Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks

Fri Oct 307:00 PM CTNBA League Pass,KFAA-TV,MavsTVDallas, TX
By JR·2 min read
Rockets(5-0)
Mavericks(2-2)
Friday 10/307:00 PM

TLDR: Houston has won 5 straight to open the season, most recently with 3 of its bigs in street clothes. On Friday, October 30, the Rockets head to Dallas for a second look at a Mavericks team they already beat by 18.

SAT 10/31, 7:00 PMNBA League PassKFAA-TV

The Houston Rockets are 5-0 and have kept winning without Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams and Marcus Smart, including an 18-point home win over Dallas to open the run. The Mavericks have Cooper Flagg playing the best ball of his career but are missing 5 forwards and centers, and they host Oklahoma City before this game. Friday comes down to Sengun's mild back strain, Kyrie Irving's knee and how many Dallas bigs are back.

Houston Rockets
  • Already beat Dallas by 18 this month
  • Won by 32 at Milwaukee without 3 bigs
  • Sengun's strain called mild, a few games at most
  • Sengun, Adams, Smart all out as of Wednesday
  • Adams projected out a week or two
Dallas Mavericks
  • Flagg coming off 29 points, 11 assists, 5 steals
  • Won both road games, at Indiana and Miami
  • Lively, Aldama, Marshall, Biberovic, de Larrea all listed out
  • Lost to Houston and San Antonio by double digits
  • Irving questionable with left knee issue

The first meeting wasn't close. Houston beat Dallas 128-110 at home to start this run, and the 4 wins since have told the bigger story. The latest was a 132-100 win at Fiserv Forum without Alperen Sengun, Steven Adams or Marcus Smart. Houston put up a 34-14 2nd quarter and led by 22 at the half. Winning that way without your center rotation is the most telling thing this team has done so far.

Sengun is the name to watch before tipoff. He felt his back during the Atlanta series and still finished one of those games with 29 points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists. Scans then showed a mild strain. Ime Udoka said the club would be cautious and that he'd miss "a few games" at most. Sengun is averaging a career-high 24.5 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists through 4 games, so getting him back changes Houston's whole half-court offense. Adams is a slower case. Udoka put his soleus strain at "a week or two" earlier this week.

Dallas still has a game to play first. The Mavericks host Oklahoma City before Houston comes to town, and the injury report coming out of that game matters more for Friday than the result does. Kyrie Irving was listed as questionable with a left knee issue going into the Thunder game. Whether he plays there, and how he comes out of it, decides how much backcourt help Cooper Flagg has against Houston.

Flagg is the reason Dallas is worth watching. In the win at Miami he had 29 points, a career-high 11 assists, 5 steals and 3 blocks, the most complete game of his young career. The problem is the roster around him. Dereck Lively II, Santi Aldama, Naji Marshall, Tarik Biberovic and Sergio de Larrea have all been listed out, so Dallas is badly short at forward and center. Flagg is carrying a lot of the frontcourt by himself.

The split so far has been strange. As of now, Dallas has won both of its road games, at Indiana and at Miami, and lost both games against Texas teams by double digits: 18 to Houston and 16 to San Antonio at home. Houston has played its last 3 on the road and scored at least 114 in every one of its 5 wins. With Dallas this short on bodies inside, the Rockets don't have to be at full strength to control the glass.

10/29W@Bucks132-100
10/27WvsHawks120-110
10/25W@Hawks121-114
10/24W@Spurs114-110
10/22WvsMavericks128-110
10/26W@Heat113-109
10/25LvsSpurs106-122
10/23W@Pacers121-105
10/22L@Rockets110-128

Tipoff at American Airlines Center is 7:00 PM CT. What matters most is the injury report on both sides: whether Sengun is back, whether Irving plays, and how many Dallas forwards return after the Thunder game. If Houston gets its center back and Dallas stays this thin, the Mavericks will be in for a long night.

Rockets vs. Mavericks: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 30) — Unbeaten Rockets Bring Their Center-Less Act Back to Dallas