

09/09WvsDiamondbacks5-2
09/08LvsDiamondbacks3-5
09/07LvsDiamondbacks4-5
09/06WvsBlue Jays6-1
09/05LvsBlue Jays3-4
09/09LvsAngels4-6
09/08LvsAngels1-6
09/07WvsAngels5-2
09/06W@Orioles3-1
09/05W@Orioles5-0

Kansas City has actually won its last game, part of a stretch where it's gone 2-3 over its last 5, including taking 1 of the first 3 from Arizona. Boston's been the better team overall this year but walks in having lost 2 straight, following a stretch where it took 2 straight from Baltimore.

Royals 3, Red Sox 2: Final Score & Odds Recap — Ace Sonny Gray Meets a Royals Staff Running on Fumes