Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros

Tue Sep 294:00 PM CTHouston, TX
By JR·2 min read
Chicago White SoxCWS(84-78)
Houston AstrosHOU(81-81)
Tuesday4:00 PM CT

TLDR: The team that lost 100-plus games in 2024 and 2025 is in the postseason, and its reward is a best-of-3 in Houston against an AL West champ that finished at exactly .500. Game 1 is on Tuesday, September 29, and in a 3-game series, dropping the opener leaves no room.

TUE SEP 29, 4:00 PM
Spread
WIN
Total
(84-78)
WLWWL
(81-81)
WWLWL
1st pitch91°11 mph

The White Sox are back in the playoffs for the first time since 2021 and open a best-of-3 Wild Card Series in Houston against an Astros team that won the AL West at 81-81. Neither team has a confirmed starter, with Fedde reported as Chicago's likely choice and Houston without Javier. Game 1 comes down to whose bullpen and lineup hold up. Chicago has the better record and the 3 30-homer bats. Houston has home field, the season series and Alvarez.

White Sox
  • Murakami, Vargas, Montgomery all past 30 homers
  • Clinched with a 9-1 rout of Kansas City
  • Bullpen-heavy style suits a playoff game
  • Castillo on IL with shoulder impingement
  • Bart out, Rogers on paternity list
  • Meidroth day-to-day with hamstring
Astros
  • Alvarez hitting .315 with 41 homers
  • Paredes with a 1.026 September OPS
  • Won 3 of 4 against Chicago at home
  • Javier on IL with a groin injury
  • Varsho, Meyers, Matthews all out in center
  • Correa still out with ankle inflammation

Neither team has named a Game 1 starter, so the pitcher card shows TBD on both sides for now. MLB.com reports Erick Fedde as the likely Chicago starter. Sean Burke may not be available on short rest after starting Friday, and the White Sox have leaned on their bullpen all year, so an opener is possible. Houston hasn't said who it's starting either, and its depth has thinned. Cristian Javier left a start against Seattle with right groin tightness and is on the 15-day IL, which is one fewer arm to cover a short series.

Chicago's lineup is the part that shows up every night. Munetaka Murakami, Miguel Vargas and Colson Montgomery all went past 30 homers. Chase Meidroth is day-to-day with a hamstring issue, though. The catching is also thin, with Joey Bart out with a broken left hand and Jake Rogers placed on the paternity list Saturday. The White Sox won 3 more games than Houston and are still the road underdog, because the market cares more about where the game is played than about the standings.

Houston's route here was stranger. The Astros finished 81-81 and still won the AL West after a close race with Texas. Their magic number was 1 going into the regular-season finale, and they shut out the Athletics 9-0 after beating them 13-2 the night before. Yordan Alvarez was hitting .315 with 41 homers going into the final weekend, and Isaac Paredes had a 1.026 OPS for September. Houston also won the season series, going 3-1 at home against Chicago.

09/27WvsRockies4-2
09/26LvsRockies6-9
09/25WvsRockies6-1
09/24W@Royals9-1
09/23L@Royals4-5
09/27W@Athletics9-0
09/26W@Athletics13-2
09/25L@Athletics5-6
09/24W@Athletics7-5
09/23L@Mariners5-6

Both teams went 3-2 over their last 5, but they finished the season in different moods. Chicago clinched a playoff spot with a 9-1 win in Kansas City. It also let the AL Central lead it had held for much of the year slip away to Cleveland, which is why the White Sox are opening on the road. Houston has won 2 straight and took 3 of the first 4 in West Sacramento. The Astros scored 22 runs in those last 2 wins, so the offense is heading into October in good form.

Houston's injury list hits one position especially hard. Daulton Varsho (wrist), Jake Meyers (knee) and Brice Matthews (leg) are all center fielders, and all 3 are out. Carlos Correa is still on the 60-day IL with inflammation in his surgically repaired ankle. Chicago is missing Luis Castillo, who went on the IL with shoulder impingement right before the clinch. The forecast for Houston is 91 degrees, and first pitch is 4:00 PM CT in a best-of-3 where Game 1 carries a lot of weight.

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