Curaçao vs Côte d'Ivoire

Thu Jun 25 · 3:00 PM CT
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 12d ago·2 min read
Curaçao
Côte d'Ivoire
02
FT
1H2HFT
CUW
000
CÔT
002

Nicolas Pépé scored twice and Ivory Coast shut out Curaçao 2-0 Thursday in Philadelphia, reaching the World Cup knockout stage for the first time in 4 tournament appearances.

Bush’s PicksPicks madeJun 25, 5:33 PM CT
+1639CUWCÔT-480
-135CUW +2.5CÔT -2.5+135
+130Over 3.5Under 3.5-130
Best BetCôte d'Ivoire to win
Postgame

Hit — Ivory Coast won 2-0 and never looked troubled, exactly what backing the heavy favorite was about; the bear case about Ivory Coast settling for a draw from the opening whistle never materialized once Pépé struck in the 7th.

Curaçao
  • Room is the best-form goalkeeper at this tournament
  • Chong completed more dribbles than anyone in the group
  • Lost 7-1 to Germany — ceiling is plainly exposed
  • Ivory Coast's forward trio is a massive step up from Ecuador
Côte d'Ivoire
  • A draw is enough — low-stakes environment to perform in
  • Diallo and Diomandé are among the best wide players here
  • Germany exposed them defensively even when at fuller strength
  • Singo out, N'Dicka uncertain — defensive cover is thin

Ivory Coast needed a result in Group E and got it decisively. Pépé put them ahead in the 7th minute after Yan Diomandé split the defense and cut the ball back, and the match was effectively settled from there. A second goal in the 64th minute from another Pépé finish made it 2-0 and sent the Elephants through as Group E runners-up with 6 points. Curaçao, in their debut World Cup, finish last in the group with 1 point and are heading home.

Curaçao actually generated more total shots on the day — 18 to Ivory Coast's 15 — but only 2 of those found the frame and their expected goals figure of 0.47 tells you everything about the quality gap. Tahith Chong was their most active threat going forward and completed some encouraging runs, but the service into Locadia up front was too disjointed to test Ivory Coast's backline consistently. The compact 5-back setup that had held up in earlier group matches couldn't generate the attacking output they needed when a goal was the only option.

Show fees
FT
Spread
Advance
Total
Curaçao(0-1-2)
0
Polymarket
+2.5
-135
Polymarket
+1639
Polymarket
o3.5
+130
Côte d'Ivoire(2-0-1)
2
Polymarket
-2.5
+135
Polymarket
-480
Polymarket
u3.5
-130
In-Game
Whale Buys
Advance includes extra time & pens; spread + total settle on 90 minutes.

Curaçao exit their debut World Cup with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Juninho Bacuna took a yellow card in the 75th minute and Gervane Kastaneer followed in the 83rd, both chasing a game that was long decided. For a small Caribbean island making its first appearance at a World Cup, just qualifying was the story — finishing bottom of Group E is simply the honest reflection of where they stand against this level of opposition.

Ivory Coast settled any nerves inside 7 minutes. Diomandé drove into the left channel, cut the ball back, and Pépé didn't need a second look — clean finish, 1-0, and the tone was set. The Elephants played with the composure of a side that knew a win was enough and had no reason to overextend. Kessie ran the midfield throughout, Diomandé and Diallo stretched the defensive shape on both flanks, and the 63% possession share came without any desperation to it.

Pépé completed his brace in the 64th minute, meeting a through ball from Ibrahima Sangaré and finishing into the top corner. After that Ivory Coast managed the game home, kept the clean sheet, and wrapped up Group E in second place with 6 points. It's the first time in 4 World Cup appearances they've ever made the knockout rounds. Pépé did pick up a yellow card at 35 minutes, but it was a non-event — he was the best player on the pitch by some distance.

All 3 pre-match picks landed. The moneyline on Ivory Coast at 83% closing probability was always the straightforward call and they handled it without drama. The spread was the intriguing one — we backed Curaçao +2.5, and Ivory Coast winning by exactly 2 goals means it covered by the thinnest margin; our bull case about no incentive to chase a blowout once the lead was secured proved right. The under 3.5 was the cleanest result of the night — just 2 total goals, Curaçao's attack contributed zero, and Ivory Coast coasted after Pépé's second. The market expected the favorite to control and close it out. That's precisely what happened.

Curaçao
(0-1-2)
Jun 25LvsIvory Coast0-2
Jun 20DvsEcuador0-0
Jun 14LvsGermany1-7
Ivory Coast
(2-0-2)
Jun 30LvsNorway1-2
Jun 25WvsCuraçao2-0
Jun 20LvsGermany1-2
Jun 14WvsEcuador1-0
Recent form.
World CupGroup ECuraçaoCôte d'IvoirePolymarketKalshiDraftKings