Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings

Sun Oct 2512:00 PM CTCBSMinneapolis, MN
By JR·2 min read
Colts(2-4)
Vikings(5-0)
Sunday 10/2512:00 PM

TLDR: Minnesota went into the bye at 5-0 without ever looking easy, and comes out of it against an Indianapolis team that just gave away a 13-0 halftime lead to a Titans club that hadn't won all year. A noon kickoff at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday, October 25 tests whether the Vikings' grind-it-out formula holds up against an opponent that's coming apart.

SUN 10/25, 12:00 PM · Week 7CBS
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Minnesota comes off its bye at 5-0, built on Brian Flores' defense and a perfect Will Reichard, with an offense that has scored only 9 touchdowns. Indianapolis is 2-4 after blowing a 13-0 halftime lead to the previously winless Titans, a game in which Daniel Jones was sacked 6 times and intercepted twice. The board has the rested home side as a clear favorite, and the game comes down to whether the Colts' line can protect Jones against a defense that has held 5 opponents to 5 offensive touchdowns combined.

Indianapolis Colts
  • Scored 20-plus in each of the last 5
  • Downs back at full practice, Mallory off IR
  • Spencer Shrader went 5-for-5 on field goals at Pittsburgh
  • Jones sacked 6 times, picked twice by Tennessee
  • Gave up 20 fourth-quarter points to winless Titans
  • Warren out, Pierce on IR, Gould concussed
Minnesota Vikings
  • Flores defense held Saints to 142 total yards
  • Off the bye at home, fully rested
  • Aaron Jones ran for 113 on 25 carries last time out
  • Only 9 offensive touchdowns through 5 games
  • 2 red-zone fumbles even in their best offensive game
  • Darrisaw, Addison questionable; Jackson on IR

The quarterback matchup tells you most of it. Kyler Murray has been steady rather than spectacular in purple: 24 of 30 for 229 yards and a touchdown in the 23-13 win at New Orleans, plus 51 rushing yards on 10 carries. Daniel Jones is in a worse place. Tennessee sacked him 6 times and forced 3 turnovers in a 26-20 comeback win at Lucas Oil, and his 2 interceptions in that game took him to 6 for the season. Colts fans booed the team off the field.

The collapse in Indy was ugly in every phase. Tennessee scored 26 second-half points, 20 of them in the fourth quarter, and got there with a blocked punt and 2 late Joey Slye field goals. Punter Rigoberto Sanchez (foot) and corner Sauce Gardner (calf) were both questionable to return during that game, and receiver Anthony Gould left with a concussion. Tight end Tyler Warren (groin) was inactive again, and Alec Pierce is still on IR. That leaves Jones throwing to Josh Downs, Keenan Allen and a reshuffled tight end room that just got Will Mallory back from IR and added Pharaoh Brown.

Minnesota's record hides some sloppy offense. Through 5 games the Vikings have just 9 offensive touchdowns, and Will Reichard is a perfect 15-for-15 on field goals, which is great for Reichard and less great for the red zone. Even the Saints game, their best offensive day by yardage, time of possession and third-down rate, included 2 red-zone fumbles. The bye was the week to fix that.

10/18LvsTitans20-26
10/11L@Steelers22-34
10/04W@Commanders30-13
09/27WvsTexans19-17
09/21L@Chiefs30-33
10/11W@Saints23-13
10/04WvsDolphins15-10
09/27W@Buccaneers23-16
09/20W@Bears9-3
09/13WvsPackers39-22

Brian Flores' defense is why none of the offensive problems have cost them. Minnesota has allowed 64 points in 5 games, the first 5 opponents managed 5 offensive touchdowns between them, and New Orleans finished with 142 total yards and 9 first downs. The Colts have scored 20 or more in each of their last 5, but they're bringing a line that just gave up 6 sacks into a building where opposing offenses have struggled to get anything going.

Health is the other subplot of the off week. The Vikings are hopeful Jordan Mason (thumb) comes off IR for this one to give Aaron Jones Sr. some help after he carried 25 times for 113 yards in New Orleans. Christian Darrisaw, Jordan Addison and Charles Demmings were all listed questionable going into the bye, Donovan Jackson is on IR, and T.J. Hockenson missed the Saints game with a concussion. Getting Darrisaw and Addison back would do more for that red-zone problem than any scheme change.

Minnesota has the rest, the home crowd and the defense. Indianapolis has 2 straight losses, a quarterback who can't hold onto the ball under pressure, and a week to stop the fourth-quarter bleeding. The Colts are the team that has to change something here. The Vikings mostly have to keep doing what they've done for 5 weeks and score 7 instead of 3 once or twice.

Colts vs. Vikings: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 25) — Unbeaten Vikings Come Off The Bye To Host Reeling Colts · Barstool Bush