Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks

Sun Nov 15:00 PM PTESPN+Anaheim, CA
By JR·3 min read
Senators(8-5-1)
Ducks(5-7-1)
Sunday 11/015:00 PM

TLDR: Ottawa has allowed 20 goals in 4 games since Linus Ullmark got hurt. Anaheim has allowed at least 4 in 5 of its last 7 losses. Sunday at Honda Center has two teams whose goalies need a quiet night and probably won't get one.

MON 11/02, 5:00 PMESPN+
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Ottawa comes to Anaheim on the second night of a back-to-back, after Saturday's game in San Jose. The Senators have allowed 20 goals in 4 games since Linus Ullmark went on injured reserve, and 3 of their left wings are hurt or doubtful. Anaheim is rested and at home, but its goalies have a .862 save percentage during a 7-game slide and its defense is missing Pavel Mintyukov and Ian Moore. The game probably comes down to which goalie holds up.

Ottawa Senators
  • Scored 5+ goals in 3 of last 5 games
  • Came back from 4 down to force OT in LA
  • Built 8-5-1 record over the first 2 weeks
  • 20 goals allowed in 4 games without Ullmark
  • Second night of a back-to-back after San Jose
  • Foegele, Eklund out; Burakovsky day-to-day
Anaheim Ducks
  • Rested since Thursday; Ottawa plays Saturday
  • Scored 16 goals in last 3 games
  • Gauthier, Carlsson, Granlund drive a capable top six
  • Dostal and Husso at .862 during the slide
  • Blew a 5-2 3rd-period lead to Vancouver
  • Blue line thin without Mintyukov and Moore

Ottawa misses Ullmark more than anything else on its roster right now. Before he strained a lower body in the 5-1 win over Florida, he led the NHL with 7 wins and sat second in save percentage (.945) and goals-against average (1.33). Samuel Ersson came on in relief that night, and Ottawa called up Jonas Johansson as a third goalie. Since then the crease has leaked badly. The Senators gave up 6 to San Jose, then 4 at Vegas. In LA they trailed 5-1 after a 4-goal Kings 2nd period, scored 4 straight in the 3rd to force overtime and lost 6-5. Ullmark was given 1-2 weeks, so he probably isn't back by Sunday, and Ottawa hasn't said who starts here.

Ottawa also isn't coming in fresh. The Senators play in San Jose on Saturday, then move down the coast for this one. That makes it the second night of a back-to-back and the end of a California swing, and the Saturday result could change who's in net and how heavy the legs are. Up front, Warren Foegele is out for an extended stretch with a knee injury, William Eklund is 10-12 weeks away after ankle surgery, and Andre Burakovsky is day-to-day. That's 3 left wings either hurt or doubtful.

Anaheim's problems look a lot like Ottawa's, just at home. Die by the Blade had the Ducks losing 6 of 7 heading into the Buffalo game, with Lukas Dostal and Ville Husso combining for a .862 save percentage in that stretch and the team posting a 41.8 expected-goals-for percentage at even strength. Then it got worse. Vancouver beat them 6-5 in overtime after Anaheim led 5-2 in the 3rd period. Buffalo beat them 7-6 behind a Tage Thompson hat trick after the Ducks opened with 2 power-play goals.

The good news for Anaheim is that the offense is producing. The Ducks scored 5 against Philadelphia, 5 against Vancouver and 6 against Buffalo, with Cutter Gauthier, Leo Carlsson, Mikael Granlund and Beckett Sennecke as the core of the attack. They've also had a few days off since Thursday's loss, while Ottawa will have played the night before. Over the same stretch the Senators have scored 7 on the Rangers and 5 on the Kings, so both teams can score in bunches.

10/30L@Kings5-6
10/28L@Golden Knights1-4
10/24WvsRangers7-4
10/22LvsSharks2-6
10/21WvsPanthers5-1
10/30LvsSabres6-7
10/28LvsCanucks5-6
10/24W@Flyers5-4
10/22L@Devils1-4
10/20L@Islanders2-3

Anaheim's real problem is the blue line. Pavel Mintyukov went on injured reserve with a lower-body injury during the road trip, Ian Moore is 'a ways from skating' according to Joel Quenneville, and our Buffalo recap pinned that loss on the short-handed defense. Jackson LaCombe is carrying the top pair. Ryan Poehling (MCL sprain) and Troy Terry (hip, long-term IR) are also out, so the forward depth is thin too. Ottawa's injuries are mostly at forward and in goal, Anaheim's mostly on defense, and both lists hit the areas that have been costing each team games.

Puck drop is 5:00 PM PT. As of Friday, Ottawa is 8-5-1 and Anaheim is 5-7-1, and both have lost 2 straight. The Senators were the better team over the first 2 weeks, but most of that came with Ullmark in net. Without him and on tired legs, it's hard to say how much of that edge is left. The Ducks are rested and at home, and their goaltending has been just as shaky.

Senators vs. Ducks: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Nov. 1) — Senators and Ducks Bring Leaky Goaltending to Sunday in Anaheim