Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders

Sun Oct 181:25 PM PTCBSLas Vegas, NV
By JR·3 min read
Bills(4-1)
Raiders(3-2)
Sunday 10/181:25 PM

TLDR: Buffalo has been winning shootouts all season, and now it goes back West on a short week with a patched-up roster. Las Vegas started 3-0, then got run out of Foxborough, and needs to show that was a blip and not the real Raiders.

SUN 10/18, 1:25 PM · Week 6CBS
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A 4-1 Bills team that has outscored opponents in shootouts goes to Las Vegas on a short week after a Monday-night win over the Rams, with right tackle Spencer Brown's back and a defensive front missing Ed Oliver and Landon Jackson as the big availability questions. The Raiders are 3-2 after a 3-0 start and have lost 2 straight, the last a 45-17 beating in New England that exposed their pass protection and run defense. Buffalo is a clear road favorite, and the game probably turns on whether Kirk Cousins gets enough time to attack a Bills defense that has allowed 29 or more points 4 times.

Buffalo Bills
  • Offense has scored 36, 41 and 37 in its road and prime-time wins
  • Coleman (116 yds, TD) and Shakir giving Allen reliable targets
  • Raiders just allowed 38.7% pressure rate and 165 rushing yards
  • Short week after Monday night in Los Angeles
  • RT Spencer Brown left with back injury; Grable filling in
  • Defense without Oliver, Jackson, Alford; allowed 29+ four times
Las Vegas Raiders
  • Full week of rest against a Bills team on a short week
  • Bowers (8-110-TD) a mismatch for a thinned Bills secondary
  • Nailor expected to practice after concussion
  • Cousins pressured on 38.7% of dropbacks at New England
  • Run defense gave up 165 yards in 45-17 rout
  • C Zuhn out, DT Hemingway in concussion protocol

Start with the quarterbacks, because they don't look alike right now. Josh Allen has the Bills at 4-1, and their games have been track meets: 36 at Houston, 41 against Detroit, 37 at SoFi in a Monday-night win over the Rams. Kirk Cousins is still the guy in Las Vegas, but the 45-17 loss at New England was rough. He went 19 of 28 for 243 yards and a touchdown, got pressured on 38.7% of his dropbacks, and was pulled once it was out of reach so rookie Fernando Mendoza could make his debut in mop-up time. Klint Kubiak said he just wanted to get Mendoza some exposure. For now this is Cousins' job, and Sunday, October 18 at Allegiant is his chance to calm things down.

The bigger question for Buffalo is who's left standing. Right tackle Spencer Brown left the Rams game in the first half with a back injury and was downgraded to out, and 2024 sixth-rounder Tylan Grable took his snaps. The team hasn't said anything about Brown's status for Week 6. Brown is on top of an injury list that already had DJ Moore and Joshua Palmer inactive at receiver, Ar'maj Reed-Adams and Jude Bowry inactive on the offensive line, and Ed Oliver, Landon Jackson and Dee Alford out on defense. Buffalo also gets one fewer day than usual to put it back together, since it played Monday night and kicks off at 1:25 PM PT Sunday.

Las Vegas has a full week and a real reason to be angry. The early win over the Chargers and the 35-point day in New Orleans came from an offense that could finish drives. In Foxborough the defense gave up 165 rushing yards and the line couldn't keep Cousins clean. One thing still worked: Brock Bowers caught 8 of 10 targets for 110 yards and a touchdown even in a blowout, and he's the matchup Buffalo's banged-up secondary has to plan around.

10/13W@Rams37-34
10/04LvsPatriots26-29
09/27WvsChargers24-16
09/18WvsLions41-31
09/13W@Texans36-31
10/11L@Patriots17-45
10/04LvsChiefs27-30
09/27W@Saints35-27
09/20W@Chargers26-14
09/13WvsDolphins27-13

Buffalo is winning games, but it isn't stopping anybody. The Bills gave up 31 to Houston, 31 to Detroit, 29 in the loss to New England and 34 to the Rams. Their one tidy game was 24-16 over the Chargers. That defense was missing Oliver, Jackson and Alford on Monday, which leaves a thin front facing an Ashton Jeanty who only got 27 yards on 10 carries against the Patriots and should be due a bigger role. Kubiak needs to get back to the balance that produced the 3-0 start, because trading touchdowns with Allen isn't a plan he'll win often.

The Raiders have their own problems up front. Center Trey Zuhn III is out, and defensive tackle Tonka Hemingway is in the concussion protocol going into the week. There is some good news: Kubiak said receiver Jalen Nailor is expected to practice after his concussion, which would give Cousins another target next to Tre Tucker with Dont'e Thornton Jr. on IR. Keon Coleman just put up 116 yards and a touchdown against New England, and Khalil Shakir remains Allen's safety valve, so Buffalo still has enough to throw it around. Brown's back is the injury to watch all week. It decides whether Allen has time to wait for those routes or has to start running for his life in the second half.

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