Switzerland vs Bosnia-Herzegovina

The xG board (2.01 to 0.24) tells the story of who was carrying the play. Manzambi was the headline act with two goals, including one in the 90th, and Xhaka iced it from the spot in the 97th minute. Four points from two matches puts the Swiss in firm control of Group B with Qatar to come.

For more than an hour, Bosnia's plan was working. Edin Dzeko led the line, Sead Kolasinac shepherded the back four, and they kept Switzerland in front of them. Then Muharemovic saw red in the 80th minute and the whole shape collapsed. Three goals followed in the next 17 minutes of clock time.

Mahmic's 90+3' strike at least put something on the board, and it'll be remembered as the lone Bosnian goal of a brutal afternoon. The bigger problem is the table. One point from two matches, goal difference shredded, and Muharemovic suspended for the next game. The path to the Round of 32 is now essentially closed.

The market had Switzerland at roughly 63% to win and it got the favorite right, even if the scoreline looks lopsided for a game that was scoreless past the hour. The post-match group board has Switzerland at 65% to top Group B and basically locked into the knockout round at 99.95% to advance. Bosnia's group-winner price has cratered to under 1%.

Switzerland get Qatar next and can wrap up qualification with a win. Bosnia have to beat Canada and hope, with Muharemovic watching from the stands. Different worlds now.

Switzerland

(3-2-0)

Jul 7DvsColombia0-0

Jul 2WvsAlgeria2-0

Jun 24WvsCanada2-1

Jun 18WvsBosnia-Herzegovina4-1

Jun 13DvsQatar1-1

Bosnia-Herzegovina

(1-1-2)

Jul 1LvsUnited States0-2

Jun 24WvsQatar3-1

Jun 18LvsSwitzerland1-4

Jun 12DvsCanada1-1

Switzerland

(0)

Fully healthy

Bosnia-Herzegovina

(1)

• SuspendedTarik Muharemovic — Red card in the 80th minute