Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons

Sun Oct 181:00 PM ETFoxAtlanta, GA
By JR·2 min read
Bears(3-2)
Falcons(2-3)
Sunday 10/181:00 PM

TLDR: Chicago and Atlanta each finished last weekend watching their starting quarterback from the sideline. Sunday's game in Atlanta will hinge on which of those quarterbacks is back on the field.

SUN 10/18, 1:00 PM · Week 6Fox
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Chicago (3-2) visits Atlanta (2-3) with both quarterbacks in doubt: Caleb Williams is working back from a hamstring injury that has cost him 3 games, and Michael Penix Jr. hurt his ribs late in the overtime loss to Baltimore. Atlanta won by 21 at Green Bay, where Chicago lost by 24 with Tyson Bagent starting. The Bears' defense is the more banged-up unit, especially at cornerback, so the week's injury reports will shape this game more than either team's record.

Chicago Bears
  • Williams 'close' to returning from hamstring, per Johnson
  • Has a 59-point game against Carolina
  • Beat the Eagles 27-7 at home
  • Bagent and Keenum combined for 3 INTs at Green Bay
  • Gordon, Stevenson, Edwards and Odeyingbo all hurt
  • Scored 3 and 7 in its 2 losses
Atlanta Falcons
  • Scored 35 at Green Bay and 45 at New Orleans
  • Robinson and London both coming off big games
  • Plays indoors at home
  • Penix hurt his ribs late against Baltimore
  • Lost 34-3 at home to Carolina
  • Za'Darius Smith concussion, Abdullah on injured reserve

Start in Chicago. Caleb Williams has missed 3 straight games with a hamstring injury, and Ben Johnson wouldn't put a date on his return after the 31-7 loss at Green Bay: "We'll see if that's Atlanta or after. I think it's going to be close." The Packers game showed how much depends on that answer. Tyson Bagent went 12 of 21 for 87 yards with 2 interceptions, both to Xavier McKinney, before he was benched. Case Keenum didn't do much better in relief, going 11 of 19 for 108 yards with an interception and a lost fumble on a strip sack.

Atlanta's problem came late. Michael Penix Jr. took a big hit, was sacked and fumbled with 27 seconds left in regulation against Baltimore, and was reported to have hurt his ribs. He couldn't come back for overtime. The Ravens scored a touchdown on the first possession of the extra period, and Tua Tagovailoa ended the game with an interception. Penix is listed as questionable, and nobody has put a timeline on him yet. With both quarterback spots unsettled, the board has this as close to a pick'em as it gets.

When both starters played, the two offenses looked nothing alike. Before the Ravens loss, Penix had the Falcons on a 2-game run built on 35 points at Lambeau and 45 at the Superdome, with Brian Robinson Jr. scoring 3 times in New Orleans and Drake London catching 5 balls for 96 yards. Chicago's offense has been all over the place. It scored 59 on Carolina, then 3 against Minnesota a week later.

The best comparison is Green Bay, since both teams have already played there. Atlanta won 35-14 at Lambeau. Chicago lost 31-7 at the same stadium with a backup at quarterback. That's 1 game each and it shouldn't be pushed too far, but it shows what each offense looks like with and without its starter. Atlanta has had its own bad day, though: a 34-3 home loss to Carolina, the same Panthers team the Bears scored 59 against.

10/11L@Packers7-31
10/04WvsJets23-12
09/29WvsEagles27-7
09/20LvsVikings3-9
09/13W@Panthers59-37
10/12LvsRavens23-30
10/06W@Saints45-24
09/25W@Packers35-14
09/20LvsPanthers3-34
09/13L@Steelers13-20

Chicago's defense came out of Green Bay even more banged up. Kyler Gordon (calf) and Shemar Turner (knee) were already out, then Tyrique Stevenson Sr. (hamstring) and Dayo Odeyingbo (quadriceps) were listed as doubtful to return, and T.J. Edwards (hamstring) was ruled out for the rest of the game. Atlanta's injury list from the Ravens game has its own problems: Za'Darius Smith was out with a concussion and neck injury, Yasir Abdullah went to injured reserve, and C.J. Henderson left with a groin injury.

Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, indoors, so weather won't be a factor. This week's practice reports will settle most of this game. Watch whether Williams practices fully, whether Penix's ribs hold up when he throws, and how many of Chicago's defensive backs are healthy on Sunday. A 3-2 team and a 2-3 team, both coming off losses, would look very different with their starters back.

Bears and Falcons Both Wait on Their Quarterbacks Before Atlanta | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush