That Islanders game, a 4-1 loss at home, isn't as bad as the score says. Toronto outshot New York 29-20 and ran into Ilya Sorokin, who stopped 28 of 29. Colton Sissons got the only goal for a lineup missing Tavares and Tanev. Duclair and Horvat scored, New York led 2-0 after 2, and Holmstrom put in the empty-netter. A team that controls the shots and loses 4-1 got beat by a goalie more than by the other team, and that's a better problem to have than the reverse.
Columbus had the opposite weekend. The Blue Jackets finished a back-to-back with a 2-1 loss in Saint Paul and scored 1 goal in regulation across the 2 games. Against Minnesota they traded goals in the 1st, gave up the only goal of the 2nd, and then couldn't find an equalizer in a scoreless 3rd against a Wild defense that was missing bodies and had already blown a 1-goal lead to St. Louis. If you can't break through a thinned-out blue line for a full period, the problem is finishing, not effort.
The schedule flips for this one. Columbus was the tired team in Minnesota. On Tuesday it'll have had Monday off at home, while Toronto is the one on the second night with a short-handed defense. That's the Blue Jackets' best argument. Toronto's best argument is the shot share from the Islanders game. If the Leafs drive play like that again, a Columbus team that hasn't been scoring will have to win low-event games, and that's exactly how its weekend went wrong.
There's no board posted for this game yet, and Toronto has a game to play first anyway. Watch Monday's Sharks game for the goalie usage and the defensive pairings. Those will say more about Tuesday than anything from the weekend.