Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons

Wed Oct 287:00 PM ETNBA League PassDetroit, MI
By JR·2 min read
Hornets(3-1)
Pistons(3-0)
Wednesday 10/287:00 PM

TLDR: Charlotte has started 3-1 with 4 rotation players in street clothes, and Wednesday it gets a Detroit team that was unbeaten through 3 games as of Tuesday morning. The catch for the Pistons: they have to get through Madison Square Garden the night before.

WED 10/28, 7:00 PMNBA League Pass

Detroit, unbeaten through 3 games as of Tuesday, plays the Knicks in New York the night before this one and arrives on a back-to-back, still without Jalen Duren and with Ausar Thompson and Isaiah Joe banged up. Charlotte is 3-1 despite missing Coby White, Kon Knueppel and Grant Williams, with Brandon Miller carrying the offense, but the Hornets have given up 35 points in the 4th quarter in 2 straight games. Cunningham and Detroit's depth against Charlotte's rest edge and short rotation is the matchup.

Charlotte Hornets
  • Full day of rest vs. Detroit's back-to-back
  • Miller carrying a short-handed offense to 3-1
  • Detroit playing small with Duren out
  • White, Knueppel, Williams all out
  • Allowed 35 in the 4th, 2 games running
  • Lost by 47 to Atlanta at home
Detroit Pistons
  • Cunningham scored 26 in the first game without Duren
  • Collins 16 and 11 filling the frontcourt
  • Robinson's shooting stretches thin defenses
  • Second night of a back-to-back after New York
  • Duren out until at least early November
  • Thompson and Joe questionable for the Knicks game

Detroit's opening week went about as well as a week can go without its All-Star center. The Pistons beat Boston, Miami and Philadelphia, and the Sixers game was the first one without Jalen Duren. They led that one wire to wire, jumped out on a 15-1 run and had it at 56-35 in the 2nd quarter. Cade Cunningham scored 26, Duncan Robinson hit 5 of Detroit's 14 threes on his way to 21, and John Collins put up 16 points and 11 rebounds while soaking up the minutes Duren left behind. Coach JB Bickerstaff has a team that has looked finished from the opening tip.

The schedule is what makes Wednesday interesting. Detroit plays the Knicks in New York on Tuesday, then flies home for a 7:00 PM ET tip at Little Caesars Arena with no day in between. Whatever happens at the Garden, the Pistons arrive on the second night of a back-to-back, and both Ausar Thompson (ankle) and Isaiah Joe (hip) were questionable for the Knicks game. How much those 2 play Tuesday, and how they come out of it, decides how deep Detroit's wing rotation goes on Wednesday. Duren isn't due to be re-evaluated until early November, so the frontcourt problem is still there either way.

Charlotte's start comes with more caveats. This is the first season after the Hornets traded LaMelo Ball to Minnesota, and the team now belongs to Brandon Miller, who signed a 5-year, $209 million extension this month. Miller has carried an offense missing Coby White, Kon Knueppel and Grant Williams, and Charles Lee has said he'll know more about White and Williams after this 2-game road trip. The wins over Brooklyn, Miami and Washington were real, but so was the 128-81 beating the Hawks handed them on their own floor.

10/26WvsWizards110-103
10/24WvsHeat115-110
10/23LvsHawks81-128
10/21W@Nets110-103
10/25W@76ers106-93
10/24W@Heat128-111
10/20WvsCeltics121-113

The number to circle for Charlotte is 35. The Hornets gave up 35 points in the 4th quarter to Miami and then 35 more to Washington, and only the 12-point cushion they built against the Wizards kept that second one from slipping away. A thin bench is what you'd expect when 4 guards and forwards are out, and it tends to show up late, when legs go and the rotation runs out of bodies. Against a Detroit team that will be tired from New York, that late stretch should be the most watchable part of Wednesday's game. The question is which team fades first.

Here's what decides it. Detroit has the best player on the floor in Cunningham, a shooter in Robinson who can bury a short-handed defense, and a home crowd. Charlotte gets a full day off after the Wizards win and catches the Pistons on tired legs, playing small without Duren. If Miller can keep the Hornets close through 3 quarters, this game will come down to Charlotte's 4th-quarter defense against Detroit's tired legs.

Hornets vs. Pistons: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 28) — Short-Handed Hornets Visit Detroit on the Pistons' Back-to-Back