Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres

Wed Nov 117:00 PM ETTNT,truTVBuffalo, NY
By JR·2 min read
Lightning(11-4-2)
Sabres(8-6-3)
Wednesday 11/117:00 PM

TLDR: Tampa Bay comes into KeyBank Center at 11-4-2 and near the top of the East. The question for Wednesday has been answered, and not the way the Lightning wanted: Brayden Point is on injured reserve, so Tampa starts a stretch without him tonight.

THU 11/12, 7:00 PMTNTtruTV
LWLWW

Tampa Bay (11-4-2) visits Buffalo (8-6-3) without Brayden Point, who went on injured reserve after leaving the Winnipeg loss early, and Sam O'Reilly is up from the AHL to fill the hole at center. Buffalo has scored 1 goal in 2 of its last 3 home games and is also short a center with Konsta Helenius out, so the Sabres need Josh Norris to keep producing like he did against Columbus. Both teams are rested, both went 3-2 in the last 5, and Tampa is the road favorite.

Tampa Bay Lightning
  • 3+ goals in each of the last 5 games
  • Last 3 road games all decided by 1 goal
  • Rested after the Winnipeg back-to-back
  • Point on IR, out for a stretch
  • O'Reilly recalled, could be making his NHL debut
  • Scoreless through 40 minutes in the Winnipeg loss
Buffalo Sabres
  • Norris scored 2 vs Columbus after Ruff's challenge
  • Faces a Tampa lineup without Point
  • Rested after the afternoon game vs Vegas
  • Scored 1 goal in 2 of the last 3 home games
  • Helenius out, Lyon still on IR
  • Danforth and Grzelcyk on IR, thin depth

Start with Point, because the Lightning's next few weeks depend on him. He left the 4-3 loss in Winnipeg after 5:35 of ice time with an undisclosed injury. On Tuesday Tampa put him on injured reserve and recalled center Sam O'Reilly, who could make his NHL debut in Buffalo. Projections have Point back around early December. Before he got hurt he had 16 points in 17 games, and 2 of those goals came in the 4-2 win over Detroit. Without him the center depth chart has to absorb a lot more, and Anthony Cirelli takes on a bigger load in both directions.

Buffalo is 8-6-3, 6th in the Atlantic, and searching for offense at home. The Sabres scored once against Ottawa and once against Vegas at KeyBank, with a 5-2 win over Columbus in between. That Columbus game was Josh Norris's night: 2 goals after Lindy Ruff publicly said "there's a better Josh Norris there that just has to come out." With Konsta Helenius out week-to-week, both teams are short a center tonight, and Buffalo needs that version of Norris to stick around.

Both clubs come in rested. Tampa finished a road back-to-back in Minnesota and Winnipeg, and that 2nd night showed it: the Lightning had nothing through 40 minutes before scoring 3 in the 3rd. Andrei Vasilevskiy is projected in net for Tampa. Buffalo's last game was an afternoon loss to Vegas less than 48 hours after a Friday night win. Both teams have gone 3-2 in the last 5 and lost their most recent game, so neither has much momentum.

11/08L@Jets3-4
11/08W@Wild4-3
11/06WvsBlackhawks4-1
11/04WvsRed Wings4-2
10/31L@Predators4-5
11/08LvsGolden Knights1-4
11/07WvsBlue Jackets5-2
11/05LvsSenators1-2
10/31W@Kings3-2
10/30W@Ducks7-6

Tampa's road results lately have been close every time. They lost 5-4 in Nashville, won 4-3 in Minnesota and lost 4-3 in Winnipeg, all decided by 1 goal. The Lightning have scored at least 3 in every game of the last 5, which matters more now that they're without their 4th-leading scorer. Buffalo's last 2 road wins went the same way: 7-6 in Anaheim and 3-2 in LA. When the Sabres get the game into a track meet, they've hung around.

The injury picture on the Buffalo side has been building for weeks. Alex Lyon is still on IR with a shoulder injury, though he'll travel with the team on the upcoming road trip. Justin Danforth and Matt Grzelcyk are on injured reserve, and Helenius is out. None of that is new, but it limits Ruff's options on the 3rd and 4th lines and the 3rd pair. Puck drop is 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, November 11. Tampa is still the deeper team, but Buffalo gets a Lightning lineup missing a big piece with a possible debutant filling in. For a club that needs points to climb out of 6th place, that's an opening.

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