Vancouver Canucks at New York Islanders

Tue Oct 137:45 PM ETESPN+Elmont, NY
By JR·3 min read
Canucks(2-4-0)
Islanders(2-3-0)
Tuesday 10/137:45 PM

TLDR: Vancouver's season-opening road trip has been rough, and it reaches UBS Arena on Tuesday, October 13 against an Islanders team that won its first 4 before Tampa Bay finally cracked them. One club's problems are mostly in its own end. The other's are in the trainer's room.

TUE 10/13, 7:45 PMESPN+
LLLWL

Vancouver plays the Rangers before this one, then visits an Islanders team that started 4-0 before Tampa Bay beat it 5-3 at UBS Arena. The Canucks have been leaking goals during their skid, with Demko out until roughly Christmas and Lankinen and Meriläinen still sorting out the net. The Islanders' issue is up front: Barzal has no return date and Horvat is in concussion protocol. Picks open once both clubs have this as their next game and the board is fully priced.

Vancouver Canucks
  • Meriläinen .941 save percentage before the Newark loss
  • 2 days of rest after the New York back-to-back
  • Calgary win showed a low-event game they can play
  • 5 goals for, 14 against during 3-game skid
  • Demko out until around Christmas, crease unsettled
  • Lankinen's slow start has opened a goalie debate
New York Islanders
  • Won first 4 before the Tampa loss
  • Sorokin in form, 22 saves in the 4-1 win over Chicago
  • Defense joins the attack: DeAngelo, Schaefer scored vs Tampa

First, the Canucks have to get through the New York Rangers, the back half of a back-to-back after the 4-1 loss in Newark. That result decides a lot of what Tuesday looks like: whether Vancouver arrives at 2-4-0 or worse, and how tired the legs are going into a 2-day gap before puck drop at 7:45 PM ET. As of Sunday they've lost 3 straight, and the 3 losses look alike. They scored 5 goals total and gave up 14, including 7 in Carolina.

The crease has turned into the main storyline. Thatcher Demko is on IR after hip surgery, and Henrik Sedin said he hopes Demko is back before Christmas. That leaves Kevin Lankinen and Leevi Meriläinen, the waiver claim from Ottawa. Meriläinen started the 4-1 win over Calgary and had a .941 save percentage before the Devils got to him for 4, a game in which he briefly left with a skate-blade issue. Lankinen's slow start has Vancouver media writing the words 'goalie controversy,' and Canucks Army expects Meriläinen to get a run of starts on a road swing that goes Islanders, Florida, Tampa. Nobody has named Tuesday's starter yet, so treat that as a projection.

The Islanders are dealing with the opposite problem: the goaltending is fine and the forwards are thinning out. They opened 4-0, beating Chicago 4-1 with Ilya Sorokin making 22 saves. Then Tampa Bay scored twice in the 1st and twice more in the 3rd to beat them 5-3, their first loss at home. Mat Barzal is still out. He's skating again after a lower-body injury, but Pete DeBoer says they're 'still in the initial phase of return to play' with no timetable. Alexander Romanov is gone 6-8 months with a torn ACL.

10/10L@Devils1-4
10/08L@Hurricanes2-7
10/05LvsGolden Knights2-3
10/04WvsFlames4-1
10/02LvsOilers7-9
10/10LvsLightning3-5
10/08WvsBlackhawks4-1
10/06L@Rangers2-5
10/03WvsDevils6-0
09/30L@Maple Leafs1-2

The name to watch this week is Bo Horvat. The Islanders captain went into concussion protocol after a hit from Frank Nazar late in the Chicago game, and DeBoer had just called that game Horvat's best of the season. Whether he's cleared by Tuesday changes the Islanders' depth down the middle. A lineup without Barzal already showed against Tampa that it can fade in the 3rd period. Take Horvat out too and the forward group gets very thin, even against a Canucks team that has struggled to defend.

The matchup is pretty clear. The Islanders scored 3 in the 2nd against Tampa through DeAngelo, Schaefer and Schenn, so this team can push the pace when its defense gets involved. Vancouver has allowed 4 or more in 4 of its 6 games. The Canucks' path is the Calgary game: a goalie who sees the puck, and a team that plays a low-event game and doesn't trade chances with a deeper home side. Linus Karlsson's goal was Vancouver's only offense in New Jersey. Jake Allen stopped 20 of 21 that night, and Sorokin is a step above that.

The Rangers game reshapes the Vancouver side of this before anyone in Elmont takes a shift. A win, and the Canucks arrive with a pulse and probably a rested goalie. Another loss, and the road trip starts to feel long.

Vancouver Canucks at New York Islanders — Canucks Bring Their Leaky Defense and a Goalie Question to Elmont | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush