Ghana vs Panama

Wed Jun 17 · 6:00 PM CT
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 20d ago·2 min read
Ghana
Panama
10
FT
1H2HFT
GHA
001
PAN
000

Caleb Yirenkyi stabbed home a stoppage-time winner to give Ghana a 1-0 victory over Panama in their World Cup opener Wednesday night in Toronto.

Ghana 1, Panama 0. For 95 minutes this looked like the draw the market half-expected, and then Antoine Semenyo sprung Brandon Thomas-Asante down the left, the sub slid one across the face, and Caleb Yirenkyi stretched out a boot at the back post to win it in the 90+5th minute.

The Black Stars did not exactly dazzle. Panama bossed the opening stretch and Ghana spent a lot of the first half chasing shadows. But the second half was a different watch — Semenyo took over the game on the left, the midfield finally got a foothold, and the bench changed the tempo. Thomas-Asante came on and made the assist that decided a World Cup match within minutes of touching the grass.

Show fees
FT
Spread
Advance
Total
Ghana(1-0-0)
1
Polymarket
-0.5
+153
Polymarket
+153
Polymarket
o2.5
+141
Panama(0-0-1)
0
Polymarket
+0.5
-156
Polymarket
+239
Polymarket
u2.5
-141
In-Game
Whale Buys
Advance includes extra time & pens; spread + total settle on 90 minutes.

Yirenkyi will get the headline and he earned it, gambling on the far post run when the cross came in. Goalkeeper Benjamin Asare also deserves a mention for denying Orlando Mosquera on a stoppage-time set piece that Panama nearly stole back. Three points is three points, and in a group with England, Ghana absolutely had to have them.

Brutal. Thomas Christiansen's side were the better team for long stretches — they pressed Ghana high early, created the cleaner looks before the break, and looked perfectly content to take a point off a side the books made the favorite. Ismael Diaz and Cecilio Waterman ran the channels hard, and the back three of Cordoba, Ramos and Barcenas had Prince Adu in their pocket most of the night.

Then it all evaporated in injury time. Carlos Harvey picked up a yellow as tempers flared after the goal, and Mosquera even came up for the free kick that nearly produced an instant equalizer. Instead Panama walk out of Toronto with zero points and the math gets ugly fast — England is next, and a group with England in it does not forgive a Matchday 1 loss.

The market had this priced as basically a coin flip with Ghana a nose in front — Polymarket closed Ghana around 40% with the draw at 32%, and for 94 minutes the draw price was looking awfully smart. Yirenkyi's toe-poke flipped a tournament's worth of probability in one swing.

England is still the runaway group favorite at 90% to win Group L, but Ghana now has air under it — round-of-16 odds sit at 16% with Croatia up next, while Panama drops to 8% and has to go pull a result off England to stay alive. Wednesday in Toronto was supposed to be the easy half of the schedule for both. Only one team treated it that way.

Ghana
(1-1-2)
Jul 3LvsColombia0-1
Jun 27LvsCroatia1-2
Jun 23DvsEngland0-0
Jun 17WvsPanama1-0
Panama
(0-0-3)
Jun 27LvsEngland0-2
Jun 23LvsCroatia0-1
Jun 17LvsGhana0-1
Recent form.
World CupGroup LGhanaPanamaPolymarketKalshiDraftKings