Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs

Thu Oct 157:00 PM ETESPN+Toronto, ON
By JR·2 min read
Sabres(3-3-1)
Maple Leafs(3-2-1)
Thursday 10/157:00 PM

TLDR: Buffalo goes into Scotiabank Arena on Thursday without its best defenseman, and Toronto's top line has just put up 6 goals in Denver. Depending on whether Rasmus Dahlin's upper-body injury heals in time, Buffalo is either a scrappy short-handed team or 1 that can't get the puck out of its own zone.

THU 10/15, 7:00 PMESPN+
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Buffalo (3-3-1) visits Toronto on Thursday without Rasmus Dahlin and 3 other injured defensemen, coming off a shootout loss in Montreal in which it was outshot 25-14. Toronto's last finished game was a 6-3 win at Colorado in which Nylander and Matthews combined for 9 points, but the Leafs play at Utah first. The main question is whether Buffalo's thin defense can keep Toronto's top players in check. No betting lines have posted yet.

Buffalo Sabres
  • Scored 5 on Florida when the offense clicked
  • Luukkonen made 22 saves to steal a point in Montreal
  • Full day of rest after a back-to-back
  • Dahlin out, won't start the road trip
  • Grzelcyk, Timmins, Rathbone also out on defense
  • Only 14 shots in Montreal, shut out by Dallas
Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Nylander 5 points, Matthews 4 in the 6-3 Colorado win
  • McKenna had points in 3 straight before Utah
  • Bobrovsky made 30 saves for his first Leafs win
  • Plays at Utah first, flies home with 1 day of rest
  • Tanev on IR thins the defense
  • Thursday's goalie not confirmed

Start with Toronto, because the Maple Leafs' last finished game was a big one. In a 6-3 win at Colorado, William Nylander had 5 points (2 goals, 3 assists) and passed 700 for his career, and Auston Matthews added 2 goals and 2 assists. Sergei Bobrovsky made 30 saves for his first win as a Leaf, and Nick Blankenburg scored on his first shift. That win left Toronto at 3-2-1. The Leafs still have a game at Utah before this one, though, so that record and whatever momentum they have now will look different by puck drop.

Buffalo's problem is the blue line. Dahlin left the 5-3 win over Florida after taking a slap shot early in the 2nd period. He's listed day to day, but Lindy Ruff said he won't start the road trip with the team. Matt Grzelcyk is on IR after a lower-body flare-up, and Conor Timmins and Jack Rathbone are out too. That's a lot of defensemen missing at once, and it showed in Montreal.

In that Montreal game, which our recap called Dahlin-less, the Canadiens outshot Buffalo 25-14, built a 3-1 lead in the 2nd and still needed a shootout to win 4-3. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen made 22 saves, and the Sabres scored 3 goals on 14 shots, which is efficient but not something you can count on. It was also the second night of a back-to-back. Buffalo gets Wednesday off to reset, which matters for a team whose goalie depth is thin, with Alex Lyon and Topias Leinonen both on IR.

Toronto's game at Utah is the one thing still to be decided. The Mammoth came into it at 4-2-0 and had already handled Buffalo 4-1 in Buffalo. However Toronto does in Salt Lake City, the Leafs then fly home and play Thursday on 1 day of rest. Who starts in goal for Toronto is still open. Bobrovsky has been their main goalie, but nothing is confirmed for Thursday. Toronto is also short on defense, with Chris Tanev on injured reserve, so both teams come in with holes on the back end.

Buffalo sits at 3-3-1 and has gone 2-3 in its last 5. The losses have mostly been about scoring: they were shut out 4-0 by Dallas and managed 1 goal against Utah. When they do score, as in the 5-goal game against Florida, they can play with anybody. Facing a Toronto team that just scored 6, Buffalo will need a lot more than 14 shots.

10/13L@Canadiens3-4
10/12WvsPanthers5-3
10/10LvsMammoth1-4
10/08LvsStars0-4
10/06WvsWild3-2
10/10W@Avalanche6-3
10/09L@Golden Knights3-4
10/06WvsPredators5-4
10/03LvsSenators2-3
09/30WvsIslanders2-1

One more name to watch: Gavin McKenna. The 18-year-old had points in 3 straight games before the Utah game, the first Leaf that young to do it since Russ Courtnall in 1984. Buffalo will be dressing a patched-together defense, and a rookie who keeps getting on the scoresheet is a tough assignment for them. Puck drop is 7:00 PM ET.

Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs — Dahlin-Less Sabres Head Down the QEW to Face Nylander and Matthews | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush