New York Yankees at New York Mets

By Bush StaffUpdated 97d ago·2 min read
New York YankeesNYY(28-18)
New York MetsNYM(19-26)
67
FINAL
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NYY
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NYM
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Elmer Rodríguez vs. Freddy Peralta is the matchup, and on paper it isn't close. Peralta has been humming since landing in Queens — 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA over his last 3 starts, 14 strikeouts in 17 innings — while Rodríguez is making his 3rd big-league start after coughing up 3 runs in a 37-pitch first inning against Texas last time out. The Yankees only need him here because Max Fried hit the IL on Friday.

New York Yankees
Elmer Rodríguez
(0-1)·4.15 ERA
May 17 @ Mets
ND
4.1IP
1ER
1K
1BB
64P
05/17 Lineup
New York Mets
Freddy Peralta
(3-4)·3.55 ERA
May 29 vs Marlins
ND
4.2IP
2ER
5K
1BB
94P
05/17 Lineup

The market still leans Yankees, which tells you what oddsmakers think of a Mets lineup that's basically a Triple-A roster in Queens uniforms. Lindor, Alvarez, Polanco, Luis Robert Jr., and now Clay Holmes (fibula, shut down 6-8 weeks) are all on the shelf. That 19-26 record makes more sense when you read the injury report.

New York Yankees
New York Yankees
(8)
  • Day-To-DayTravis MacGregor (SP)MacGregor underwent Tommy John surgery last September and will miss the entire 2019 season, Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton (DH)Stanton has not yet been cleared to ramp up his running after an MRI on his injured right calf did not show enough healing, Greg Joyce of the New York Post reports.05/13
  • 10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez (LF)Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Wednesday that Dominguez recently received a PRP injection in his injured left shoulder and is likely a few weeks away from returning, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.05/13
  • 10-Day-ILJose Caballero (SS)Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Tuesday that Caballero (finger) is expected to reclaim the team's starting shortstop job when he returns from the injured list, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.05/13
  • 15-Day-ILGerrit Cole (SP)Cole (elbow) allowed one run on six hits and one walk while striking out six across 5.1 innings in his rehab start with Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre on Saturday, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.05/17
  • 15-Day-ILMax Fried (SP)The Yankees placed Fried on the 15-day injured list Friday due to a left elbow bone bruise, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.05/15
  • 15-Day-ILAngel Chivilli (RP)Manager Aaron Boone said Tuesday that Chivilli (shoulder) will be shut down from throwing for roughly three weeks, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILClarke Schmidt (SP)Schmidt (elbow) threw a bullpen session Friday, Pete Caldera of The Bergen Record reports.05/08
New York Mets
New York Mets
(20)
  • Day-To-DayGrae Kessinger (3B)no05/13
  • Day-To-DayJoe Jacques (RP)The Mets signed Jacques to a minor-league contract Wednesday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayKevin Herget (RP)Herget signed a minor league contract that includes an invitation to spring training with the Mets on Thursday, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayNick Burdi (RP)The Red Sox reinstated Burdi (hip) from the injured list Saturday and optioned him to Triple-A Worcester.05/08
  • Day-To-DayJose Rojas (3B)Triple-A Salt Lake placed Rojas on its COVID-19 injured list Sunday, Jeff Fletcher of The Orange County Register reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILJorge Polanco (1B)Polanco (Achilles/wrist) was given a platelet-rich plasma injection in mid-April to combat his left Achilles bursitis, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.05/15
  • 10-Day-ILFrancisco Alvarez (C)Alvarez is expected to be sidelined eight weeks after undergoing right meniscus surgery Thursday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/14
  • 10-Day-ILFrancisco Lindor (SS)Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said Thursday that an MRI on Lindor's left calf showed healing, but there remains no timetable for the shortstop's return, Steve Gelbs of SNY reports.05/14
  • 10-Day-ILJared Young (1B)Young (knee) will begin a rehab assignment by the end of this week, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/13
  • 10-Day-ILLuis Robert Jr. (CF)Mets manger Carlos Mendoza said Tuesday that Robert (back) is still experiencing lingering symptoms and "is not progressing the way we would like," Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/12
  • 10-Day-ILRonny Mauricio (SS)The Mets placed Mauricio (thumb) on the 10-day injured list Sunday.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILClay Holmes (SP)Holmes (fibula) will be shut down from all activity for 6-to-8 weeks before beginning a rehab program, Jorge Castillo of ESPN.com reports.05/16
  • 15-Day-ILA.J. Minter (RP)Minter (hip/lat) is expected to resume a rehab assignment this weekend, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/12
  • 15-Day-ILKodai Senga (SP)Senga (back) completed a bullpen session Sunday, Laura Albanese of Newsday reports.05/10
  • OutMike Tauchman (RF)Tauchman (knee) is still rehabbing at the Mets' spring training complex and has yet to resume baseball activities, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.05/11
  • OutRobert Stock (RP)Stock (shoulder) said Sunday that he'll require surgery to address thoracic outlet syndrome and could be sidelined for the remainder of the season, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILReed Garrett (RP)The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILDedniel Nunez (RP)The Mets placed Nunez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Hagenman (RP)The Mets placed Hagenman on the 60-day injured list Saturday due to a rib fracture.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTylor Megill (SP)The Mets placed Megill (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/08

Don't feel too sorry for the Bronx side though — the Yankees are also running on fumes in the rotation. Cole is still rehabbing in Scranton (5.1 IP, 1 ER on Saturday), Fried just went down with an elbow bone bruise, Schmidt is on the 60-day, and Stanton, Dominguez, and Caballero are all on position-player IL. 28-18 with this group is genuinely impressive.

The Yankees took the opener 5-2 per local coverage, so the Mets are already playing for a series split. Peralta's first Subway Series start is the obvious storyline — he told reporters he's feeling "a lot of emotions" — and if he gives them 6 clean, this is a very winnable home game against a prospect making his 3rd MLB start. The total sits at 8.5, which feels generous given both starters.

New York Yankees
New York Yankees
(28-18)
LWLWL
New York Mets
New York Mets
(19-26)
WWWLW

Last 5 says the Mets are 4-1 and the Yankees are 2-3, which is the kind of split that flips a game like this from "chalk" to "interesting." Noon first pitch. If Rodríguez has another 37-pitch first inning, this thing is over by the 4th.

MLBNew York YankeesNew York MetsPolymarketKalshiElmer RodríguezFreddy Peralta
New York Yankees at New York Mets — Subway Series Finale: Banged-Up Mets Get a Rookie to Hunt | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush