Buffalo Sabres at Chicago Blackhawks

Thu Nov 127:00 PM CTESPN+Chicago, IL
By JR·2 min read
Sabres(8-6-3)
Blackhawks(4-13-1)
Thursday 11/127:00 PM

TLDR: Chicago has been outscored 18-6 on a 3-game swing through the Southeast and comes home with nothing working. Buffalo shows up on Thursday, November 12 with a much better record and a much tougher schedule into this one.

FRI 11/13, 7:00 PMESPN+
LWLWW

Buffalo heads to Chicago on the back end of a back-to-back after hosting Tampa Bay the night before. The Sabres have been held together by an Ellis-Luukkonen goalie tandem that has stopped pucks at one of the league's best rates since late October. Chicago is 4-13-1, has lost 5 straight by an average of 3 goals, and is missing Patrick Kane and Bowen Byram. The question is whether a tired Buffalo team and its likely backup goalie give the Blackhawks a real opening.

Buffalo Sabres
  • Ellis-Luukkonen tandem .916 since Oct. 27, 4th in NHL
  • Norris broke 6-game drought with 2 goals vs Columbus
  • Power's 3-assist night shows the blue line can drive offense
  • 2nd night of back-to-back after hosting Tampa Bay
  • Only 1 goal in each of 2 recent losses
  • Helenius, Danforth, Grzelcyk, Lyon all sidelined
Chicago Blackhawks
  • Rested at home against a team on a back-to-back
  • Likely faces Buffalo's 2nd goalie on the back end
  • Outscored 18-6 on 3-game Southeast trip
  • Kane on IR takes away top scoring threat
  • Byram on IR thins the defense behind a leaky team

The Blackhawks are 4-13-1 and have lost 5 straight. The low point was a 9-2 beating in Carolina, which local coverage counted as the 6th loss in a row. The scores in that run are the real problem: 2 goals against Colorado, 3 in Florida, 1 in Tampa Bay, 2 in Carolina. The only close one was the 5-4 loss in Boston that started it. This team is not losing coin flips. It is getting buried by the 2nd period, and the United Center has not been much of a refuge either.

The skid has come with a thin roster. Patrick Kane went on injured reserve with an upper-body injury, and Bowen Byram is also on IR with an upper-body injury, so Chicago is missing its most dangerous scorer and a top-4 defenseman at the same time. Buffalo's list is longer but hurts less. Konsta Helenius is week-to-week, and Justin Danforth, Matt Grzelcyk and Alex Lyon are all on IR. Lyon had a setback and has no timeline, which means the crease is not changing anytime soon. The board on this one is still blank.

That crease has been the Sabres' quiet strength. Colten Ellis and Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen have split the net, and since October 27 the pair had a combined .916 save percentage, 4th-best in the NHL. Lindy Ruff has gotten enough from that tandem to keep Buffalo at 8-6-3 even while the scoring comes and goes. Josh Norris ended a 6-game goal drought with 2 goals in the 5-2 win over Columbus, and Owen Power set up 3 in that game.

As of Monday, Buffalo had gone 3-2 in its last 5. It's a team that can win a 7-6 track meet in Anaheim and then score once in losses to Ottawa and Vegas. Scoring has been the inconsistent part, and a Chicago defense without Byram is the kind of group that lets a slumping forward group find its legs.

11/08LvsGolden Knights1-4
11/07WvsBlue Jackets5-2
11/05LvsSenators1-2
10/31W@Kings3-2
10/30W@Ducks7-6
11/08L@Hurricanes2-9
11/06L@Lightning1-4
11/05L@Panthers3-5
11/03LvsAvalanche2-5
10/31L@Bruins4-5

The schedule is the part to watch. Buffalo hosts Tampa Bay on Wednesday, November 11, then has to get to Chicago for a 7:00 PM CT puck drop the next night. That makes this the 2nd half of a back-to-back with travel in between. Whoever Ruff starts against the Lightning probably won't start here, so the goalie decision and the result of the Tampa game will shape this one. Chicago will be rested. Rest hasn't been the Blackhawks' problem, though.

For Chicago, getting through 60 minutes without a 3-goal stretch would count as progress. A home crowd, a tired opponent and a goalie Buffalo may not lean on often is about as good a spot as this team gets right now. For Buffalo, this is a game against a short-handed opponent that it should handle, just on the 2nd night of a back-to-back.

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