Cleveland Browns at New York Jets

Sun Oct 111:00 PM ETCBSEast Rutherford, NJ
By JR·2 min read
Browns(3-1)
Jets(1-3)
Sunday 10/111:00 PM

TLDR: The Browns have won 3 straight by a combined 10 points, and the Jets have lost 3 straight while looking for anything that works. On Sunday, October 11 at MetLife, Cleveland finds out if close wins are a habit, and New York finds out how deep this hole goes.

SUN 10/11, 1:00 PM · Week 5CBS
LLLW
Kickoff 63°

Cleveland comes into MetLife having won 3 straight one-score games behind Deshaun Watson's late-game play, plus 10 days of rest after a Thursday game. They'll be without sack leader Mason Graham. The Jets have lost 3 straight, the offense is missing Breece Hall and several pass catchers, and the defense hasn't gotten pressure without blitzing. Whether Cleveland's pass rush holds up without Graham, and whether Geno Smith can get the Jets into the end zone, will likely decide it.

Cleveland Browns
  • 10 days of rest after Thursday win
  • Watson led game-winning drive vs Pittsburgh
  • Secondary making plays: Ward INT, Campbell 7 tackles
  • Sack leader Mason Graham out a few weeks
  • All 3 wins by 4 points or fewer
  • Interior OL banged up; both Jenkinses missed Thursday
New York Jets
  • Geno Smith threw for 321 yards, 3 TDs at Detroit
  • Garrett Wilson the clear top target
  • Scored just 12 against Bears
  • Breece Hall, Taylor, Mitchell inactive vs Chicago
  • No pressure without blitzing, per JetNation

The quarterback story starts in Cleveland. Deshaun Watson went 24-of-33 for 268 yards with a touchdown, an interception and a lost fumble in the 27-24 Thursday-night win over Pittsburgh. Then he led the late drive that set up Andre Szmyt's game-winning field goal, and that's the part people in Cleveland are talking about. Over in New York, Geno Smith has had real days. He went 31-of-37 for 321 yards and 3 touchdowns in the 31-24 loss at Detroit. But the offense managed 12 points against Chicago and hasn't scored more than 24 in any game this season.

The Jets offense keeps losing players. Breece Hall was inactive against the Bears, and Braelon Allen and Isaiah Davis are splitting the backfield until he's back. Arian Smith is done for the year after ACL surgery. Mason Taylor and Adonai Mitchell also sat Sunday, which made Isaiah Williams the WR2 behind Garrett Wilson. Cleveland's problems are on the other side of the ball. Mason Graham, who leads the team with 4 sacks, left Thursday's game on the first defensive series with MCL and ankle sprains, and reports say he'll miss a few weeks. There's no board on this one yet.

The schedule helps Cleveland. The Browns played Thursday, so they get 10 days between games. The Jets get the normal week after a 23-12 loss in Chicago, against a Bears team that was expected to be without Caleb Williams and his hamstring. Losing by 11 to a team in that spot is the result that should worry Jets fans most.

10/02WvsSteelers27-24
09/27WvsPanthers21-18
09/20W@Buccaneers23-19
09/13L@Jaguars10-34
10/04L@Bears12-23
09/27L@Lions24-31
09/20LvsPackers17-20
09/13W@Titans23-10

Don't read too much into Cleveland's 3-1. The wins came by 4, 3 and 3, the one loss was a 34-10 beating in Jacksonville, and Watson turned the ball over twice against Pittsburgh. The secondary has been the steady part. Denzel Ward picked off a pass Thursday, Tyson Campbell made 7 tackles, and Carson Schwesinger made 9. With Graham out, though, the pressure has to come from somewhere else. The interior offensive line is a question too: Teven Jenkins (back) and Elgton Jenkins (concussion) both sat Thursday.

Aaron Glenn's defense has a clear weakness heading into this one. Before the Bears game, JetNation pointed out that the unit had generated no pressure without blitzing, and that Demario Davis and Jamien Sherwood gave up 13 catches on 15 targets for 176 yards to Detroit. Both of those play into what Cleveland does best: Quinshon Judkins and Harold Fannin Jr. underneath, with Denzel Boston going deep after his 89-yard night. Jarvis Brownlee Jr. and Braiden McGregor were both questionable late Sunday, and their status matters for a Jets defense with no depth to spare.

Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET, and the early forecast says low 60s and cloudy with little wind, which could easily change in a week. For the Jets, a 4th straight loss would put them well behind before October is half over. For the Browns, it's a test of whether a team that keeps winning close games is actually good, and a mediocre home team is a reasonable place to find out.

Cleveland Browns at New York Jets — Watson's Browns Bring a 3-Game Win Streak Into Reeling MetLife | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush