Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves

Wed Oct 287:00 PM CTNBA League PassMinneapolis, MN
By JR·2 min read
Warriors(0-3)
Timberwolves(3-1)
Wednesday 10/287:00 PM

TLDR: Minnesota rebuilt its backcourt around LaMelo Ball and Anthony Edwards, and the early returns have been loud. Wednesday, Stephen Curry and a Golden State team that has opened a season worse than at any point since 2007-08 come to Minneapolis to see if it holds up.

THU 10/29, 7:00 PMNBA League Pass

Minnesota's new Edwards-Ball backcourt has looked like the real thing through 4 games, and the only loss came in overtime on a back-to-back with Edwards scoring 47. Golden State opened with 3 straight losses and a bottom-3 defense, and it plays at Denver before this one, so its form and availability are still settling. The game turns on whether the Warriors' thin, injury-hit frontcourt can handle Gobert on the glass and Minnesota's pace in transition.

Golden State Warriors
  • Curry, Green, Podziemski rested in Phoenix, not hurt
  • Took Memphis to the wire before fading late
  • Full rest day before this one, no back-to-back
  • 28th in defensive rating through 3 games
  • Porzingis, Butler, Moody all out, frontcourt thin
  • 2nd stop of a road trip after Denver
Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Ball-Edwards backcourt clicking in transition
  • Gobert's 19 boards vs Cleveland, owns the glass
  • Won first 3 by 20-plus points each
  • Ball's 7 turnovers vs Cleveland, loose handle
  • Edwards was listed questionable before scoring 47
  • Faded in the 2nd half against Cleveland

Start in Minnesota, because that's where the fun is. The July trade that brought Ball and Josh Green over from Charlotte cost the Wolves Naz Reid and Julius Randle. So far it has done what it was built to do: Ball takes some of the ballhandling off Edwards, and Edwards gets to finish. Against Orlando, Ball had 15 points and 8 assists in 17 minutes while Edwards scored 26 on 10-of-18. The Wolves won their first 3 games by an average of more than 23 points before Cleveland got them in overtime.

That Cavaliers loss was the closest anyone has come to figuring them out. Edwards was listed questionable and scored 47 anyway. Minnesota led by 10 at the half, and then the 2nd night of a back-to-back caught up with them: Cleveland won the 3rd quarter 36-26, Ball turned it over 7 times, and Edwards missed an open look to tie with 3.9 seconds left in overtime. Rudy Gobert grabbed 19 rebounds, which says plenty about what the Warriors' frontcourt is walking into. Minnesota gets Tuesday off before tipoff.

Golden State's start looks worse on paper than it was on the floor, but only a little. The Warriors got blown out by the Lakers, gave up a late lead to Memphis in the home opener, and then sat Curry, Draymond Green and Brandin Podziemski the next night in Phoenix and lost by 9. Three games in, they ranked 28th in defensive rating at 123.1 points allowed per 100 possessions. That's the number that should worry them, more than the record.

10/25L@Suns122-131
10/24LvsGrizzlies108-111
10/22L@Lakers105-127
10/26L@Cavaliers125-127
10/25WvsRaptors117-94
10/23W@Magic115-93
10/21W@Heat131-106

The Warriors still had a stop in Denver on Monday before coming to Target Center, so their record and their health could both look different by Wednesday. Steve Kerr sounded defiant after Phoenix. Golden State hasn't opened 0-4 since Curry was playing at Davidson, and the trip to the Nuggets decided whether that was still on the table. Whatever happened in Denver, Wednesday is the 2nd game of a road trip, with a travel day in between.

The injury list is where Golden State's real problem shows. Jimmy Butler is still working back from a torn ACL with a January-to-February window. Moses Moody's patellar tendon puts him somewhere around December or January. Kristaps Porzingis is out and, according to Shams Charania, contemplating his future in basketball because of recurring POTS symptoms. That's a lot of size and wing defense missing against a team whose best stretch has come from turning stops into Ball-to-Edwards in transition. Minnesota's only absence is Donte DiVincenzo, who is out with an Achilles injury.

Tipoff is 7:00 PM CT. Golden State's path is pretty clear. Curry and Green need to play heavy minutes on full rest, and the Warriors need to make Ball pay for his loose handle, which Cleveland just showed can be done. Minnesota's path is clear too: keep winning the glass with Gobert and don't let a team that can't defend turn the game into a shootout.

Warriors vs. Timberwolves: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 28) — Warriors Visit Target Center To Test The Edwards-Ball Backcourt