Ndoye's second goal was opportunistic — Algeria twice failed to clear their lines and he punished them — but that is what clinical teams do. Switzerland generated 2.54 xG in a match where they never truly needed to push into third gear. They finish the Round of 32 at 3-1-0 and stay in Vancouver to wait on the Colombia-Ghana winner, entering that fixture with form, confidence, and a clean sheet.
Algeria had the ball and did nothing with it. Riyad Mahrez found half-spaces across the first half but never created a moment that threatened Gregor Kobel. Amoura's absence blunted the one real counter-attack threat Algeria carried into this match, and Ibrahim Maza as the lone striker lacked the presence to drag the Swiss defense around. The back line looked vulnerable all group stage and the moment a well-organized team pressed the issue, the gaps showed.
Luca Zidane made just 2 saves — a number that tells you Algeria barely asked Switzerland's defense to do any work. They managed 3 total shots in a knockout fixture they needed to win. The 1-1-2 tournament record reflects a side that could not solve its defensive liability, and the 2 goals conceded here were 2 too many in a game where they also generated nothing going forward. A tournament exit that feels about right.
We hit both picks clean. The moneyline on Switzerland landed exactly as the bull case mapped it: Manzambi delivered as the creator, Xhaka locked down the midfield, and Algeria's defensive liability surfaced right on schedule. The total under 2.5 cashed with room to spare — 2 goals on the night, Switzerland's structured shape held firm, and Algeria could not test Kobel. The market had Switzerland at essentially even money to win outright, and they made that look like a discount.
Switzerland's path to the Round of 16 is now a near-certainty. Algeria exit at 1-1-2, a record that accurately reflects a team that conceded freely all tournament and never solved it. Next for the Swiss: Colombia or Ghana, still in Vancouver, still looking like one of the better sides in this half of the bracket.


