Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames

Mon Oct 266:30 PM MTESPN+Calgary, AB
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Toronto just put 7 past Edmonton without John Tavares and with 3 defensemen in street clothes. Monday's trip to Calgary is about whether that was a team finding its depth or a night where the goalie at the other end fell apart.

TUE 10/27, 6:30 PMESPN+
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Toronto comes to Calgary on the second leg of a 4-game road trip after a 7-2 win at Edmonton that leaned heavily on goaltending, while still missing Tavares and 3 defensemen. Calgary, 3-6-0 as of Sunday with Backlund out, has found a hot goalie in Cooley and a working power play, and hosts Detroit first. No board is open yet.

Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Scored 4 3rd-period goals in 7-2 win at Edmonton
  • Stolarz stopped 30 of 32 at Rogers Place
  • Forward depth scoring without Tavares in lineup
  • Tavares out, not traveling on road trip
  • Tanev, Blankenburg, Rifai all week to week on defense
  • Outshot 32-31 in Edmonton; score flattered them
Calgary Flames
  • Cooley .958 across wins over Carolina, Minnesota
  • Power play 4-for-10 over recent 4-game stretch
  • Beat 2 strong clubs in back-to-back home games

The Maple Leafs took a banged-up lineup out west and won the first game of a 4-game road trip 7-2 at Rogers Place, scoring 4 times in the 3rd period to bury a 3-1 lead. It wasn't a shooting gallery, though. Edmonton actually outshot them 32-31. Anthony Stolarz stopped 30 and Stuart Skinner's replacement, Tristan Jarry, stopped 25, starting only because Levi went on IR. Toronto won the goaltending battle by a mile, and that is the part of the result that has to repeat in Calgary, because the shot share won't carry them.

The injury list is long. Tavares is week to week with a lower-body injury from a collision with Buffalo's Josh Norris and isn't traveling on this trip. On the back end, Chris Tanev, Nick Blankenburg and Marshall Rifai are all week to week, per the NHL's status report. A blue line missing Tanev is going to spend a lot of time in its own zone, and Edmonton showed it on Saturday even in a loss.

Calgary has its own holes. Captain Mikael Backlund is listed out after taking a hit along the boards from Carolina's William Carrier, and Ben Jones got the call from the AHL Wranglers to cover the middle. Jonathan Huberdeau is skating with the team but isn't close to returning from his hip injury, and Samuel Honzek is on IR. That's a thin forward group for a team that has to score enough to beat a Toronto lineup that just dropped 7.

The Flames are 3-6-0 as of Sunday, and the preseason talk had them tanking for lottery balls. Devin Cooley isn't buying it. He stopped 36 shots across back-to-back home wins over Carolina, the defending champs, and Minnesota, a .958 save percentage, and said afterward that Calgary had "gone head-to-head with two of the top teams." The power play has woken up too: 4-for-10 over a 4-game stretch after starting 2-for-13, with Joel Farabee and Aydar Suniev both scoring with the man advantage against the Wild.

10/24W@Oilers7-2
10/22WvsRangers5-4
10/20W@Blue Jackets6-2
10/19WvsSharks3-1
10/17LvsIslanders1-4
10/23WvsWild2-1
10/19WvsHurricanes3-2
10/16L@Golden Knights2-6
10/14W@Ducks4-2
10/11LvsDucks2-4

Calgary still has a home game against Detroit before this one, so the streak, the record and Backlund's status could all look different by Monday. Whatever happens there, the setup holds. Calgary's fixed power play and a hot goalie go up against a Leafs team running on depth scoring and a patched-together defense. If Cooley keeps stopping everything and the special teams keep converting, the Flames can drag this into the low-scoring game they've been winning. If Toronto's forwards get Calgary's goalie scrambling the way they did Jarry, it gets out of hand fast.

Puck drops at 6:30 PM MT at the Scotiabank Saddledome. It's the second stop on Toronto's western swing, and the first real test of whether the Edmonton result holds up.

Maple Leafs vs. Flames: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 26) — Tavares-less Leafs Bring Their Road Trip to the Saddledome