The market makes it 56% for the favorite — live win/draw/win prices from Polymarket, Kalshi and DraftKings below.
The market makes Mexico the favorite at 56% to win, with Czechia at 21% and the draw priced at 23%. Kickoff is 8:00 PM CT.
These are live prices from real-money markets, refreshed every few minutes — the chart above shows how the number has moved since the market opened. A full preview for this match is on the way.
Show fees
FT
Spread
Advance
Total
Czechia(0-1-2)
0
+0.5
+133
+400
o2.5
+115
Mexico(3-0-0)
3
-0.5
-130
-130
u2.5
-115
In-Game
Whale Buys
Advance includes extra time & pens; spread + total settle on 90 minutes.
And here's the live market for the group itself — who wins it, per the same traders.
Czechia
(0-1-2)
Jun 24LvsMexico0-3
Jun 18DvsSouth Africa1-1
Jun 11LvsSouth Korea1-2
Mexico
(4-0-1)
Jul 5LvsEngland2-3
Jun 30WvsEcuador2-0
Jun 24WvsCzechia3-0
Jun 18WvsSouth Korea1-0
Jun 11WvsSouth Africa2-0
Recent form.
World CupGroup ACzechiaMexicoPolymarketKalshiDraftKings