Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars

Sat Oct 317:00 PM CTESPN+Dallas, TX
By JR·3 min read
Blue Jackets(5-6-0)
Stars(7-5-1)
Saturday 10/317:00 PM

TLDR: Dallas has dropped 2 straight on home ice, giving up 5 goals in each, and the blue line that let those goals in is held together with tape. Columbus comes to the American Airlines Center on Saturday, October 31, off a 1-goal loss in Carolina and with a habit of making late games uncomfortable.

SUN 11/01, 7:00 PMESPN+
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Dallas hosts Columbus after losing 2 straight at home by a combined 10-3, with Capobianco out for weeks and Lindell, Faksa and Perron all possible returns for Saturday. Columbus has been winning in overtime and fighting back in 3rd periods, but its own defense is stretched without Provorov. The Stars' injury report decides how this one looks, and no betting lines have been posted yet.

Columbus Blue Jackets
  • Fantilli driving offense, scored the OT winner vs Vegas
  • Pushed Carolina to the final horn with 2 3rd-period goals
  • Dallas blue line missing Capobianco, giving up 5 per game
  • Provorov out, so Werenski is overloaded
  • Shut out for 40 minutes in Carolina
  • Travels from Raleigh to Dallas on 1 day's rest
Dallas Stars
  • Lindell, Faksa and Perron could return Saturday
  • Robertson-Hintz-Seguin top line plus Oettinger in net
  • Won 3 straight at home before this skid
  • Allowed 10 goals in the last 2 home games
  • Capobianco out about 4 weeks after the Devils game
  • Center depth thin without Duchene, Back and Faksa

Start with the Dallas defense, because that's where this game is decided. Kyle Capobianco left the 5-1 loss to New Jersey after a collision with Timo Meier and is out about 4 weeks. Esa Lindell was already on injured reserve. Without both of them, Montreal went up 3-1 in the 1st period and the Stars never got within 2 goals after that. The good news, per NHL.com's preview of that Montreal game, is that Lindell, Radek Faksa and Corey Perron could each return against Columbus on Saturday or at Washington on Tuesday. It's a maybe, not a promise, but Lindell alone would change what this blue line looks like.

Columbus has its own problem on the back end. Ivan Provorov has been week-to-week since blocking a shot in the preseason, which has pushed Zach Werenski's minutes up and broken up the second pair he played with Denton Mateychuk. The club also put veteran defenseman Carson Soucy on waivers this week. So both teams are asking more of their top defensemen than they'd like. Puck drop is 7:00 PM CT, and nobody has a number posted for this one yet.

What the Blue Jackets do have is a team that keeps games close. Adam Fantilli won the Vegas game with an overtime goal, and Mateychuk scored in a 4-3 overtime win over the Flyers where Fantilli had a goal and an assist and Cam Talbot made 28 saves. In Carolina they fell behind 3-0 through 40 minutes, scored twice in the 3rd, and still lost 3-2 to a Hurricanes team that was 11-2-2 after the win. A comeback that comes up 1 goal short is still a loss, though, and a team that keeps needing the 3rd period to dig out isn't one you'd call sharp.

10/29L@Hurricanes2-3
10/27W@Flyers4-3
10/24WvsGolden Knights2-1
10/20LvsMaple Leafs2-6
10/18L@Wild1-2
10/30LvsCanadiens2-5
10/28LvsDevils1-5
10/25WvsIslanders6-3
10/23WvsJets3-2
10/21WvsBruins3-2

The Dallas slide is recent and it's ugly. Before it, the Stars won 3 straight at home: 3-2 over Boston, 3-2 over Winnipeg and 6-3 over the Islanders. Then they gave up 10 goals across the next 2 home games. That's 3-2 in the last 5, and the swing in goals against matches the week the defensemen started going down. The NHL.com projection had Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz and Tyler Seguin together on the top line with Jake Oettinger in net, so the high-end pieces are still there. Getting the puck out of their own end is the part that's broken.

Dallas has more players out than this, too. Matt Duchene is gone for roughly 3 months after core surgery, and Oskar Back is on long-term injured reserve, so the center depth was thin even before Faksa got hurt. Sam Steel coming back after missing 2 games helps a bit. Columbus played Thursday in Raleigh and has to fly to Dallas, but both teams get the same 1 day between games, so neither has a rest edge. The real question for Saturday is whether Lindell and Faksa play. If they do, the Stars look a lot more like the team that won 3 straight. If they don't, the Blue Jackets get the same thin back end that Montreal and New Jersey just ran up the score on.

Blue Jackets vs. Stars: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 31) — Short-Handed Stars Try to Steady the Blue Line Against Columbus