Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins

Sat Nov 147:00 PM ETESPN+Pittsburgh, PA
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Ottawa is 12-6-2 and has a habit of winning hockey games it has no business winning late. Pittsburgh is 7-10-2, back from California with a rookie goalie playing well, and hosting the Hall of Fame Game Saturday night.

SUN 11/15, 7:00 PMESPN+
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Ottawa (12-6-2) visits Pittsburgh (7-10-2) for the Hall of Fame Game, after a 4-3 overtime win over Colorado and only 1 day off. The Penguins took 2 of 3 in California behind rookie goalie Sergei Murashov, but they've blown late leads and haven't named a starter between Murashov and Arturs Silovs. Both teams are missing wingers. Ottawa has been better at closing out games, and Pittsburgh has the rest advantage.

Ottawa Senators
  • Closing games late: Amadio, Batherson, Pinto winners
  • 5 games over .500, deeper than Pittsburgh
  • Only 1 day off after OT game vs Colorado
  • Left wing gutted: Eklund, Foegele, Burakovsky, Cousins out
  • Gave away a 2-0 lead vs Colorado
Pittsburgh Penguins
  • Murashov 34 saves, 2 straight wins
  • Defensemen have 56 points, 2nd in NHL
  • 2 days' rest after the California trip
  • Blew a 2-0 lead in the 3rd in San Jose
  • Rust out, 2 regular defensemen on IR
  • Goalie starter still undecided

This one comes down to whether the Senators' habit of finishing games keeps going. As of Friday they have 3 wins in their last 5, and 2 of those were decided late. Michael Amadio scored the go-ahead goal late in the 3rd to beat Buffalo 2-1, and against Colorado, Drake Batherson tied it at 16:04 of the 3rd before Shane Pinto ended it 2:08 into overtime. The Colorado game also showed the risk. Ottawa led 2-0 after the 1st, then gave up a shorthanded goal and a Gabriel Landeskog power-play goal and had to rescue a game it should have closed out.

Pittsburgh's story is the goalie. Sergei Murashov stopped 34 shots and all 3 shootout attempts in San Jose, and Dan Muse called him "outstanding the whole game." The 22-year-old has won back-to-back starts, but the San Jose start was only his 3rd in the Penguins' last 10 games. The net is still a competition with Arturs Silovs, and Pittsburgh hasn't said who starts Saturday. That's the main unknown in this game.

The Penguins took 2 of 3 on the California trip, but none of it was clean. They blew a 2-0 lead in the 3rd in San Jose when Macklin Celebrini and Mason Marchment scored, and they lost 5-2 to Anaheim between the wins. The defense corps is producing, though. Pittsburgh's blueliners have 56 points, 2nd in the league behind Colorado, with Erik Karlsson and Kris Letang still running the back end and Sam Girard scoring early in San Jose.

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The schedule favors Pittsburgh a little. The Senators flew in off an overtime home game against Colorado with 1 day between games. The Penguins came home from the West Coast with 2 days to reset. Neither team plays again before puck drop at 7:00 PM ET, so there are no other games to change the picture before Saturday.

Ottawa's injuries are mostly at left wing. William Eklund is out 10-12 weeks after ankle-tendon surgery, Warren Foegele is out with a knee, and Andre Burakovsky is on IR. Nick Cousins, who scored the late tiebreaker against Utah, is now listed out too. Pittsburgh is missing Bryan Rust, who won't be re-evaluated for 6 weeks, plus Elmer Soderblom and 2 defensemen, Ryan Graves and Trevor van Riemsdyk. That's a lot of missing depth for a team that has already had trouble protecting leads.

On paper, Ottawa is the better team. The Senators are 5 games over .500 and keep finding a winning goal late. Pittsburgh is under .500 and was outscored 11-4 in the Boston and Anaheim losses. Still, a defense corps that scores, a young goalie playing well and a big home night are enough to keep this close.

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