Detroit Red Wings at Edmonton Oilers

Mon Oct 267:30 PM MTESPN+Edmonton, AB
By JR·3 min read

TLDR: Edmonton just gave up 7 at home to a Toronto team missing Tavares and 3 defensemen, and Detroit comes into Rogers Place on Monday, October 26 to test whether that was a bad night or the start of a problem. With Devon Levi on IR and Mattias Ekholm out, the Oilers that face the Red Wings will look different from the team that started 8-2-1.

TUE 10/27, 7:30 PMESPN+
LWWWL

Detroit visits Edmonton on Monday, October 26, 2 days after playing in Calgary. The Oilers have the better record at 8-2-1 but will likely have Tristan Jarry in net with Devon Levi on IR, and Mattias Ekholm is out. The game probably comes down to whether Edmonton's goaltending and short-handed defense can keep up with Alex DeBrincat and a Red Wings team that keeps games close.

Detroit Red Wings
  • DeBrincat led Detroit with 12 points entering Calgary
  • Won 3 of 4 before the Alberta swing
  • Facing a .873 goalie and an Ekholm-less blue line
  • Second leg of an Alberta road swing
  • 3 of first 10 games went past regulation
  • Calgary result still unknown going into Edmonton
Edmonton Oilers
  • Put up 6 goals twice in the last 5
  • McDavid and Draisaitl at home at Rogers Place
  • Outshot Toronto even in the 7-2 loss
  • Levi on IR; Jarry at .873 likely starts
  • Ekholm, +15 and 21 minutes a night, out
  • Allowed 5 to Carolina, 7 to Toronto at home

Start with the Oilers' net, because it decides this one. Levi went 6-1 before landing on IR, and Oilersnation reports he is expected to miss a few weeks. Frederik Andersen is not expected back until maybe December. That leaves Tristan Jarry, who stopped 25 shots against the Leafs while Anthony Stolarz stopped 30 at the other end. Shots were nearly even, 32-31 for Edmonton, and it still ended 7-2. Jarry's season numbers sit at a 2.97 GAA and a .873 save percentage. Edmonton has not named a starter for Monday, but Jarry is the obvious answer unless something changes.

The blue line is thin too. Ekholm got hurt early in the 3rd period against Carolina, and per Oilersnation he will miss the 3 home games before next Saturday's road trip, which puts Detroit right in the middle of that stretch. He had been averaging 21:01 a night and was +15, 3rd in the league, so he is not a depth piece. Alec Regula and Atro Leppanen are already on IR, so Mike Babcock is mixing and matching on the back end, and Shakir Mukhamadullin is back in. Jason Dickinson is getting close at center, but the earliest target mentioned was Wednesday against Calgary, not Monday.

Detroit still has a game to play before this one. The Red Wings were at Calgary on Saturday, October 24, and that result, plus whoever started in net and how much the top line played, carries straight into a Monday night in Edmonton. Going into Calgary, Detroit was 4-3-3, had won 3 of its previous 4 (2-1 over Philadelphia, a 4-3 shootout win over San Jose, 5-2 over Vancouver), and had beaten the Flames 8 straight times dating back to 2022-23. Whatever happened at the Saddledome, this is the second leg of an Alberta swing with a day off in between.

On offense, Detroit runs through Alex DeBrincat, who led the team with 6 goals and 12 points heading into the Calgary game. That is exactly the kind of shooter an Oilers team rotating defensemen and starting a .873 goalie should worry about. The Red Wings' 3 overtime or shootout results in their first 10 games say they keep games close, and Edmonton has shown it can either outscore a problem or get buried by one.

Edmonton's run before the Toronto loss looks shakier than the record does. The Oilers beat Minnesota 4-3 and Carolina 6-5 at home, so even the wins were shootouts in everything but name. Before that they split 2 with Utah, losing 4-2 at home and winning 6-2 on the road. McDavid and Draisaitl were held to 1 goal per period against Toronto, but the Oilers still put up 6 twice in the 5 games shown. They can score. The question is whether they can stop anyone with this group in front of the crease.

10/23W@Canucks5-2
10/21L@Kraken3-4
10/17WvsSharks4-3
10/15WvsFlyers2-1
10/13LvsDevils4-5
10/24LvsMaple Leafs2-7
10/23WvsHurricanes6-5
10/21WvsWild4-3
10/18W@Mammoth6-2
10/16LvsMammoth2-4

Puck drop is 7:30 PM MT. The board is not open yet, and it should not be while Detroit still has Calgary to play. Watch for 3 things: who Detroit starts in Edmonton after the Saturday game, whether Jarry gets the net again, and whether Babcock's patched blue line can handle DeBrincat's line.

Red Wings vs. Oilers: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 26) — Red Wings Visit an Oilers Team Down to Its Third Goalie Option