Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners

Fri Jul 317:10 PM PT
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Two teams stuck around .500 in late July have very different plans for August — the Twins are shopping to add, the Mariners are just trying to remember how to score.

FINAL · SAT AUG 1, 2:10 AM
WLWWW
5
3
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MIN
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SEA
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Minnesota Twins
  • Won 4 of last 5, playing with urgency
  • Reported trade-deadline buyers, targeting bullpen help
  • Matthews limited damage in last start despite loss
  • Rotation gutted: Lopez, Festa, Abel, Paredes all out
  • Buxton out at center field
  • Matthews carries a 5.21 ERA and 4-8 record
Seattle Mariners
  • Miller owns a sub-3.00 ERA on the season
  • Playing at home in front of their own crowd
  • Reportedly hunting a bat and reliever before deadline
  • Offense has cooled off badly the last few weeks
  • Lost 3 of last 5, including blowout losses to LA
  • Miller's last two starts have both been shaky

Zebby Matthews gets the ball for Minnesota looking to build off a stretch where he's quietly settled in, even though his last start against the A's ended in a loss. Bryce Miller counters for Seattle, and on paper his 2.75 ERA looks like the best number on either side of this one. First pitch is set for 7:10 PM PT.

Minnesota Twins
Zebby Matthews
(6-8)·5.34 ERA
Jul 24 vs Athletics
L
6.0IP
2ER
1K
3BB
92P
07/31 Lineup
Seattle Mariners
Bryce Miller
(4-6)·3.39 ERA
Jul 24 @ Rangers
L
5.1IP
5ER
0K
1BB
89P
07/31 Lineup

The bigger story with Miller is what's happened the last two times out. His July 9 clunker against the Marlins was rough — 4 earned runs allowed in 5 innings with his fastball missing bats less than usual, per the Spokesman-Review — and his July 24 start against Texas wasn't much better. That's two shaky outings in his last three, which matters plenty against a Twins lineup that's actually swinging it right now. Minnesota, for its part, is dealing with a rotation that's been gutted — Pablo Lopez, David Festa and Mick Abel are all out for extended stretches, and Mike Paredes just went down too, which is part of why Matthews' recent form matters so much to a staff running thin.

Minnesota sits 3.5 games back in the AL Central and is reportedly leaning toward being buyers ahead of Monday's trade deadline, with bullpen depth the priority after losing Cole Sands to elbow surgery and Anthony Banda to a season-ending lat repair, according to the Star Tribune and Washington Post. Seattle has its own thin spots to patch — Brendan Donovan and Will Wilson are both still working back from injury at third base — and the front office is reportedly hunting for a right-handed bat and a reliever of its own before the deadline hits, per Heavy.com and MLB.com.

Buxton being out changes the calculus for Minnesota's lineup, but the Twins have found ways to win without him lately, taking 2 of 3 from Kansas City including a comeback the day before this series opener. Seattle's issue isn't injuries so much as an offense that's simply gone cold across the board — the Mariners have dropped 3 of their last 5, most recently getting outscored in back-to-back losses to the Dodgers.

07/30WvsRoyals4-3
07/29LvsRoyals0-4
07/28WvsRoyals3-2
07/26WvsAthletics11-8
07/25WvsAthletics2-0
07/31L@Dodgers2-6
07/30L@Dodgers2-4
07/29W@Dodgers7-6
07/27L@Rangers3-7
07/26W@Rangers6-4

None of this screams laugher — both bullpens have taken hits, and Miller's underlying stuff is still good enough to keep Seattle in it even on a bad night. But the shape of this series favors the team playing with a sense of urgency, and right now that's Minnesota, not Seattle.

Twins 5, Mariners 3: Final Score & Odds Recap — Twins Chase Buyer Momentum Against Mariners' Cold Bats