Colombia vs Ghana

Fri Jul 3 · 8:30 PM CT
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 4d ago·2 min read
Colombia
Ghana
10
FT
1H2HFT
COL
001
GHA
000

Colombia beat Ghana 1-0 in Kansas City, with Jhon Arias's 14th-minute strike enough to end Ghana's World Cup.

Bush’s PicksPicks madeJul 3, 10:36 PM CT
-208COLGHA+852
+147COL -1.5GHA +1.5-147
+125Over 2.5Under 2.5-125
Best BetColombia to win
Postgame

Our bull case landed clean - Colombia's unbeaten form held up and Ghana's shorthanded midfield without Kudus never generated a real chance.

Colombia
  • Unbeaten group stage; 7 points from 3 controlled games
  • James-Díaz creative axis vs Kudus-less Ghana midfield
  • Haven't blown anyone out; tight margins all tournament
  • Semenyo counter-attack is a genuine live threat
Ghana
  • 2 clean sheets in 3 group games shows real defensive shape
  • Semenyo's pace punishes Colombia if they push high
  • Kudus and Salisu absences gut creative and defensive ceiling
  • Scraped through as a third-place team; quality gap is real

Colombia got exactly what the form suggested: an early goal, control for 90 minutes, and a clean sheet. Jhon Arias's back-post finish in the 14th minute was the difference, and Ghana never found an answer.

Arias did the damage early and then spent the rest of the night making sure it stuck. Colombia ran 61% possession and put 7 of their 18 shots on target, with Luis Diaz and Jhon Cordoba both getting looks inside the box to make it 2-0 but failing to finish the job. Arias picked up a yellow late for a foul on Iñaki Williams, the only blemish on an otherwise tidy performance.

Show fees
FT
Spread
Advance
Total
Colombia(3-1-0)
1
Polymarket
-1.5
+147
Polymarket
-208
Polymarket
o2.5
+125
Ghana(1-1-2)
0
Polymarket
+1.5
-147
Polymarket
+852
Polymarket
u2.5
-125
In-Game
Whale Buys
Advance includes extra time & pens; spread + total settle on 90 minutes.

It's the kind of win Colombia has made a habit of this tournament - not flashy, just efficient. The James Rodriguez-Diaz creative link controlled tempo all night, and a defense anchored by Davinson Sanchez and Jhon Lucumi didn't need to do much heavy lifting because Ghana rarely got close enough to test it.

Ghana's night summed up why they were such long shots coming in. They managed 8 shots and put zero on target, with Thomas Partey's blocked effort in the first 40 minutes standing as their best look. Goalkeeper Lawrence Ati Zigi kept it from getting worse with a strong stoppage-time save on Mojica, but there was no offense to speak of at the other end.

Without Kudus in midfield, Ghana had no one to break lines and create for Antoine Semenyo and Jordan Ayew up top, and it showed - the front line was starved of service all match. The tournament ends here for the Black Stars, a result that tracks with the attacking questions hanging over this squad all week.

Clean sweep for our card. We backed Colombia on the moneyline and got exactly the version of Ghana we expected - toothless without Kudus, unable to create anything resembling a real chance. We also took Ghana +1.5 on the spread, and that held up too: Colombia won by just 1, the same tight-margin pattern our bear case flagged pre-match. And the under 2.5 cashed comfortably with only 1 goal scored all game.

The market had Colombia around a two-thirds favorite going in, and that's roughly how it played - dominant, but not blowout-dominant. Colombia move on with their unbeaten run intact; Ghana's tournament closes with the same defensive resilience and attacking limitations that defined their group stage.

Colombia
(3-2-0)
Jul 7DvsSwitzerland0-0
Jul 3WvsGhana1-0
Jun 27DvsPortugal0-0
Jun 23WvsDR Congo1-0
Jun 17WvsUzbekistan3-1
Ghana
(1-1-2)
Jul 3LvsColombia0-1
Jun 27LvsCroatia1-2
Jun 23DvsEngland0-0
Jun 17WvsPanama1-0
Recent form.
World CupGroup KColombiaGhanaPolymarketKalshiDraftKings