New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors

Sun Nov 156:00 PM ETTSN,Sportsnet,MSGToronto, ON
By JR·3 min read
Knicks(6-5)
Raptors(5-7)
Sunday 11/156:00 PM

TLDR: Toronto has run out of healthy forwards at about the same time it ran out of wins, and on Sunday a Knicks team that owns the glass comes to Scotiabank Arena. New York plays in Indiana first, so the visitors' half of this story is still being written.

SUN 11/15, 6:00 PMTSNSportsnet
LWWWW

The 6-5 Knicks, whose point differential looks more like an 8-3 team's, visit a 5-7 Raptors team that has lost 3 straight and is missing Scottie Barnes, Kawhi Leonard and much of its frontcourt. New York's league-best offensive rebounding against a thin Toronto front line is the central matchup. The Knicks play in Indiana first, and Barnes' status is the biggest open question.

New York Knicks
  • League-best offensive rebounding vs a thin Toronto frontcourt
  • Towns at career-best efficiency out of the high post
  • +6.8 differential, top 10 on both ends
  • Bridges near the bottom of the league in true shooting
  • Late-clock offense among the league's 5 worst
  • Game 2 of a road trip, Indiana the game before
Toronto Raptors
  • Barrett and Quickley combined for 57 at Philadelphia
  • Rested at home, idle since Thursday
  • Beat Milwaukee by 14 on the road this month

Start with the Knicks, because they are the club with something to prove. As of Thursday they were 6-5 after a 115-107 loss to Cleveland in which James Harden went for 32. The record undersells them. NBA.com's early-season numbers have New York at +6.8 per game in point differential, 10th in offense and 7th in defense, which is the profile of a team that should be closer to 8-3. Before Sunday they open a 4-game road trip Friday in Indiana. That result sets the mood they bring to Toronto, and it also sets how many miles Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns have on their legs.

Towns has been the engine. He's posting a 65.9% true shooting mark, the best of his career, and he's working out of the high post more than at any point in his time in New York. The Knicks score 1.26 points per possession when those touches turn straight into a shot or a trip to the line. Mikal Bridges is the counterweight. He's 168th of 169 qualified players in true shooting, with career lows from 3 and from mid-range, and Mike Brown answered "Not yet" when he was asked whether the offense was playing with enough purpose.

Toronto's problem is about bodies more than schemes. Scottie Barnes hasn't played since the Nov. 4 loss in Denver because of a left groin strain, and Kawhi Leonard is still on knee management after swelling that an MRI found to be non-structural. Trayce Jackson-Davis sat the Philadelphia game with an illness, and Nate Bittle has been out with a foot injury. That's a frontcourt being held together with tape.

Even so, the Raptors have scrapped. In the 123-112 loss at Philadelphia on the second night of a back-to-back, they led by 9 after the 1st quarter before the Sixers took the 2nd and 3rd by 9 apiece. RJ Barrett put up 31 points and 14 rebounds, and Immanuel Quickley added 26. Those two are carrying the load right now, and they'll need to do it again Sunday unless Barnes gets cleared.

The matchup to watch is the boards. New York leads the league in offensive rebounding percentage, ranks 2nd on the defensive glass, and has outscored opponents by 7.4 a night on second chances. Towns is grabbing a third of the available defensive rebounds when he's on the floor. Toronto just lost to Memphis and Philadelphia with its forward rotation gutted. If Barnes and Jackson-Davis are both still out, Barrett is going to spend the night boxing out bigger men.

Toronto has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-7. The lone win in its last 5 was a 121-107 victory at Milwaukee, and the 93-98 home loss to Boston showed an offense that stalls without Barnes to create. The Raptors won't play again before tipoff, so they get a couple of days to get healthy. The Knicks will be coming in off Friday's game in Indiana.

11/12LvsCavaliers107-115
11/11WvsBucks117-85
11/08W@Cavaliers109-97
11/05WvsBulls135-105
11/03WvsNets103-90
11/13L@76ers112-123
11/12LvsCeltics93-98
11/10LvsGrizzlies102-118
11/07W@Bucks121-107
11/05L@Nuggets109-128

Tipoff is 6:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 15. Watch the Barnes injury report and Leonard's progress between now and then, since either return changes how this one looks. The other thing that changes it is how the Knicks come out of Indianapolis.

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