Pittsburgh's recent games don't fit a team with a winning record. Columbus outshot the Penguins 45-22 before winning 3-2 in a shootout, and rookie Sergei Murashov was the reason it got that far. Before that, Tom Wilson had a goal and 2 assists as Washington won 5-3 in Alex Ovechkin's final home opener. The Penguins stopped the slide by beating Dallas 2-1 at home, but a 1-goal win over a good team doesn't prove much about the puck-management problems Pittsburgh Hockey Now flagged going into that game.
Chicago's season so far: a 6-0 loss in Utah, a 1-goal loss in Buffalo, a 4-2 home win over St. Louis, then 2 losses by 3 goals. Against Carolina, Mark Jankowski scored late in the 1st period, and then the Hurricanes scored 3 times in 3:56 early in the 2nd, starting with Sebastian Aho's short-handed goal. Carolina won 5-2. That's a young team losing control of a game in 4 minutes, and losing Nazar to a suspension makes that harder to fix.
Special teams could matter more than usual. Going into the Dallas game, Pittsburgh's penalty kill ranked 3rd in the league at 92.9% and its power play ranked 9th. A Chicago power play without Bedard and Nazar has to get through that kill. On the other side, a Penguins defense missing 2 regulars has been giving up a lot of shots, and Chicago has the speed to make that hurt.
Puck drop is 7:00 PM CT. Pittsburgh is the better team on paper and is healthier at center. Chicago has home ice and its 1 win came at the United Center. The question is whether the Penguins can keep the shot count close, or whether their goalie has to win it for them again.















