Argentina vs Algeria

Tue Jun 16 · 8:00 PM CT
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 21d ago·2 min read
Argentina
Algeria
30
FT
1H2HFT
ARG
003
ALG
000

Argentina opened their title defense with a 3-0 win over Algeria in Kansas City, and Lionel Messi did basically all of it himself with a hat trick.

Argentina 3, Algeria 0. Messi scored in the 17th, the 60th and the 76th, and the defending champions cruised through their Group J opener on Tuesday night at Arrowhead Stadium without ever really getting out of second gear.

This was the Messi show. He had a goal chalked off for offside in the 6th minute, then opened the scoring 11 minutes later off a Rodrigo De Paul assist with a long-range strike. The second came in the 60th after some loose Algerian goalkeeping, and the third was a clinical bottom-corner finish in the 76th. It was his first career World Cup hat trick, on what was reportedly his 200th cap.

Show fees
FT
Spread
Advance
Total
Argentina(1-0-0)
3
Polymarket
-0.5
-174
Polymarket
-174
Polymarket
o2.5
+115
Algeria(0-0-1)
0
Polymarket
+0.5
+178
Polymarket
+700
Kalshi
u2.5
-113
In-Game
Whale Buys
Advance includes extra time & pens; spread + total settle on 90 minutes.

Around him, Argentina looked like Argentina. Scaloni rolled out the band — Emiliano Martinez behind a back four of Montiel, Romero, Lisandro Martinez and Medina, with Mac Allister, Fernandez and De Paul running midfield and Almada and Lautaro Martinez flanking Messi. They controlled the ball, didn't concede anything serious, and got the three points without needing to empty the tank in game one.

Algeria actually had a moment. Fares Chaibi had the ball in the net in the 8th minute before it got pulled back for offside, and for the first quarter-hour they were in the game. Then Messi happened. Zidane in goal got picked on for the second, and once the lead doubled the Desert Foxes had no obvious answer.

The starting XI — Zidane; Belghali, Mandi, Bensebaini, Ait-Nouri; Boudaoui, Bentaleb, Maza; Hadj Moussa, Chaibi, Gouiri — is a solid group, and to their credit they kept it clean on cards and didn't completely cave. But a 3-0 loss to the favorite in game one means they almost certainly need results against Austria and Jordan to have any shot at advancing.

The market had Argentina at 63.5% on Polymarket to win, and they won. The interesting tell was the total — over 2.5 was basically a coin flip at kickoff, and Messi cashed the over by himself. Argentina now sit at 82.5% to win the group and 71% to reach the Round of 16, which is roughly where you'd expect after a tidy 3-0 against the group's third seed.

Next up Argentina get the rest of Group J at a brisker pace. Algeria, sitting at 23% to reach the knockouts, have to go win a game now — the Austria match is basically a season.

Argentina
(5-0-0)
Jul 7WvsEgypt3-2
Jul 3WvsCape Verde3-2
Jun 27WvsJordan3-1
Jun 22WvsAustria2-0
Jun 16WvsAlgeria3-0
Algeria
(1-1-2)
Jul 2LvsSwitzerland0-2
Jun 27DvsAustria3-3
Jun 22WvsJordan2-1
Jun 16LvsArgentina0-3
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World CupGroup JArgentinaAlgeriaPolymarketKalshiDraftKings