Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs

Thu Nov 127:00 PM ETESPN+Toronto, ON
By JR·2 min read
Wild(13-3-4)
Maple Leafs(8-10-2)
Thursday 11/127:00 PM

TLDR: Minnesota has been one of the best teams in hockey through 20 games. Toronto has been one of the worst. Thursday at Scotiabank Arena, the Leafs try to prove the gap isn't as big as the standings say.

FRI 11/13, 7:00 PMESPN+
(13-3-4)
WLWWW

The 13-3-4 Wild visit a Maple Leafs team that has lost 4 straight as of Wednesday and had 10 players out going into the Colorado game. Minnesota has been winning tight games without its No. 1 goalie, Filip Gustavsson, or defenseman Brock Faber. Toronto can score behind Auston Matthews and William Nylander but gave up 6 to Colorado and takes a lot of penalties, so the game likely comes down to whether Toronto's goaltending and discipline hold up.

Minnesota Wild
  • Beat Montreal without a point from Kaprizov
  • Allowed 1 goal at the Bell Centre
  • Faber back skating with teammates
  • No. 1 goalie Gustavsson still on IR
  • 2 regular defensemen out in Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Matthews: 11 goals, 16 assists
  • Nylander has 6 goals in last 10
  • Scored 3 against Colorado, more than in weeks

The Wild come in 13-3-4, and the latest win says a lot about this team. Kirill Kaprizov didn't get a point in Montreal, the No. 1 goalie and 2 regular defensemen were still out, and Minnesota beat the Canadiens 2-1 in a shootout anyway. Montreal managed 1 goal. This group wins games when the stars don't show up on the scoresheet, and that's usually what separates contenders from teams that are just hot.

The Wild still aren't healthy. Filip Gustavsson (hip) is on injured reserve, but he's traveling with the team on this 3-game road trip, which is worth watching. Brock Faber (skull) skated with his teammates for the first time last week. Neither one is cleared, and neither should be counted on for Thursday. Faber getting back on the ice still means the blue line could get its best player back sooner than people expected.

Toronto's injury list is a lot worse. The Leafs had 10 players out heading into the Colorado game, Morgan Rielly among them. Colton Sissons sat out too. Auston Matthews called the team "banged up" and asked for a response after a 4-0 shutout loss to New Jersey. Toronto did respond on offense against the Avalanche and scored 3. Colorado scored 6.

The goaltending is the real problem. The Leafs allowed 5 goals on 27 shots against Colorado, and the Avalanche turned a 3-2 game into a blowout with 3 goals in the 3rd period. That was Toronto's 4th straight loss as of Wednesday. Matthews leads the team with 11 goals and 16 assists, and William Nylander has 6 goals in his last 10 games, so the scoring is there. The Leafs just haven't kept the puck out of their own net.

11/11W@Canadiens2-1
11/08LvsLightning3-4
11/07WvsSharks4-1
11/04W@Flyers4-2
11/01W@Capitals5-1
11/11LvsAvalanche3-6
11/09LvsDevils0-4
11/08LvsCanadiens2-4
11/04LvsMammoth2-3
10/31W@Canucks4-2

Toronto also takes a lot of penalties. The Leafs ranked 6th in the league with 83 penalties going into the Colorado game, 4.4 a game. Against a Wild team that has been winning close, low-scoring games, giving Minnesota extra power plays could decide it. The Leafs need fewer than 5 goals against and a lot fewer trips to the box.

Puck drop is 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, November 12. Both teams played on November 10 and both get a day off before this one, so neither has a rest advantage. Minnesota needs to keep doing what it's been doing. Toronto needs the top of its lineup to carry it, the goaltending to make saves and the depth guys to hold up. That's asking a lot of a team that has lost 4 in a row as of Wednesday.

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