Atlanta Hawks at Houston Rockets

Mon Oct 267:30 PM CTNBA League PassHouston, TX
By JR·2 min read
Hawks(2-1)
Rockets(3-0)
Monday 10/267:30 PM

TLDR: Houston beat Atlanta without 3 rotation guys on Saturday. On Monday the same 2 teams meet again at Toyota Center, and the Rockets should have a lot more of their roster available.

TUE 10/27, 7:30 PMNBA League Pass

Houston beat Atlanta 121-114 on Saturday without Fred VanVleet, Steven Adams and Marcus Smart, and the 2 teams meet again Monday in Houston. VanVleet and Adams sat under a no-back-to-backs plan that shouldn't apply to Monday's game, while Smart and Reed Sheppard are less certain. Atlanta's case starts with Jalen Johnson's all-around play and ends with whether a thin frontcourt can stop giving up 30 points a quarter.

Atlanta Hawks
  • Jalen Johnson: 26 points, 16 assists in Saturday's loss
  • Has scored 114 or more in all 3 games
  • Scored 33 in the 3rd quarter Saturday
  • Gave up 29+ in every quarter Saturday
  • Veesaar and Gueye out, frontcourt very thin
  • Lost Saturday to a shorthanded Houston
Houston Rockets
  • VanVleet, Adams sat only under the back-to-back rest plan
  • Led Atlanta after every quarter Saturday
  • Won at San Antonio and Atlanta on consecutive nights
  • Smart's forearm strain status unclear for Monday
  • Sheppard's knee bone bruise was questionable Saturday
  • Couldn't contain Johnson as a creator Saturday

The setup is about as clean as an early-season rematch gets. Houston won 121-114 in Atlanta on the second night of a back-to-back, led after every quarter and moved to 3-0. Now the Hawks get a second look 2 days later on the Rockets' floor, with tipoff at 7:30 PM CT on Monday, October 26. Atlanta played the second night of a back-to-back on Saturday too, so neither side gets to blame the schedule for this one. Both teams get Sunday off and show up rested.

The real story is who comes back for Houston. Ime Udoka has said Fred VanVleet (knee) and Steven Adams (ankle) won't play back-to-backs this season. They were out Saturday under that plan, not because of a setback, and Monday isn't a back-to-back. Marcus Smart is the less certain one. He sat Saturday with a left forearm strain, and he's the guy Udoka named to start at point guard whenever VanVleet is out. Reed Sheppard was also questionable Saturday with a left knee bone bruise. Neither of them has a firm status for Monday yet.

Atlanta's best argument is Jalen Johnson. He was the best player on the floor in the loss, with 26 points, 16 assists (tying his career high), 9 rebounds and 2 steals in 38 minutes. He's put up at least 19 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists in all 3 games this season, and with the ball in his hands this much he's running the offense as a point forward, not just scoring off the wing. The Hawks don't need to find an offense. They scored 114 and dropped 33 in the 3rd quarter. What they need is a way to stop giving up 30 points a quarter.

That defense is the question Atlanta has to answer. Against a depleted Charlotte it looked dominant in a 128-81 rout. Against a Rockets team missing its starting point guard, its starting center and its backup point guard, it gave up at least 29 in every quarter. The frontcourt is thin, too: Henri Veesaar is out for the season with a torn ACL and Mouhamed Gueye is out after foot surgery. If Adams is back and setting screens and grabbing offensive boards for Houston, there aren't many bodies left to throw at him.

10/25LvsRockets114-121
10/23W@Hornets128-81
10/21W@Magic132-125
10/25W@Hawks121-114
10/24W@Spurs114-110
10/22WvsMavericks128-110

Houston's 3-0 start has some real wins in it. The Rockets beat Dallas by 18 at home, won at San Antonio by 4, then won in Atlanta shorthanded. That's 2 road wins in 2 nights, and the second one came without their top 2 point guards and their starting center. If the rest plan works the way Udoka set it up, Monday is the first time in a few days they get to play at full strength.

For Atlanta, being 2-1 means more than this one game. The Hawks have scored 114 or more in all 3 games, and Johnson is putting up numbers that hold up against anyone. What they haven't done yet is beat a team that's playing well. A road win over a rested, healthier Houston would answer that, and it's the clearest measuring stick they'll get this early in the season.

Hawks vs. Rockets: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 26) — Rockets Get Their Starters Back for the Hawks Rematch in Houston