New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks

Seattle, WA
By Bush StaffUpdated 25d ago·2 min read
New England PatriotsNE
Seattle SeahawksSEA
AT
5:20 PM PT

Six months after Seattle throttled New England in Super Bowl LX, the two teams run it right back in Week 1 — this time at Lumen Field.

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Patriots
Seahawks
Best BetSeahawks -206

Seattle at -206 is pricey, but this is the same team that just beat this exact opponent in the Super Bowl, at home, with a full offseason to keep building. New England's turnaround was real, but banking on a road upset over the defending champ in Week 1 is a lot to ask before Maye and Brown have played a real snap together. Lay the price and back the Seahawks to win outright.

Patriots
  • Maye finished as NFL MVP runner-up last season
  • Added A.J. Brown to the receiving corps
  • 10-game win streak carried them to the Super Bowl
  • Lost the Super Bowl in a flat offensive showing
  • Maye-Brown chemistry still rough through early camp
  • Stevenson's injury status unresolved
Seahawks
  • Defending Super Bowl champions, won it at Lumen-caliber form
  • Smith-Njigba coming off an NFL-best receiving season
  • Shaheed re-signed for an expanded role
  • Darnold led the league in turnovers last season
  • Charbonnet out on PUP, backfield unsettled
  • Lost Super Bowl MVP Walker III and defensive starters

Drake Maye enters his third year off a Year 2 leap that had him finishing as MVP runner-up, and now he's got A.J. Brown lined up outside for a full training camp instead of a midseason trade adjustment. New England went from 4-13 to a Super Bowl appearance in one season under Mike Vrabel, and the front office bet big that adding Brown to that offense turns a good unit into an elite one. The early camp reviews are mixed — real chemistry, but also real rust — which is exactly what you'd expect this early.

Sam Darnold is walking into camp as a Super Bowl champion and the guy who's earned the trust of a locker room, but he also led the NFL in turnovers a year ago, and cleaning that up is his stated priority this summer. The Seahawks backfield is unsettled behind him with Zach Charbonnet still working back from a torn ACL, so George Holani and rookie Jadarian Price are auditioning for real early-season carries. None of that changes the fact Seattle is the champ until someone beats them, and Vegas has them favored again.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba just put together a franchise-record, NFL-leading receiving season and Rashid Shaheed is back on a new deal looking for a bigger role, so the receiving corps in Seattle might actually be deeper than the one that won it all. New England's questions are more about health and continuity: Rhamondre Stevenson left a camp practice early with an undisclosed issue, and the offensive line is getting reshuffled around Brown's arrival. The number opened basically identical to the Super Bowl line itself, which tells you the market isn't expecting much separation between these two.

This is only the third time a Super Bowl rematch has opened the very next season in Week 1, and the first since 2016 — that alone makes it appointment viewing on a Wednesday night. Seattle lost pieces of that championship roster this offseason, notably Super Bowl MVP running back Kenneth Walker III to the Chiefs, along with some defensive starters and their offensive coordinator. New England, meanwhile, is trying to prove the 10-game win streak that got them to the Super Bowl wasn't a one-year mirage.

New England Patriots
New England Patriots
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks

New England's last five results are all wins outside of the Super Bowl loss itself, and that late-season surge is the reason expectations shot up in Foxboro. Seattle's last five are a clean sweep, capped by the win that actually mattered most. Both teams are walking in with real momentum from a year ago — the difference is Seattle's came with a trophy attached.

New England Patriots
New England Patriots
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries to report
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries to report

Keep an eye on Stevenson's status for New England and Nick Emmanwori's ankle for Seattle — both are firmly in the "unclear, but not long-term" bucket this early in camp, and neither team has any incentive to rush a real injury update out in late July. A lot can shift over the next six weeks before kickoff, but as of now this reads like the closest thing the NFL schedule-makers could engineer to a Super Bowl do-over.

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