Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints

Sun Nov 1512:00 PM CTFoxNew Orleans, LA
By JR·3 min read
Panthers(3-5)
Saints(3-5)
Sunday 11/1512:00 PM

TLDR: Carolina and New Orleans are both 3-5, and the NFC South doesn't have room for both of them to hang around. One leaves the Superdome on Sunday, November 15 with a pulse, and the other leaves with a long December ahead.

SUN 11/15, 12:00 PM · Week 10Fox
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Two 3-5 NFC South teams meet in New Orleans with the board close to even. Carolina's passing game has been productive even during a 3-game skid, while the Saints just got their first home win and are dealing with a sack problem and a biceps injury to center Erik McCoy. The game likely comes down to which team's line and front seven gets healthier this week.

Carolina Panthers
  • Young threw for 276 yards and 3 TDs against Denver
  • Waller, McMillan and Tremble all scoring through the air
  • Beat Detroit and won at Philadelphia earlier this season
  • Okereke, Phillips and Lee all inactive last week
  • Interior line thin with Lewis inactive, Christensen on IR
  • Ball security cost them: late INT and strip sack vs Denver
New Orleans Saints
  • Shough adds a run threat, 51 rushing yards vs Cleveland
  • Olave drawing 12 targets, Estime giving the run game punch
  • Granderson's pressure stopped the Browns' winning 2-point try
  • Shough sacked 5 times by Cleveland
  • McCoy left the Browns game with a biceps injury
  • Only 1 home win, lost to ATL, MIN and PIT there

Start with the quarterbacks. Bryce Young just played one of his cleaner games of the year and lost anyway: 28-of-39 for 276 yards and 3 touchdowns against Denver, undone by an interception and then a strip sack on the final drive of a 26-21 loss. Tyler Shough went the other way. He was 21-of-35 for 265 yards and a score against Cleveland, ran 10 times for 51 yards, got sacked 5 times, and still won, because his 15-yard timing ball to Juwan Johnson in overtime held up after the Browns went for 2 and missed.

The availability story is about the lines on both sides. Carolina already had Damien Lewis inactive and Brady Christensen on IR at guard, and the defense dressed without Bobby Okereke, Jaelan Phillips, Will Lee III and TeRah Edwards against the Broncos. New Orleans lost center Erik McCoy to a biceps injury against Cleveland, on a day Shough was already under pressure all afternoon. Both of those are still open questions for this week, and the board has these two sitting about as close to even as a road-home split gets.

As of now, Carolina has lost 3 straight, and the three don't look alike. The 43-13 home loss to Tampa Bay was a real beating. The 27-19 loss in Green Bay was a normal road loss. Denver was decided by replay reviews, 5 defensive pass interference flags against the Panthers to 1 for the Broncos, and a challenge sequence Dave Canales said the officials told him involved a flag thrown before the snap. Before that run, Carolina had beaten Detroit 32-26 and gone to Philadelphia and won 25-14, so this group can beat good teams. It just hasn't for three weeks.

11/08LvsBroncos21-26
10/30L@Packers19-27
10/25LvsBuccaneers13-43
10/18W@Eagles25-14
10/05WvsLions32-26
11/08WvsBrowns23-22
10/25LvsSteelers10-16
10/18W@Giants34-27
10/11LvsVikings13-23
10/06LvsFalcons24-45

The Saints' last 5 is 2-3, and the Cleveland win was their first at home all season. They had already lost to Atlanta 45-24, Minnesota 23-13 and Pittsburgh 16-10 in this building, so the Superdome hasn't been much of an edge yet. The offense is getting by on spread-out production: Chris Olave had 7 catches for 98 yards on 12 targets, Audric Estime ran 15 times for 72 yards and a touchdown, and Alvin Kamara has been reduced to a small piece of the plan, with 6 carries against Cleveland. Travis Etienne Jr. is still on IR, and Kellen Moore said the team hasn't opened his practice window.

Carolina's passing game is the more dangerous unit right now. Darren Waller caught 8 of 10 targets for 90 yards and a touchdown against Denver, Tetairoa McMillan scored, and Tommy Tremble caught a touchdown too. Chuba Hubbard put up 79 yards on 16 carries. Canales also said Xavier Legette could potentially be designated to return from IR, which would give Young another option outside. The worry is the other side of the ball, where a defense missing a starting linebacker pair now has to deal with Shough's scrambling.

Kickoff is 12:00 PM CT. It's indoors, so weather won't be a factor, and it's a division game between two 3-5 teams. The thing to watch all week is the Wednesday injury report: whether McCoy can snap for the Saints and how many of those Panthers inactives come back. Whichever team gets more of its front back probably wins this.

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